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Short Trade on AVAX

Short Trade on AVAX

The 14 Dec 2025 at 03:09:13

With 304.4646 AVAX at 13.269$ per unit.

Position size of 4039.9408 $

Take profit at 13.2164 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 13.2953 (0.2 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.82
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.63
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.55
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.562404

15m : 0.094792

1H : 0.111686

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.13
  4. atr: 0.01751708846
Details
  1. score: 1.13
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 13.2692
  4. ema21 - 13.2923
  5. ema50 - 13.3508
  6. ema100 - 13.5537
  7. price_ema9_diff - -2.13519E-5
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00173744
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00437752
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0210103
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.0479024
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.0187561
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.0248881
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0439731
  17. rsi - 0.470515
  18. adx - 0.132317
  19. kc_percentage - 0.423269
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0219833
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.612924
  22. volume_ema1 - 160018.87962024
  23. volume_ema2 - 413404.53418312
  24. chop - 66.9387
  25. regime - bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 13.2293
  28. ema21 - 13.2489
  29. ema50 - 13.2854
  30. ema100 - 13.3083
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00299568
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00147616
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00274772
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.00295427
  35. all_emas_in_trend - True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - -0.0356042
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.0390009
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0259928
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0154119
  41. rsi - 0.522921
  42. adx - 0.324678
  43. kc_percentage - 0.672249
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.00959541
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.200798
  46. volume_ema1 - 44624.978631294
  47. volume_ema2 - 55836.93173019
  48. chop - 57.3116
  49. regime - range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 13.2353
  52. ema21 - 13.2238
  53. ema50 - 13.2396
  54. ema100 - 13.2736
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00254123
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.000872746
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0011934
  58. price_ema100_diff - -0.000350556
  59. all_emas_in_trend - False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0199616
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.00599567
  63. ema_slope_50 - -0.00594739
  64. ema_slope_100 - -0.00863331
  65. rsi - 0.653762
  66. adx - 0.281074
  67. kc_percentage - 1.1289
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.00539672
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.27598
  70. volume_ema1 - 13363.512008725
  71. volume_ema2 - 18457.402951939
  72. chop - 35.5692
  73. regime - range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90192.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.000288229
  78. 5m_price: 90218.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.562404
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 90211.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 7.0208E-5
  83. 15m_price: 90218.3
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.094792
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 90942.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.00796835
  88. 1H_price: 90218.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.111686
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
14 Dec 2025
03:09:13		 14 Dec 2025
03:30:00		 20 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.269 13.2953 13.2164 2 12.252
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.269
  • Stop Loss: 13.2953
  • Take Profit: 13.2164

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.2953 - 13.269 = 0.026299999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.269 - 13.2164 = 0.0526

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0526 / 0.026299999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4039.9408 100 304.4646 40.40
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.026299999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.026299999999999 = 304.18

Taille de position USD = 304.18 x 13.269 = 4036.16

Donc, tu peux acheter 304.18 avec un stoploss a 13.2953

Avec un position size USD de 4036.16$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 304.18 x 0.026299999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 304.18 x 0.0526 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 304.18
  • Taille de position USD 4036.16
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.4 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.2 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
16.01 $ 0.40
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.2164
            [stop_loss] => 13.2953
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.20325
            [stop_loss] => 13.2953
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1901
            [stop_loss] => 13.2953
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.17695
            [stop_loss] => 13.2953
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1638
            [stop_loss] => 13.2953
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 04:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.15065
            [stop_loss] => 13.2953
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 04:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1375
            [stop_loss] => 13.2953
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 04:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.12435
            [stop_loss] => 13.2953
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 05:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1112
            [stop_loss] => 13.2953
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 05:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.09805
            [stop_loss] => 13.2953
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 05:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.0849
            [stop_loss] => 13.2953
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 05:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.132
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 13.26700000
            [low] => 13.13700000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.99
            [mae_pct] => -0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-14T03:09:13-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-14T05:09:13-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.316
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 13.26700000
            [low] => 12.95300000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.38
            [mae_pct] => -0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-14T03:09:13-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-14T10:09:13-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.30800000
            [high_after] => 13.26700000
            [low_before] => 13.17500000
            [low_after] => 12.95300000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)