Short Trade on RIVER 14 Dec 2025 at 08:17:05
Take profit at 5.6437 (6.09 %) and Stop Loss at 6.1932 (3.05 %)
Short Trade on RIVER 14 Dec 2025 at 08:17:05
Take profit at 5.6437 (6.09 %) and Stop Loss at 6.1932 (3.05 %)
Position size of 262.5049 $
Take profit at 5.6437 (6.09 %) and Stop Loss at 6.1932 (3.05 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.92 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.74 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.89 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : range_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.140452 15m : -0.112921 1H : -0.233503 |
2 |
Indicators:
89773
-0.00607272
89227.9
-0.140452
90002.8
-0.00860985
89227.9
-0.112921
90769.6
-0.0169854
89227.9
-0.233503
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 22:00:00
[1] => 5.85
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 04:00:00
[1] => 5.894
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 08:00:00
[1] => 6.863
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 07:00:00
[1] => 7.6
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 16:00:00
[1] => 5.406
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 18:00:00
[1] => 7.118
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 10:00:00
[1] => 7.39
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 12:00:00
[1] => 6.905
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 19:00:00
[1] => 8.516
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 07:00:00
[1] => 5.331
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -29.297792390794
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 12.943162633652
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 59.74488838867
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 10:00:00
[1] => 7.39
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 12:30:00
[1] => 6.905
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 19:15:00
[1] => 8.516
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 19:45:00
[1] => 7.468
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 23:45:00
[1] => 7.11
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 00:15:00
[1] => 7.467
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 01:45:00
[1] => 7.607
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 04:15:00
[1] => 5.534
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 07:15:00
[1] => 5.331
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 08:15:00
[1] => 6.069
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.79090459713297
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 12.943162633652
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 13.843556555993
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 00:20:00
[1] => 7.467
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 00:25:00
[1] => 7.158
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 01:50:00
[1] => 7.607
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 04:15:00
[1] => 5.534
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 04:35:00
[1] => 6.398
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 06:25:00
[1] => 5.428
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 06:35:00
[1] => 5.428
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 06:45:00
[1] => 5.706
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 07:25:00
[1] => 5.331
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 08:15:00
[1] => 6.069
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.79090459713297
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 12.943162633652
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 13.843556555993
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 00:20:00 | 7.467 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 00:25:00 | 7.158 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 01:50:00 | 7.607 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 04:15:00 | 5.534 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 04:35:00 | 6.398 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 06:25:00 | 5.428 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 06:35:00 | 5.428 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 06:45:00 | 5.706 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 07:25:00 | 5.331 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 08:15:00 | 6.069 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 10:00:00 | 7.39 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 12:30:00 | 6.905 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 19:15:00 | 8.516 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 19:45:00 | 7.468 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 23:45:00 | 7.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 00:15:00 | 7.467 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 01:45:00 | 7.607 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 04:15:00 | 5.534 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 07:15:00 | 5.331 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 08:15:00 | 6.069 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 22:00:00 | 5.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 04:00:00 | 5.894 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 08:00:00 | 6.863 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 07:00:00 | 7.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 16:00:00 | 5.406 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 18:00:00 | 7.118 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 10:00:00 | 7.39 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 12:00:00 | 6.905 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 19:00:00 | 8.516 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 07:00:00 | 5.331 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 08:17:05 |
14 Dec 2025 08:20:00 |
2 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.01 | 6.1932 | 5.6437 | 2 | 10.965 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.1932 - 6.01 = 0.1832
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.01 - 5.6437 = 0.3663
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3663 / 0.1832 = 1.9995
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 262.5049 | 100 | 43.678 | 2.63 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1832 = 43.67
Taille de position USD = 43.67 x 6.01 = 262.46
Donc, tu peux acheter 43.67 avec un stoploss a 6.1932
Avec un position size USD de 262.46$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 43.67 x 0.1832 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 43.67 x 0.3663 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.09 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.05 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.0433 % | 132.64 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.6437
[entry_price] => 6.01
[stop_loss] => 6.21152
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 08:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.6437
[entry_price] => 6.01
[stop_loss] => 6.22984
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 08:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.6437
[entry_price] => 6.01
[stop_loss] => 6.24816
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 08:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.6437
[entry_price] => 6.01
[stop_loss] => 6.2848
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 08:25:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.368
[max_drawdown] => 0.288
[rr_ratio] => 1.28
[high] => 6.29800000
[low] => 5.64200000
[mfe_pct] => 6.12
[mae_pct] => 4.79
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.28
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-14T08:17:05-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-14T10:17:05-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.378
[max_drawdown] => 0.32
[rr_ratio] => 1.18
[high] => 6.33000000
[low] => 5.63200000
[mfe_pct] => 6.29
[mae_pct] => 5.32
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.18
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-14T08:17:05-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-14T15:17:05-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 6.39800000
[high_after] => 6.33000000
[low_before] => 5.33100000
[low_after] => 5.64200000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)