Short Trade on RIVER 14 Dec 2025 at 08:14:28
Take profit at 5.5684 (6.05 %) and Stop Loss at 6.1063 (3.03 %)
Short Trade on RIVER 14 Dec 2025 at 08:14:28
Take profit at 5.5684 (6.05 %) and Stop Loss at 6.1063 (3.03 %)
Position size of 264.4643 $
Take profit at 5.5684 (6.05 %) and Stop Loss at 6.1063 (3.03 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.71 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.74 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.81 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.140159 15m : -0.107462 1H : -0.080093 |
2 |
Indicators:
89787.5
-0.00613252
89236.9
-0.140159
90022.2
-0.00872445
89236.9
-0.107462
90769.8
-0.0168882
89236.9
-0.080093
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 22:00:00
[1] => 5.85
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 04:00:00
[1] => 5.894
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 08:00:00
[1] => 6.863
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 07:00:00
[1] => 7.6
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 16:00:00
[1] => 5.406
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 18:00:00
[1] => 7.118
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 10:00:00
[1] => 7.39
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 12:00:00
[1] => 6.905
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 19:00:00
[1] => 8.516
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 07:00:00
[1] => 5.331
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -30.037576326914
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 11.76139561058
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 59.74488838867
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 10:00:00
[1] => 7.39
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 12:30:00
[1] => 6.905
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 19:15:00
[1] => 8.516
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 19:45:00
[1] => 7.468
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 23:45:00
[1] => 7.11
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 00:15:00
[1] => 7.467
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 01:45:00
[1] => 7.607
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 04:15:00
[1] => 5.534
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 07:15:00
[1] => 5.331
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 08:00:00
[1] => 5.981
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.38455107841498
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 11.76139561058
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.192834365035
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 00:20:00
[1] => 7.467
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 00:25:00
[1] => 7.158
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 01:50:00
[1] => 7.607
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 04:15:00
[1] => 5.534
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 04:35:00
[1] => 6.398
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 06:25:00
[1] => 5.428
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 06:35:00
[1] => 5.428
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 06:45:00
[1] => 5.706
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 07:25:00
[1] => 5.331
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 08:10:00
[1] => 5.981
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.38455107841498
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 11.76139561058
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.192834365035
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 00:20:00 | 7.467 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 00:25:00 | 7.158 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 01:50:00 | 7.607 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 04:15:00 | 5.534 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 04:35:00 | 6.398 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 06:25:00 | 5.428 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 06:35:00 | 5.428 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 06:45:00 | 5.706 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 07:25:00 | 5.331 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 08:10:00 | 5.981 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 10:00:00 | 7.39 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 12:30:00 | 6.905 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 19:15:00 | 8.516 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 19:45:00 | 7.468 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 23:45:00 | 7.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 00:15:00 | 7.467 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 01:45:00 | 7.607 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 04:15:00 | 5.534 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 07:15:00 | 5.331 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 08:00:00 | 5.981 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 22:00:00 | 5.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 04:00:00 | 5.894 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 08:00:00 | 6.863 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 07:00:00 | 7.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 16:00:00 | 5.406 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 18:00:00 | 7.118 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 10:00:00 | 7.39 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 12:00:00 | 6.905 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 19:00:00 | 8.516 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 07:00:00 | 5.331 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 08:14:28 |
14 Dec 2025 08:20:00 |
5 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.927 | 6.1063 | 5.5684 | 2 | 10.782 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.1063 - 5.927 = 0.1793
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 5.927 - 5.5684 = 0.3586
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3586 / 0.1793 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 264.4643 | 100 | 44.6203 | 2.64 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1793 = 44.62
Taille de position USD = 44.62 x 5.927 = 264.46
Donc, tu peux acheter 44.62 avec un stoploss a 6.1063
Avec un position size USD de 264.46$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 44.62 x 0.1793 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 44.62 x 0.3586 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.05 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.03 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.5003 % | 181.82 % | 0 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.5684
[entry_price] => 5.927
[stop_loss] => 6.12423
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 08:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.5684
[entry_price] => 5.927
[stop_loss] => 6.14216
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 08:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.5684
[entry_price] => 5.927
[stop_loss] => 6.16009
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 08:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.5684
[entry_price] => 5.927
[stop_loss] => 6.19595
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 08:20:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.285
[max_drawdown] => 0.371
[rr_ratio] => 0.77
[high] => 6.29800000
[low] => 5.64200000
[mfe_pct] => 4.81
[mae_pct] => 6.26
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.77
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-14T08:14:28-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-14T10:14:28-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.295
[max_drawdown] => 0.403
[rr_ratio] => 0.73
[high] => 6.33000000
[low] => 5.63200000
[mfe_pct] => 4.98
[mae_pct] => 6.8
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.73
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-14T08:14:28-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-14T15:14:28-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 6.39800000
[high_after] => 6.33000000
[low_before] => 5.33100000
[low_after] => 5.64200000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)