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Short Trade on AAVE

Short Trade on AAVE

The 14 Dec 2025 at 03:35:28

With 16.2357 AAVE at 195.55$ per unit.

Position size of 3174.8952 $

Take profit at 194.5645 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 196.0427 (0.25 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.74
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.56
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.55
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.594058

15m : -0.076619

1H : -0.114633

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.15
  4. atr: 0.3284937794
Details
  1. score: 1.15
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 195.432
  4. ema21 - 196.158
  5. ema50 - 196.646
  6. ema100 - 197.085
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.000600414
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00369851
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00248111
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.00778941
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.0915676
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.0483154
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.0217013
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0137499
  17. rsi - 0.465808
  18. adx - 0.133811
  19. kc_percentage - 0.403951
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.030517
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.321847
  22. volume_ema1 - 418253.0210236
  23. volume_ema2 - 616753.99463711
  24. chop - 59.7123
  25. regime - range_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 194.751
  28. ema21 - 194.905
  29. ema50 - 195.748
  30. ema100 - 196.306
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00409969
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.000790788
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00430662
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.00385608
  35. all_emas_in_trend - True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - -0.00307814
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.0359704
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0351318
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.022294
  41. rsi - 0.552053
  42. adx - 0.264631
  43. kc_percentage - 0.769663
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0128145
  45. volume_ema_diff - 0.23853
  46. volume_ema1 - 132129.52012561
  47. volume_ema2 - 106682.4933305
  48. chop - 50.0094
  49. regime - range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 195.063
  52. ema21 - 194.679
  53. ema50 - 194.683
  54. ema100 - 195.235
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00249376
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00197442
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - -2.44785E-5
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.00160922
  59. all_emas_in_trend - False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.046456
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.029188
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.00637589
  64. ema_slope_100 - -0.00389733
  65. rsi - 0.670738
  66. adx - 0.269308
  67. kc_percentage - 1.14632
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.00673946
  69. volume_ema_diff - 0.335009
  70. volume_ema1 - 52745.023736516
  71. volume_ema2 - 39509.101226206
  72. chop - 34.3969
  73. regime - range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90181.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.000103653
  78. 5m_price: 90172.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.594058
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 90201.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.000301805
  83. 15m_price: 90174.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.076619
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 90942
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.008461
  88. 1H_price: 90172.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.114633
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
14 Dec 2025
03:35:28		 14 Dec 2025
03:45:00		 9 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
195.55 196.0427 194.5645 2 188.47
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 195.55
  • Stop Loss: 196.0427
  • Take Profit: 194.5645

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 196.0427 - 195.55 = 0.49269999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 195.55 - 194.5645 = 0.9855

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.9855 / 0.49269999999999 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3174.8952 100 16.2357 31.75
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.49269999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.49269999999999 = 16.24

Taille de position USD = 16.24 x 195.55 = 3175.73

Donc, tu peux acheter 16.24 avec un stoploss a 196.0427

Avec un position size USD de 3175.73$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 16.24 x 0.49269999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 16.24 x 0.9855 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 16.24
  • Taille de position USD 3175.73
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.5 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 194.5646
            [stop_loss] => 196.0427
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 194.31825
            [stop_loss] => 196.0427
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 04:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 194.0719
            [stop_loss] => 196.0427
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 04:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.82555
            [stop_loss] => 196.0427
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 04:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.5792
            [stop_loss] => 196.0427
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 05:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.33285
            [stop_loss] => 196.0427
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 06:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.0865
            [stop_loss] => 196.0427
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 06:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.84015
            [stop_loss] => 196.0427
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 06:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.5938
            [stop_loss] => 196.0427
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 06:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.34745
            [stop_loss] => 196.0427
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 06:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.1011
            [stop_loss] => 196.0427
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 06:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.98
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 195.55000000
            [low] => 193.57000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.01
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-14T03:35:28-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-14T05:35:28-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.64
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 195.55000000
            [low] => 190.91000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.37
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-14T03:35:28-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-14T10:35:28-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 195.81000000
            [high_after] => 195.55000000
            [low_before] => 193.20000000
            [low_after] => 191.14000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)