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Short Trade on AAVE

Short Trade on AAVE

The 14 Dec 2025 at 03:33:11

With 16.0834 AAVE at 195.33$ per unit.

Position size of 3141.5668 $

Take profit at 194.3352 (0.51 %) and Stop Loss at 195.8274 (0.25 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8.78
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.61
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.68
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.77
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.594004

15m : -0.00275

1H : 0.157256

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 0.3316052345
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 195.388
  4. ema21 - 196.138
  5. ema50 - 196.637
  6. ema100 - 197.08
  7. price_ema9_diff - -0.000300219
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00382125
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00253905
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.00888377
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.0934231
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.0491601
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.0220659
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0139338
  17. rsi - 0.455971
  18. adx - 0.135564
  19. kc_percentage - 0.36848
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0300599
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.364715
  22. volume_ema1 - 389678.64935693
  23. volume_ema2 - 613392.3038528
  24. chop - 59.6871
  25. regime - range_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 194.707
  28. ema21 - 194.885
  29. ema50 - 195.74
  30. ema100 - 196.302
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.0031967
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.000914018
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00436491
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.00495469
  35. all_emas_in_trend - True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - -0.00496018
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.0368218
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0354976
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0224785
  41. rsi - 0.529569
  42. adx - 0.263548
  43. kc_percentage - 0.700135
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0121941
  45. volume_ema_diff - 0.00226813
  46. volume_ema1 - 103555.14845895
  47. volume_ema2 - 103320.80254619
  48. chop - 53.8408
  49. regime - range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 194.897
  52. ema21 - 194.572
  53. ema50 - 194.644
  54. ema100 - 195.261
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00221682
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0016746
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.000374036
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.000353298
  59. all_emas_in_trend - False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0400736
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0248032
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.00351261
  64. ema_slope_100 - -0.00586803
  65. rsi - 0.646486
  66. adx - 0.255017
  67. kc_percentage - 1.05389
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.00686188
  69. volume_ema_diff - 0.337989
  70. volume_ema1 - 50543.163938108
  71. volume_ema2 - 37775.444564945
  72. chop - 39.4663
  73. regime - range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90197.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.000408765
  78. 5m_price: 90160.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.594004
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 90201.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00045068
  83. 15m_price: 90160.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.00275
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 90941.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.00858713
  88. 1H_price: 90160.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.157256
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
14 Dec 2025
03:33:11		 14 Dec 2025
04:00:00		 26 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
195.33 195.8274 194.3352 2 188.47
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 195.33
  • Stop Loss: 195.8274
  • Take Profit: 194.3352

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 195.8274 - 195.33 = 0.4974

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 195.33 - 194.3352 = 0.99480000000003

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.99480000000003 / 0.4974 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3141.5668 100 16.0834 31.42
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4974

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4974 = 16.08

Taille de position USD = 16.08 x 195.33 = 3140.91

Donc, tu peux acheter 16.08 avec un stoploss a 195.8274

Avec un position size USD de 3140.91$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 16.08 x 0.4974 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 16.08 x 0.99480000000003 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 16.08
  • Taille de position USD 3140.91
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.51 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2457 % 96.5 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 194.3352
            [stop_loss] => 195.8274
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 04:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 194.0865
            [stop_loss] => 195.8274
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 04:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.8378
            [stop_loss] => 195.8274
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 04:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.5891
            [stop_loss] => 195.8274
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 05:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.3404
            [stop_loss] => 195.8274
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 06:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.0917
            [stop_loss] => 195.8274
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 06:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.843
            [stop_loss] => 195.8274
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 06:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.5943
            [stop_loss] => 195.8274
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 06:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.3456
            [stop_loss] => 195.8274
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 06:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.0969
            [stop_loss] => 195.8274
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 06:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.8482
            [stop_loss] => 195.8274
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 06:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.76
            [max_drawdown] => 0.47999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 3.67
            [high] => 195.81000000
            [low] => 193.57000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.9
            [mae_pct] => 0.25
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.67
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-14T03:33:11-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-14T05:33:11-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.42
            [max_drawdown] => 0.47999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 9.21
            [high] => 195.81000000
            [low] => 190.91000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.26
            [mae_pct] => 0.25
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 9.21
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-14T03:33:11-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-14T10:33:11-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 195.64000000
            [high_after] => 195.81000000
            [low_before] => 193.20000000
            [low_after] => 191.14000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)