Web3Way Logo

Short Trade on MSTR

Previous Trade Next Trade

Short Trade on MSTR 15 Dec 2025 at 21:29:07

Take profit at 161.2319 (0.39 %) and Stop Loss at 162.174 (0.19 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 15 Dec 2025 at 21:29:07

With 25.4739 MSTR at 161.86$ per unit.

Position size of 4123.208 $

Take profit at 161.2319 (0.39 %) and Stop Loss at 162.174 (0.19 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 110
ML Pullback Score: 7.25
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.94
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.75
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.69
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.580109

15m : -0.029075

1H : 0.046387

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 0.2093644884
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 163.084
  4. ema21 : 166.929
  5. ema50 : 171.607
  6. ema100 : 175.111
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00750623
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0230386
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0272542
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0756739
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.576585
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.436999
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.254545
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.154503
  17. rsi : 0.259353
  18. adx : 0.638627
  19. kc_percentage : -0.165145
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0446279
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.721794
  22. volume_ema1 : 147922.61951788
  23. volume_ema2 : 531702.23374968
  24. chop : 12.2768
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 161.411
  28. ema21 : 162.096
  29. ema50 : 164.684
  30. ema100 : 168.211
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00277888
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00422518
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0157187
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0377567
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0561584
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0610344
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0935293
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0866537
  41. rsi : 0.374612
  42. adx : 0.359187
  43. kc_percentage : 0.415411
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0122937
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.984789
  46. volume_ema1 : 2462.2525916678
  47. volume_ema2 : 161879.48748631
  48. chop : 55.0651
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.265
  52. ema21 : 161.399
  53. ema50 : 161.836
  54. ema100 : 162.299
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0036836
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000826401
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00270128
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00271098
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.015912
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.0264309
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0223063
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0163532
  65. rsi : 0.583523
  66. adx : 0.437587
  67. kc_percentage : 1.04817
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00539014
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.851203
  70. volume_ema1 : 1451.7580729579
  71. volume_ema2 : 9756.6994357387
  72. chop : 23.255
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86016.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00183787
  78. 5m_price: 
    86175
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.580109
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87406.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0169929
  83. 15m_price: 
    85921.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.029075
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    89395.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0360306
  88. 1H_price: 
    86175
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.046387
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 07:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 09:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 11:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 13:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 15:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
                    [1] => 173.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 178
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:00:00
                    [1] => 160.57
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -8.8831344291826
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.80338793049762
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 15
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.13701189512362
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 01:45:00
                    [1] => 177.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 02:30:00
                    [1] => 176.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 04:30:00
                    [1] => 177.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:15:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:30:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 165.54
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 16:00:00
                    [1] => 161.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:15:00
                    [1] => 163.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:45:00
                    [1] => 160.57
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:15:00
                    [1] => 161.86
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.80338793049762
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.80338793049762
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:35:00
                    [1] => 162.57
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:55:00
                    [1] => 162.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 19:05:00
                    [1] => 162.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:00:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:10:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:30:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:40:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:55:00
                    [1] => 160.57
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:05:00
                    [1] => 160.57
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:25:00
                    [1] => 161.86
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.80338793049762
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.80338793049762
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.80%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.80%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.8060
0.50%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6619
0.41%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 18:35:00 162.57 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:55:00 162.98 ↑ High
2025-12-15 19:05:00 162.98 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:00:00 161.4 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 20:10:00 161.4 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 20:30:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:40:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:55:00 160.57 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:05:00 160.57 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:25:00 161.86 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.80%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.80%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.4660
9.54%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6619
0.41%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 01:45:00 177.36 ↑ High
2025-12-15 02:30:00 176.4 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 04:30:00 177.6 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:15:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:30:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:00:00 165.54 ↑ High
2025-12-15 16:00:00 161.02 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:15:00 163.25 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:45:00 160.57 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:15:00 161.86 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-8.88%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.80%
Bars Since Swing High
15 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.14%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.8260
9.76%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6619
0.41%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 07:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 09:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 11:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 13:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 15:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 20:00:00 173.66 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 21:00:00 178 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 20:00:00 160.57 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Dec 2025
21:29:07		 15 Dec 2025
21:55:00		 25 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
161.86 162.174 161.2319 2 133.2
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 161.86
  • Stop Loss: 162.174
  • Take Profit: 161.2319

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 162.174 - 161.86 = 0.31399999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 161.86 - 161.2319 = 0.62810000000002

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.62810000000002 / 0.31399999999999 = 2.0003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4123.208 100 25.4739 41.23
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.31399999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.31399999999999 = 25.48

Taille de position USD = 25.48 x 161.86 = 4124.19

Donc, tu peux acheter 25.48 avec un stoploss a 162.174

Avec un position size USD de 4124.19$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 25.48 x 0.31399999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 25.48 x 0.62810000000002 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 25.48
  • Taille de position USD 4124.19
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.39 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.19 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.39
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.232
            [stop_loss] => 162.174
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 21:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.075
            [stop_loss] => 162.174
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.918
            [stop_loss] => 162.174
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.761
            [stop_loss] => 162.174
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.604
            [stop_loss] => 162.174
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.447
            [stop_loss] => 162.174
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.29
            [stop_loss] => 162.174
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.133
            [stop_loss] => 162.174
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.976
            [stop_loss] => 162.174
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.819
            [stop_loss] => 162.174
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.662
            [stop_loss] => 162.174
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.81
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 161.86000000
            [low] => 160.05000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.12
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T21:29:07-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T23:29:07-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.81
            [max_drawdown] => 0.86999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [high] => 162.73000000
            [low] => 160.05000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.12
            [mae_pct] => 0.54
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.08
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T21:29:07-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T04:29:07-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 163.25000000
            [high_after] => 162.73000000
            [low_before] => 160.57000000
            [low_after] => 160.05000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)