Short Trade on AAVE 14 Dec 2025 at 03:09:03

Take profit at 193.9694 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 195.3353 (0.23 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 14 Dec 2025 at 03:09:03

With 17.5706 AAVE at 194.88$ per unit.

Position size of 3424.1525 $

Take profit at 193.9694 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 195.3353 (0.23 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5.49
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.87
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.73
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.57
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.631183

15m : -0.106767

1H : 0.166634

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.3035378788
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 195.298
  4. ema21 : 196.097
  5. ema50 : 196.619
  6. ema100 : 197.071
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00214368
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00407239
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00265759
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0111223
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0972186
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.050888
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0228118
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.01431
  17. rsi : 0.434675
  18. adx : 0.139402
  19. kc_percentage : 0.290728
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0289183
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.54932
  22. volume_ema1 : 270103.3260236
  23. volume_ema2 : 599324.61875476
  24. chop : 59.6253
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 194.366
  29. ema21 : 194.794
  30. ema50 : 195.763
  31. ema100 : 196.265
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00263951
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00219266
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00495309
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00706112
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0387463
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0562314
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0428274
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0248219
  42. rsi : 0.479916
  43. adx : 0.308171
  44. kc_percentage : 0.55584
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0119887
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.22503
  47. volume_ema1 : 75749.191449298
  48. volume_ema2 : 97744.790718037
  49. chop : 63.5864
  50. regime : bear_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 194.491
  54. ema21 : 194.27
  55. ema50 : 194.555
  56. ema100 : 195.296
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00199671
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00114081
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00146889
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00213019
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0259083
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0122337
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0056227
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0112691
  67. rsi : 0.618956
  68. adx : 0.230736
  69. kc_percentage : 1.00974
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00608398
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.193307
  72. volume_ema1 : 24802.850561256
  73. volume_ema2 : 30746.356873033
  74. chop : 49.9805
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    90192.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00024041
  81. 5m_price:
    90213.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.631183
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    90211.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    2.23998E-5
  86. 15m_price:
    90213.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.106767
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    90942.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00801578
  91. 1H_price:
    90213.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.166634
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-10 06:00:00
                        [1] => 196.17
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-10 15:00:00
                        [1] => 207.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-10 23:00:00
                        [1] => 186.83
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 09:00:00
                        [1] => 188.38
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 22:00:00
                        [1] => 206.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-12 05:00:00
                        [1] => 206.65
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
                        [1] => 189.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 05:00:00
                        [1] => 202.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
                        [1] => 195.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 01:00:00
                        [1] => 193.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.8964241676942
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.85403726708075
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 22
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2111801242236
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 10:00:00
                        [1] => 199.94
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 12:30:00
                        [1] => 196.27
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 14:30:00
                        [1] => 198.55
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 16:30:00
                        [1] => 195.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 17:30:00
                        [1] => 198.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 19:45:00
                        [1] => 198.01
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 20:45:00
                        [1] => 196.24
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 21:30:00
                        [1] => 198.05
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 01:30:00
                        [1] => 193.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 03:00:00
                        [1] => 194.97
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.061547930450841
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.85403726708075
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.91614906832299
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 19:05:00
                        [1] => 196.9
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 19:50:00
                        [1] => 198.01
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 20:50:00
                        [1] => 196.24
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 21:35:00
                        [1] => 198.05
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 00:20:00
                        [1] => 193.32
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 00:40:00
                        [1] => 194.4
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 01:30:00
                        [1] => 193.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 01:40:00
                        [1] => 194.23
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 02:30:00
                        [1] => 193.86
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 03:05:00
                        [1] => 194.97
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.061547930450841
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.51067780872794
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.57257814917981
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.51%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.57%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.7147
1.39%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.7694
0.40%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 19:05:00 196.9 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 19:50:00 198.01 ↑ High
2025-12-13 20:50:00 196.24 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 21:35:00 198.05 ↑ High
2025-12-14 00:20:00 193.32 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 00:40:00 194.4 ↑ High
2025-12-14 01:30:00 193.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 01:40:00 194.23 ↑ High
2025-12-14 02:30:00 193.86 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 03:05:00 194.97 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.85%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.92%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.6047
2.36%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.7694
0.40%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 10:00:00 199.94 ↑ High
2025-12-13 12:30:00 196.27 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 14:30:00 198.55 ↑ High
2025-12-13 16:30:00 195.54 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 17:30:00 198.09 ↑ High
2025-12-13 19:45:00 198.01 ↑ High
2025-12-13 20:45:00 196.24 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 21:30:00 198.05 ↑ High
2025-12-14 01:30:00 193.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 03:00:00 194.97 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.90%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.85%
Bars Since Swing High
22 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.21%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.7647
6.02%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.1394
3.68%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-10 06:00:00 196.17 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 15:00:00 207.1 ↑ High
2025-12-10 23:00:00 186.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 09:00:00 188.38 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 22:00:00 206.75 ↑ High
2025-12-12 05:00:00 206.65 ↑ High
2025-12-12 11:00:00 189.18 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 05:00:00 202.75 ↑ High
2025-12-13 16:00:00 195.54 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 01:00:00 193.2 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
14 Dec 2025
03:09:03
14 Dec 2025
03:25:00
15 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
194.88 195.3353 193.9694 2 119.44
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 194.88
  • Stop Loss: 195.3353
  • Take Profit: 193.9694

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 195.3353 - 194.88 = 0.45529999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 194.88 - 193.9694 = 0.91059999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.91059999999999 / 0.45529999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3424.1525 100 17.5706 34.24
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.45529999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.45529999999999 = 17.57

Taille de position USD = 17.57 x 194.88 = 3424.04

Donc, tu peux acheter 17.57 avec un stoploss a 195.3353

Avec un position size USD de 3424.04$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17.57 x 0.45529999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17.57 x 0.91059999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17.57
  • Taille de position USD 3424.04
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.47 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.23 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.23
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2668 % 114.21 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.9694
            [entry_price] => 194.88
            [stop_loss] => 195.38083
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.9694
            [entry_price] => 194.88
            [stop_loss] => 195.42636
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.9694
            [entry_price] => 194.88
            [stop_loss] => 195.47189
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.9694
            [entry_price] => 194.88
            [stop_loss] => 195.56295
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.26
            [max_drawdown] => 0.93000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 1.35
            [high] => 195.81000000
            [low] => 193.62000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.65
            [mae_pct] => 0.48
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.35
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-14T03:09:03-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-14T05:09:03-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.74
            [max_drawdown] => 0.93000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 4.02
            [high] => 195.81000000
            [low] => 191.14000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.92
            [mae_pct] => 0.48
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-14T03:09:03-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-14T10:09:03-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 195.86000000
            [high_after] => 195.81000000
            [low_before] => 193.20000000
            [low_after] => 191.14000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)