Short Trade on AAVE 15 Dec 2025 at 17:05:57

Take profit at 183.2076 (1.37 %) and Stop Loss at 187.0212 (0.68 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 15 Dec 2025 at 17:05:57

With 6.2932 AAVE at 185.75$ per unit.

Position size of 1168.9611 $

Take profit at 183.2076 (1.37 %) and Stop Loss at 187.0212 (0.68 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.26
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.64
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.55
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.68
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.812808

15m : -0.088652

1H : -0.056314

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.8474761676
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 185.522
  4. ema21 : 188.17
  5. ema50 : 191.122
  6. ema100 : 193.018
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0012284
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0140759
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0154433
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0376559
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.368159
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.227141
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.128176
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0754768
  17. rsi : 0.415113
  18. adx : 0.315403
  19. kc_percentage : 0.313832
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0652058
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0241798
  22. volume_ema1 : 978860.87853724
  23. volume_ema2 : 955750.99800092
  24. chop : 28.0132
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 183.999
  29. ema21 : 184.014
  30. ema50 : 186.46
  31. ema100 : 188.442
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.009516
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -8.36016E-5
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0131204
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0142888
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0746763
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0322116
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0802168
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0592362
  42. rsi : 0.556433
  43. adx : 0.319574
  44. kc_percentage : 0.774684
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0353428
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.268972
  47. volume_ema1 : 251807.17657354
  48. volume_ema2 : 344456.51478446
  49. chop : 56.1502
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 184.979
  54. ema21 : 183.988
  55. ema50 : 183.613
  56. ema100 : 184.935
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00416623
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00538736
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00204141
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00440525
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.126315
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0710576
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0237572
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00699584
  67. rsi : 0.703069
  68. adx : 0.26945
  69. kc_percentage : 1.0068
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0181647
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.411311
  72. volume_ema1 : 63930.483051195
  73. volume_ema2 : 108598.05952487
  74. chop : 35.4335
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86649.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00751836
  81. 5m_price:
    85998.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.812808
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87831.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0208758
  86. 15m_price:
    85998.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.088652
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    89433
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0384071
  91. 1H_price:
    85998.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.056314
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 14:00:00
                        [1] => 192.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 22:00:00
                        [1] => 206.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-12 05:00:00
                        [1] => 206.65
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
                        [1] => 189.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 05:00:00
                        [1] => 202.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
                        [1] => 195.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                        [1] => 185.69
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 01:00:00
                        [1] => 196.58
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 179.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 17:00:00
                        [1] => 186.12
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19879647539222
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.6898515127833
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8963938818801
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 03:00:00
                        [1] => 193.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 04:30:00
                        [1] => 193.76
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 05:30:00
                        [1] => 196.22
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 06:30:00
                        [1] => 194.11
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 07:45:00
                        [1] => 195.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 09:30:00
                        [1] => 195.87
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 179.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 14:15:00
                        [1] => 184.95
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
                        [1] => 180.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 17:00:00
                        [1] => 186.12
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19879647539222
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.6753634403847
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8798850257034
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 12:05:00
                        [1] => 183.5
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 179.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:15:00
                        [1] => 181.91
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:35:00
                        [1] => 179.26
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 14:25:00
                        [1] => 184.95
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 15:20:00
                        [1] => 180.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 15:35:00
                        [1] => 183.61
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 16:05:00
                        [1] => 181.6
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 16:35:00
                        [1] => 186.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 17:05:00
                        [1] => 186.12
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19879647539222
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2852422907489
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.0161212316621
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.20%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.29%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.02%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.9012
0.48%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.0676
2.22%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 12:05:00 183.5 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 179.14 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 13:15:00 181.91 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:35:00 179.26 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:25:00 184.95 ↑ High
2025-12-15 15:20:00 180.91 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 15:35:00 183.61 ↑ High
2025-12-15 16:05:00 181.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 16:35:00 186.09 ↑ High
2025-12-15 17:05:00 186.12 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.20%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.68%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.88%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.1988
4.92%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.0676
2.22%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 03:00:00 193.73 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 04:30:00 193.76 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 05:30:00 196.22 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:30:00 194.11 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 07:45:00 195.7 ↑ High
2025-12-15 09:30:00 195.87 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 179.14 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:15:00 184.95 ↑ High
2025-12-15 15:15:00 180.91 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 17:00:00 186.12 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.20%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.69%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.90%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
19.7288
10.55%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.0676
2.22%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-11 14:00:00 192.75 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 22:00:00 206.75 ↑ High
2025-12-12 05:00:00 206.65 ↑ High
2025-12-12 11:00:00 189.18 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 05:00:00 202.75 ↑ High
2025-12-13 16:00:00 195.54 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 18:00:00 185.69 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 01:00:00 196.58 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 179.14 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 17:00:00 186.12 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Dec 2025
17:05:57
15 Dec 2025
18:00:00
54 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
185.75 187.0212 183.2076 2 112.91
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 185.75
  • Stop Loss: 187.0212
  • Take Profit: 183.2076

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 187.0212 - 185.75 = 1.2712

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 185.75 - 183.2076 = 2.5424

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.5424 / 1.2712 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1168.9611 100 6.2932 11.69
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.2712

Taille de position = 8 / 1.2712 = 6.29

Taille de position USD = 6.29 x 185.75 = 1168.37

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.29 avec un stoploss a 187.0212

Avec un position size USD de 1168.37$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.29 x 1.2712 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.29 x 2.5424 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6.29
  • Taille de position USD 1168.37
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.37 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.68 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.68
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0336 % 151.02 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 183.2076
            [entry_price] => 185.75
            [stop_loss] => 187.14832
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 183.2076
            [entry_price] => 185.75
            [stop_loss] => 187.27544
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 183.2076
            [entry_price] => 185.75
            [stop_loss] => 187.40256
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 183.2076
            [entry_price] => 185.75
            [stop_loss] => 187.6568
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.04
            [max_drawdown] => 9.61
            [rr_ratio] => 0.11
            [high] => 195.36000000
            [low] => 184.71000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.56
            [mae_pct] => 5.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.11
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T17:05:57-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T19:05:57-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.81
            [max_drawdown] => 9.61
            [rr_ratio] => 0.29
            [high] => 195.36000000
            [low] => 182.94000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.51
            [mae_pct] => 5.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.29
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T17:05:57-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T00:05:57-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 186.12000000
            [high_after] => 195.36000000
            [low_before] => 179.26000000
            [low_after] => 184.71000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)