Short Trade on XPL 15 Dec 2025 at 21:28:52
Take profit at 0.1312 (1.28 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1337 (0.6 %)
Short Trade on XPL 15 Dec 2025 at 21:28:52
Take profit at 0.1312 (1.28 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1337 (0.6 %)
Position size of 1282.2596 $
Take profit at 0.1312 (1.28 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1337 (0.6 %)
That's a 2.12 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.95 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.71 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.75 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.445842 15m : -0.115313 1H : -0.028903 |
2 |
Indicators:
86016.9
0.00187205
86178
0.445842
87406.3
-0.0169929
85921.1
-0.115313
89396
-0.0359976
86178
-0.028903
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 06:00:00
[1] => 0.1618
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
[1] => 0.1535
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 21:00:00
[1] => 0.1602
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 05:00:00
[1] => 0.1498
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 08:00:00
[1] => 0.1588
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
[1] => 0.1552
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
[1] => 0.1411
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
[1] => 0.1316
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
[1] => 0.1358
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
[1] => 0.1303
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.2091310751105
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9186492709133
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.2210283960092
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 05:15:00
[1] => 0.142
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 06:30:00
[1] => 0.1454
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:15:00
[1] => 0.1316
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 14:45:00
[1] => 0.1358
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
[1] => 0.1332
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 16:15:00
[1] => 0.1354
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 17:30:00
[1] => 0.1332
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 18:30:00
[1] => 0.1358
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 19:45:00
[1] => 0.1303
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 21:15:00
[1] => 0.133
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15037593984963
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9186492709133
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0721412125863
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 16:20:00
[1] => 0.1354
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 16:50:00
[1] => 0.1345
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 17:00:00
[1] => 0.1353
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 17:35:00
[1] => 0.1332
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 18:40:00
[1] => 0.1358
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 19:45:00
[1] => 0.1303
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 20:25:00
[1] => 0.1306
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
[1] => 0.1306
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 20:45:00
[1] => 0.1313
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 21:25:00
[1] => 0.133
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15037593984963
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6845329249617
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2947448591013
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 16:20:00 | 0.1354 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 16:50:00 | 0.1345 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 17:00:00 | 0.1353 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 17:35:00 | 0.1332 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 18:40:00 | 0.1358 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 19:45:00 | 0.1303 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 20:25:00 | 0.1306 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 20:35:00 | 0.1306 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 20:45:00 | 0.1313 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 21:25:00 | 0.133 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 05:15:00 | 0.142 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 06:30:00 | 0.1454 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:15:00 | 0.1316 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 14:45:00 | 0.1358 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 15:15:00 | 0.1332 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 16:15:00 | 0.1354 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 17:30:00 | 0.1332 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 18:30:00 | 0.1358 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 19:45:00 | 0.1303 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 21:15:00 | 0.133 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 06:00:00 | 0.1618 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 16:00:00 | 0.1535 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 21:00:00 | 0.1602 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 05:00:00 | 0.1498 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 08:00:00 | 0.1588 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 20:00:00 | 0.1552 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 21:00:00 | 0.1411 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 13:00:00 | 0.1316 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 18:00:00 | 0.1358 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 19:00:00 | 0.1303 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec 2025 21:28:52 |
15 Dec 2025 21:35:00 |
6 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1329 | 0.1337 | 0.1312 | 2.12 | 0.0932 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1337 - 0.1329 = 0.00080000000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1329 - 0.1312 = 0.0017
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0017 / 0.00080000000000002 = 2.125
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1282.2596 | 100 | 9648.3043 | 12.82 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00080000000000002 = 10000
Taille de position USD = 10000 x 0.1329 = 1329
Donc, tu peux acheter 10000 avec un stoploss a 0.1337
Avec un position size USD de 1329$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 10000 x 0.00080000000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 10000 x 0.0017 = 17
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 17$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.28 % | 16.4 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.6 % | 7.72 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.72 $ | -0.60 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6772 % | 112.49 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1312
[entry_price] => 0.1329
[stop_loss] => 0.13378
[rr_ratio] => 1.93
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 21:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1312
[entry_price] => 0.1329
[stop_loss] => 0.13386
[rr_ratio] => 1.77
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 21:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1312
[entry_price] => 0.1329
[stop_loss] => 0.13394
[rr_ratio] => 1.63
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 21:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1312
[entry_price] => 0.1329
[stop_loss] => 0.1341
[rr_ratio] => 1.42
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 21:45:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0005
[max_drawdown] => 0.0019
[rr_ratio] => 0.26
[high] => 0.13480000
[low] => 0.13240000
[mfe_pct] => 0.38
[mae_pct] => 1.43
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.26
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-15T21:28:52-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-15T23:28:52-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0013
[max_drawdown] => 0.002
[rr_ratio] => 0.65
[high] => 0.13490000
[low] => 0.13160000
[mfe_pct] => 0.98
[mae_pct] => 1.5
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.65
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-15T21:28:52-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T04:28:52-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.13580000
[high_after] => 0.13490000
[low_before] => 0.13030000
[low_after] => 0.13160000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)