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Short Trade on AR

Short Trade on AR

The 15 Dec 2025 at 17:06:26

With 555.6937 AR at 3.559$ per unit.

Position size of 1977.714 $

Take profit at 3.5302 (0.81 %) and Stop Loss at 3.5734 (0.4 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.12
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.58
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.55
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.59
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.694075

15m : -0.022951

1H : -0.173843

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.11
  4. atr: 0.009597612976
Details
  1. score: 1.11
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 3.57048
  4. ema21 - 3.64514
  5. ema50 - 3.74705
  6. ema100 - 3.82443
  7. price_ema9_diff - -0.0032159
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0204828
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0271969
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0694049
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.440295
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.334413
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.215895
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.136341
  17. rsi - 0.361901
  18. adx - 0.377241
  19. kc_percentage - 0.152384
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0653968
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.322542
  22. volume_ema1 - 108606.6053409
  23. volume_ema2 - 160315.09077256
  24. chop - 31.9981
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 3.53864
  28. ema21 - 3.54533
  29. ema50 - 3.60034
  30. ema100 - 3.65959
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00575207
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00188618
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0152797
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0274889
  35. all_emas_in_trend - True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.0357847
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.0432122
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.090934
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0758341
  41. rsi - 0.507797
  42. adx - 0.206599
  43. kc_percentage - 0.659082
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0268097
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.911166
  46. volume_ema1 - 4970.7856843019
  47. volume_ema2 - 55956.135279411
  48. chop - 62.7331
  49. regime - bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 3.54661
  52. ema21 - 3.53837
  53. ema50 - 3.53827
  54. ema100 - 3.56162
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00349216
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0023273
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 3.00669E-5
  58. price_ema100_diff - -0.000737996
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0688465
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0358949
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0081298
  64. ema_slope_100 - -0.0116347
  65. rsi - 0.640907
  66. adx - 0.191874
  67. kc_percentage - 1.1057
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.00937653
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.912474
  70. volume_ema1 - 886.02494500299
  71. volume_ema2 - 10123.007294666
  72. chop - 42.2436
  73. regime - range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 86650
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00728303
  78. 5m_price: 86019
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.694075
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 87832.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0206436
  83. 15m_price: 86019
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.022951
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 89433.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0381789
  88. 1H_price: 86019
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.173843
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Dec 2025
17:06:26		 15 Dec 2025
17:10:00		 3 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.559 3.5734 3.5302 2 3.607
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.559
  • Stop Loss: 3.5734
  • Take Profit: 3.5302

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.5734 - 3.559 = 0.0144

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.559 - 3.5302 = 0.0288

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0288 / 0.0144 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1977.714 100 555.6937 19.78
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0144

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0144 = 555.56

Taille de position USD = 555.56 x 3.559 = 1977.24

Donc, tu peux acheter 555.56 avec un stoploss a 3.5734

Avec un position size USD de 1977.24$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 555.56 x 0.0144 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 555.56 x 0.0288 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 555.56
  • Taille de position USD 1977.24
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.81 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.4 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.40
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6743 % 166.66 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5302
            [entry_price] => 3.559
            [stop_loss] => 3.57484
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 17:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5302
            [entry_price] => 3.559
            [stop_loss] => 3.57628
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 17:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5302
            [entry_price] => 3.559
            [stop_loss] => 3.57772
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 17:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5302
            [entry_price] => 3.559
            [stop_loss] => 3.5806
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 17:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0030000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.041
            [rr_ratio] => 0.07
            [high] => 3.60000000
            [low] => 3.55600000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.08
            [mae_pct] => 1.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.07
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T17:06:26-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T19:06:26-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.073
            [max_drawdown] => 0.041
            [rr_ratio] => 1.78
            [high] => 3.60000000
            [low] => 3.48600000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.05
            [mae_pct] => 1.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.78
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T17:06:26-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T00:06:26-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.58500000
            [high_after] => 3.60000000
            [low_before] => 3.46700000
            [low_after] => 3.52000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)