Short Trade on AAVE 15 Dec 2025 at 16:40:13
Take profit at 182.4356 (1.36 %) and Stop Loss at 186.2222 (0.68 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 15 Dec 2025 at 16:40:13
Take profit at 182.4356 (1.36 %) and Stop Loss at 186.2222 (0.68 %)
Position size of 1172.2969 $
Take profit at 182.4356 (1.36 %) and Stop Loss at 186.2222 (0.68 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.52 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.42 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.81 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.813498 15m : -0.062435 1H : 0.05194 |
3 |
Indicators:
86710.8
-0.00674805
86125.7
0.813498
87899.5
-0.0213456
86023.3
-0.062435
89482.9
-0.0375187
86125.7
0.05194
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Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 11:40:00 | 181.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 12:05:00 | 183.5 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:00:00 | 179.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 13:15:00 | 181.91 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:35:00 | 179.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 14:25:00 | 184.95 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 15:20:00 | 180.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 15:35:00 | 183.61 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 16:05:00 | 181.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 16:35:00 | 186.09 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 03:00:00 | 193.73 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 04:30:00 | 193.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 05:30:00 | 196.22 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 06:30:00 | 194.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 07:45:00 | 195.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 09:30:00 | 195.87 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:00:00 | 179.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 14:15:00 | 184.95 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 15:15:00 | 180.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 16:30:00 | 186.09 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 13:00:00 | 190.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 22:00:00 | 206.75 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 05:00:00 | 206.65 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 11:00:00 | 189.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 05:00:00 | 202.75 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 16:00:00 | 195.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 18:00:00 | 185.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 01:00:00 | 196.58 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:00:00 | 179.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 16:00:00 | 186.09 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec 2025 16:40:13 |
15 Dec 2025 17:55:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184.96 | 186.2222 | 182.4356 | 2 | 114.14 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 186.2222 - 184.96 = 1.2622
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 184.96 - 182.4356 = 2.5244
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.5244 / 1.2622 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1172.2969 | 100 | 6.3381 | 11.72 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.2622 = 6.34
Taille de position USD = 6.34 x 184.96 = 1172.65
Donc, tu peux acheter 6.34 avec un stoploss a 186.2222
Avec un position size USD de 1172.65$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6.34 x 1.2622 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6.34 x 2.5244 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.36 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.68 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.68 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9191 % | 134.69 % | 3 |
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