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Short Trade on AAVE

Short Trade on AAVE

The 14 Dec 2025 at 03:09:03

With 17.5706 AAVE at 194.88$ per unit.

Position size of 3424.1525 $

Take profit at 193.9694 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 195.3353 (0.23 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5.49
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.87
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.73
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.57
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.631183

15m : -0.106767

1H : 0.166634

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.3035378788
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 195.298
  4. ema21 - 196.097
  5. ema50 - 196.619
  6. ema100 - 197.071
  7. price_ema9_diff - -0.00214368
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00407239
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00265759
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0111223
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.0972186
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.050888
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.0228118
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.01431
  17. rsi - 0.434675
  18. adx - 0.139402
  19. kc_percentage - 0.290728
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0289183
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.54932
  22. volume_ema1 - 270103.3260236
  23. volume_ema2 - 599324.61875476
  24. chop - 59.6253
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 194.366
  28. ema21 - 194.794
  29. ema50 - 195.763
  30. ema100 - 196.265
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00263951
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00219266
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00495309
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.00706112
  35. all_emas_in_trend - True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - -0.0387463
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.0562314
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0428274
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0248219
  41. rsi - 0.479916
  42. adx - 0.308171
  43. kc_percentage - 0.55584
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0119887
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.22503
  46. volume_ema1 - 75749.191449298
  47. volume_ema2 - 97744.790718037
  48. chop - 63.5864
  49. regime - bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 194.491
  52. ema21 - 194.27
  53. ema50 - 194.555
  54. ema100 - 195.296
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00199671
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00114081
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00146889
  58. price_ema100_diff - -0.00213019
  59. all_emas_in_trend - False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0259083
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0122337
  63. ema_slope_50 - -0.0056227
  64. ema_slope_100 - -0.0112691
  65. rsi - 0.618956
  66. adx - 0.230736
  67. kc_percentage - 1.00974
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.00608398
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.193307
  70. volume_ema1 - 24802.850561256
  71. volume_ema2 - 30746.356873033
  72. chop - 49.9805
  73. regime - range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90192.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00024041
  78. 5m_price: 90213.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.631183
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 90211.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 2.23998E-5
  83. 15m_price: 90213.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.106767
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 90942.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.00801578
  88. 1H_price: 90213.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.166634
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
14 Dec 2025
03:09:03		 14 Dec 2025
03:25:00		 15 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
194.88 195.3353 193.9694 2 188.47
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 194.88
  • Stop Loss: 195.3353
  • Take Profit: 193.9694

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 195.3353 - 194.88 = 0.45529999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 194.88 - 193.9694 = 0.91059999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.91059999999999 / 0.45529999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3424.1525 100 17.5706 34.24
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.45529999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.45529999999999 = 17.57

Taille de position USD = 17.57 x 194.88 = 3424.04

Donc, tu peux acheter 17.57 avec un stoploss a 195.3353

Avec un position size USD de 3424.04$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17.57 x 0.45529999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17.57 x 0.91059999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17.57
  • Taille de position USD 3424.04
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.47 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.23 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.23
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2668 % 114.21 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.9694
            [entry_price] => 194.88
            [stop_loss] => 195.38083
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.9694
            [entry_price] => 194.88
            [stop_loss] => 195.42636
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.9694
            [entry_price] => 194.88
            [stop_loss] => 195.47189
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.9694
            [entry_price] => 194.88
            [stop_loss] => 195.56295
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.26
            [max_drawdown] => 0.93000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 1.35
            [high] => 195.81000000
            [low] => 193.62000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.65
            [mae_pct] => 0.48
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.35
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-14T03:09:03-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-14T05:09:03-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.74
            [max_drawdown] => 0.93000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 4.02
            [high] => 195.81000000
            [low] => 191.14000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.92
            [mae_pct] => 0.48
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-14T03:09:03-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-14T10:09:03-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 195.86000000
            [high_after] => 195.81000000
            [low_before] => 193.20000000
            [low_after] => 191.14000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)