Short Trade on MORPHO 16 Dec 2025 at 00:21:11
Take profit at 1.094 (0.79 %) and Stop Loss at 1.1071 (0.4 %)
Short Trade on MORPHO 16 Dec 2025 at 00:21:11
Take profit at 1.094 (0.79 %) and Stop Loss at 1.1071 (0.4 %)
Position size of 2019.0845 $
Take profit at 1.094 (0.79 %) and Stop Loss at 1.1071 (0.4 %)
That's a 1.98 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.72 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.66 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.410522 15m : 0.079949 1H : 0.166044 |
2 |
Indicators:
85849.4
0.00119694
85952.2
0.410522
87137.1
-0.0135576
85955.8
0.079949
89199
-0.0363998
85952.2
0.166044
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 12:00:00
[1] => 1.1481
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 21:00:00
[1] => 1.1544
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 07:00:00
[1] => 1.0961
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 14:00:00
[1] => 1.1283
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
[1] => 1.1009
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
[1] => 1.1336
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 03:00:00
[1] => 1.1046
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 10:00:00
[1] => 1.0943
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 11:00:00
[1] => 1.2378
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
[1] => 1.0828
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -11.245758603975
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4591799039527
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 14.314739564093
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 06:30:00
[1] => 1.1128
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 08:00:00
[1] => 1.1285
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 10:15:00
[1] => 1.0943
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 11:15:00
[1] => 1.2378
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:30:00
[1] => 1.1466
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 16:00:00
[1] => 1.1082
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 18:30:00
[1] => 1.1459
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 20:30:00
[1] => 1.1044
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
[1] => 1.0828
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 00:15:00
[1] => 1.1027
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.37181463680058
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4591799039527
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8378278537126
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 19:15:00
[1] => 1.1413
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 19:50:00
[1] => 1.126
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 20:10:00
[1] => 1.1395
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
[1] => 1.1044
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 21:20:00
[1] => 1.1078
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
[1] => 1.1175
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 22:40:00
[1] => 1.0958
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
[1] => 1.1017
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
[1] => 1.0828
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 00:20:00
[1] => 1.1027
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.37181463680058
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4591799039527
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8378278537126
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 19:15:00 | 1.1413 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 19:50:00 | 1.126 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 20:10:00 | 1.1395 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 20:35:00 | 1.1044 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 21:20:00 | 1.1078 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 21:30:00 | 1.1175 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 22:40:00 | 1.0958 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 23:00:00 | 1.1017 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:45:00 | 1.0828 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 00:20:00 | 1.1027 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 06:30:00 | 1.1128 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 08:00:00 | 1.1285 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 10:15:00 | 1.0943 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 11:15:00 | 1.2378 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:30:00 | 1.1466 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 16:00:00 | 1.1082 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 18:30:00 | 1.1459 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 20:30:00 | 1.1044 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 23:45:00 | 1.0828 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 00:15:00 | 1.1027 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 12:00:00 | 1.1481 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 21:00:00 | 1.1544 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 07:00:00 | 1.0961 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 14:00:00 | 1.1283 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 18:00:00 | 1.1009 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 21:00:00 | 1.1336 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 03:00:00 | 1.1046 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 10:00:00 | 1.0943 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 11:00:00 | 1.2378 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:00:00 | 1.0828 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 00:21:11 |
16 Dec 2025 00:30:00 |
8 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1027 | 1.1071 | 1.094 | 1.98 | 1.8543 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1071 - 1.1027 = 0.0044
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1027 - 1.094 = 0.0086999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0086999999999999 / 0.0044 = 1.9773
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019.0845 | 100 | 1831.037 | 20.19 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0044 = 1818.18
Taille de position USD = 1818.18 x 1.1027 = 2004.91
Donc, tu peux acheter 1818.18 avec un stoploss a 1.1071
Avec un position size USD de 2004.91$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1818.18 x 0.0044 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1818.18 x 0.0086999999999999 = 15.82
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.82$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.79 % | 15.93 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 8.06 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.93 $ | 0.79 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0939
[stop_loss] => 1.1071
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 00:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0917
[stop_loss] => 1.1071
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 00:50:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0895
[stop_loss] => 1.1071
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 03:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0873
[stop_loss] => 1.1071
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 03:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0851
[stop_loss] => 1.1071
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 03:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0829
[stop_loss] => 1.1071
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 03:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0807
[stop_loss] => 1.1071
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 03:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0785
[stop_loss] => 1.1071
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 03:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0763
[stop_loss] => 1.1071
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 03:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0741
[stop_loss] => 1.1071
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 03:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0719
[stop_loss] => 1.1071
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 03:30:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0111
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 1.10150000
[low] => 1.09160000
[mfe_pct] => 1.01
[mae_pct] => -0.11
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-16T00:21:11-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T02:21:11-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0136
[max_drawdown] => 0.0093000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 1.46
[high] => 1.11200000
[low] => 1.08910000
[mfe_pct] => 1.23
[mae_pct] => 0.84
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.46
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-16T00:21:11-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T07:21:11-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.12760000
[high_after] => 1.11200000
[low_before] => 1.08280000
[low_after] => 1.08910000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)