Short Trade on AAVE 14 Dec 2025 at 03:09:03
Take profit at 193.9694 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 195.3353 (0.23 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 14 Dec 2025 at 03:09:03
Take profit at 193.9694 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 195.3353 (0.23 %)
Position size of 3424.1525 $
Take profit at 193.9694 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 195.3353 (0.23 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.87 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.73 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.57 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.631183 15m : -0.106767 1H : 0.166634 |
1 |
Indicators:
90192.2
0.00024041
90213.9
0.631183
90211.8
2.23998E-5
90213.9
-0.106767
90942.8
-0.00801578
90213.9
0.166634
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 06:00:00
[1] => 196.17
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 15:00:00
[1] => 207.1
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 23:00:00
[1] => 186.83
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 09:00:00
[1] => 188.38
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 22:00:00
[1] => 206.75
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 05:00:00
[1] => 206.65
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
[1] => 189.18
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 05:00:00
[1] => 202.75
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
[1] => 195.54
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 01:00:00
[1] => 193.2
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.8964241676942
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.85403726708075
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 22
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2111801242236
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 10:00:00
[1] => 199.94
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 12:30:00
[1] => 196.27
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 14:30:00
[1] => 198.55
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 16:30:00
[1] => 195.54
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 17:30:00
[1] => 198.09
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 19:45:00
[1] => 198.01
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 20:45:00
[1] => 196.24
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 21:30:00
[1] => 198.05
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 01:30:00
[1] => 193.2
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 03:00:00
[1] => 194.97
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.061547930450841
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.85403726708075
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.91614906832299
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 19:05:00
[1] => 196.9
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 19:50:00
[1] => 198.01
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 20:50:00
[1] => 196.24
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 21:35:00
[1] => 198.05
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 00:20:00
[1] => 193.32
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 00:40:00
[1] => 194.4
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 01:30:00
[1] => 193.2
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 01:40:00
[1] => 194.23
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 02:30:00
[1] => 193.86
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 03:05:00
[1] => 194.97
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.061547930450841
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.51067780872794
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.57257814917981
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 19:05:00 | 196.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 19:50:00 | 198.01 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 20:50:00 | 196.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 21:35:00 | 198.05 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 00:20:00 | 193.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 00:40:00 | 194.4 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 01:30:00 | 193.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 01:40:00 | 194.23 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 02:30:00 | 193.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 03:05:00 | 194.97 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 10:00:00 | 199.94 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 12:30:00 | 196.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 14:30:00 | 198.55 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 16:30:00 | 195.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 17:30:00 | 198.09 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 19:45:00 | 198.01 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 20:45:00 | 196.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 21:30:00 | 198.05 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 01:30:00 | 193.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 03:00:00 | 194.97 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 06:00:00 | 196.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 15:00:00 | 207.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 23:00:00 | 186.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 09:00:00 | 188.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 22:00:00 | 206.75 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 05:00:00 | 206.65 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 11:00:00 | 189.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 05:00:00 | 202.75 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 16:00:00 | 195.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 01:00:00 | 193.2 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 03:09:03 |
14 Dec 2025 03:25:00 |
15 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 194.88 | 195.3353 | 193.9694 | 2 | 119.44 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 195.3353 - 194.88 = 0.45529999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 194.88 - 193.9694 = 0.91059999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.91059999999999 / 0.45529999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3424.1525 | 100 | 17.5706 | 34.24 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.45529999999999 = 17.57
Taille de position USD = 17.57 x 194.88 = 3424.04
Donc, tu peux acheter 17.57 avec un stoploss a 195.3353
Avec un position size USD de 3424.04$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 17.57 x 0.45529999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 17.57 x 0.91059999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.47 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.23 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2668 % | 114.21 % | 3 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 193.9694
[entry_price] => 194.88
[stop_loss] => 195.38083
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 193.9694
[entry_price] => 194.88
[stop_loss] => 195.42636
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 193.9694
[entry_price] => 194.88
[stop_loss] => 195.47189
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 193.9694
[entry_price] => 194.88
[stop_loss] => 195.56295
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:30:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.26
[max_drawdown] => 0.93000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 1.35
[high] => 195.81000000
[low] => 193.62000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.65
[mae_pct] => 0.48
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.35
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-14T03:09:03-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-14T05:09:03-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.74
[max_drawdown] => 0.93000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 4.02
[high] => 195.81000000
[low] => 191.14000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.92
[mae_pct] => 0.48
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.02
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-14T03:09:03-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-14T10:09:03-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 195.86000000
[high_after] => 195.81000000
[low_before] => 193.20000000
[low_after] => 191.14000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)