Short Trade on AAVE 15 Dec 2025 at 17:05:57
Take profit at 183.2076 (1.37 %) and Stop Loss at 187.0212 (0.68 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 15 Dec 2025 at 17:05:57
Take profit at 183.2076 (1.37 %) and Stop Loss at 187.0212 (0.68 %)
Position size of 1168.9611 $
Take profit at 183.2076 (1.37 %) and Stop Loss at 187.0212 (0.68 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.64 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.55 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.68 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.812808 15m : -0.088652 1H : -0.056314 |
3 |
Indicators:
86649.6
-0.00751836
85998.2
0.812808
87831.7
-0.0208758
85998.2
-0.088652
89433
-0.0384071
85998.2
-0.056314
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 14:00:00
[1] => 192.75
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 22:00:00
[1] => 206.75
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 05:00:00
[1] => 206.65
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
[1] => 189.18
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 05:00:00
[1] => 202.75
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
[1] => 195.54
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
[1] => 185.69
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 01:00:00
[1] => 196.58
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
[1] => 179.14
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 17:00:00
[1] => 186.12
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19879647539222
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.6898515127833
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8963938818801
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 03:00:00
[1] => 193.73
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 04:30:00
[1] => 193.76
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 05:30:00
[1] => 196.22
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 06:30:00
[1] => 194.11
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 07:45:00
[1] => 195.7
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 09:30:00
[1] => 195.87
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
[1] => 179.14
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 14:15:00
[1] => 184.95
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
[1] => 180.91
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 17:00:00
[1] => 186.12
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19879647539222
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.6753634403847
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8798850257034
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 12:05:00
[1] => 183.5
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
[1] => 179.14
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:15:00
[1] => 181.91
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:35:00
[1] => 179.26
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 14:25:00
[1] => 184.95
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 15:20:00
[1] => 180.91
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 15:35:00
[1] => 183.61
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 16:05:00
[1] => 181.6
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 16:35:00
[1] => 186.09
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 17:05:00
[1] => 186.12
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19879647539222
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2852422907489
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.0161212316621
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 12:05:00 | 183.5 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:00:00 | 179.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 13:15:00 | 181.91 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:35:00 | 179.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 14:25:00 | 184.95 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 15:20:00 | 180.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 15:35:00 | 183.61 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 16:05:00 | 181.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 16:35:00 | 186.09 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 17:05:00 | 186.12 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 03:00:00 | 193.73 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 04:30:00 | 193.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 05:30:00 | 196.22 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 06:30:00 | 194.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 07:45:00 | 195.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 09:30:00 | 195.87 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:00:00 | 179.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 14:15:00 | 184.95 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 15:15:00 | 180.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 17:00:00 | 186.12 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 14:00:00 | 192.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 22:00:00 | 206.75 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 05:00:00 | 206.65 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 11:00:00 | 189.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 05:00:00 | 202.75 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 16:00:00 | 195.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 18:00:00 | 185.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 01:00:00 | 196.58 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:00:00 | 179.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 17:00:00 | 186.12 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec 2025 17:05:57 |
15 Dec 2025 18:00:00 |
54 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185.75 | 187.0212 | 183.2076 | 2 | 112.91 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 187.0212 - 185.75 = 1.2712
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 185.75 - 183.2076 = 2.5424
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.5424 / 1.2712 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1168.9611 | 100 | 6.2932 | 11.69 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.2712 = 6.29
Taille de position USD = 6.29 x 185.75 = 1168.37
Donc, tu peux acheter 6.29 avec un stoploss a 187.0212
Avec un position size USD de 1168.37$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6.29 x 1.2712 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6.29 x 2.5424 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.37 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.68 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.68 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0336 % | 151.02 % | 6 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 183.2076
[entry_price] => 185.75
[stop_loss] => 187.14832
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 183.2076
[entry_price] => 185.75
[stop_loss] => 187.27544
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 183.2076
[entry_price] => 185.75
[stop_loss] => 187.40256
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 183.2076
[entry_price] => 185.75
[stop_loss] => 187.6568
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.04
[max_drawdown] => 9.61
[rr_ratio] => 0.11
[high] => 195.36000000
[low] => 184.71000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.56
[mae_pct] => 5.17
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.11
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-15T17:05:57-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-15T19:05:57-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.81
[max_drawdown] => 9.61
[rr_ratio] => 0.29
[high] => 195.36000000
[low] => 182.94000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.51
[mae_pct] => 5.17
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.29
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-15T17:05:57-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T00:05:57-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 186.12000000
[high_after] => 195.36000000
[low_before] => 179.26000000
[low_after] => 184.71000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)