Short Trade on AR

The 15 Dec 2025 at 16:41:01

With 494.1979 AR at 3.553$ per unit.

Position size of 1755.8852 $

Take profit at 3.5206 (0.91 %) and Stop Loss at 3.5692 (0.46 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.66
Prediction Score: 6
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.61
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.47
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.57
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.698045

15m : -0.121881

1H : -0.025119

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.0107918976
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 3.57435
  4. ema21 - 3.65421
  5. ema50 - 3.75503
  6. ema100 - 3.83072
  7. price_ema9_diff - -0.00597392
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0218547
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0268506
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0724991
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.456632
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.330433
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.209734
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.132157
  17. rsi - 0.352667
  18. adx - 0.375056
  19. kc_percentage - 0.122025
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0714101
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.0460411
  22. volume_ema1 - 161025.76691136
  23. volume_ema2 - 168797.39420767
  24. chop - 31.3299
  25. regime - bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 - 3.53074
  29. ema21 - 3.54392
  30. ema50 - 3.60454
  31. ema100 - 3.66511
  32. price_ema9_diff - 0.00630291
  33. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00371923
  34. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0168178
  35. price_ema100_diff - -0.0305885
  36. all_emas_in_trend - True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  38. ema_slope_9 - 0.0518119
  39. ema_slope_21 - -0.0537775
  40. ema_slope_50 - -0.0990926
  41. ema_slope_100 - -0.0797263
  42. rsi - 0.468584
  43. adx - 0.23821
  44. kc_percentage - 0.605432
  45. kc_width_percentage - 0.0293737
  46. volume_ema_diff - -0.880656
  47. volume_ema1 - 7214.8291563458
  48. volume_ema2 - 60454.188709569
  49. chop - 54.0487
  50. regime - bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 - 3.53847
  54. ema21 - 3.53218
  55. ema50 - 3.53657
  56. ema100 - 3.56559
  57. price_ema9_diff - 0.00410495
  58. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00178058
  59. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00124023
  60. price_ema100_diff - -0.00353157
  61. all_emas_in_trend - False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  63. ema_slope_9 - 0.0305241
  64. ema_slope_21 - 0.00769321
  65. ema_slope_50 - -0.00811728
  66. ema_slope_100 - -0.0225141
  67. rsi - 0.628591
  68. adx - 0.183408
  69. kc_percentage - 1.04387
  70. kc_width_percentage - 0.010656
  71. volume_ema_diff - -0.838229
  72. volume_ema1 - 2001.0767886164
  73. volume_ema2 - 12369.874168796
  74. chop - 49.1428
  75. regime - range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100: 86710.8
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00674805
  81. 5m_price: 86125.7
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.698045
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100: 87899.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0213456
  86. 15m_price: 86023.3
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.121881
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100: 89482.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0375187
  91. 1H_price: 86125.7
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.025119
  93. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Dec 2025
16:41:01
15 Dec 2025
17:10:00
28 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.553 3.5692 3.5206 2 3.607
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.553
  • Stop Loss: 3.5692
  • Take Profit: 3.5206

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.5692 - 3.553 = 0.0162

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.553 - 3.5206 = 0.0324

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0324 / 0.0162 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1755.8852 100 494.1979 17.56
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0162

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0162 = 493.83

Taille de position USD = 493.83 x 3.553 = 1754.58

Donc, tu peux acheter 493.83 avec un stoploss a 3.5692

Avec un position size USD de 1754.58$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 493.83 x 0.0162 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 493.83 x 0.0324 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 493.83
  • Taille de position USD 1754.58
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.91 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.46 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -0.46
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8444 % 185.18 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5206
            [entry_price] => 3.553
            [stop_loss] => 3.57082
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 17:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5206
            [entry_price] => 3.553
            [stop_loss] => 3.57244
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 17:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5206
            [entry_price] => 3.553
            [stop_loss] => 3.57406
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 17:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5206
            [entry_price] => 3.553
            [stop_loss] => 3.5773
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 17:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.014
            [max_drawdown] => 0.047
            [rr_ratio] => 0.3
            [high] => 3.60000000
            [low] => 3.53900000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.39
            [mae_pct] => 1.32
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.3
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T16:41:01-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T18:41:01-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.033
            [max_drawdown] => 0.047
            [rr_ratio] => 0.7
            [high] => 3.60000000
            [low] => 3.52000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.93
            [mae_pct] => 1.32
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.7
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T16:41:01-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T23:41:01-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.58500000
            [high_after] => 3.60000000
            [low_before] => 3.45700000
            [low_after] => 3.52000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)