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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 16 Dec 2025 at 00:22:44

Take profit at 160.8274 (0.32 %) and Stop Loss at 161.6113 (0.16 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 16 Dec 2025 at 00:22:44

With 30.6173 MSTR at 161.35$ per unit.

Position size of 4940.0971 $

Take profit at 160.8274 (0.32 %) and Stop Loss at 161.6113 (0.16 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.08
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.94
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.81
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.84
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.275229

15m : 0.087755

1H : -0.08618

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.13
  4. atr: 0.1741936061
Details
  1. score: 1.13
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 162.017
  4. ema21 : 165.415
  5. ema50 : 170.393
  6. ema100 : 174.331
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00412208
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0205378
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0292189
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0744668
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.384714
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.376357
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.247342
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.156838
  17. rsi : 0.256878
  18. adx : 0.650409
  19. kc_percentage : -0.104865
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.038979
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.888594
  22. volume_ema1 : 52660.17355715
  23. volume_ema2 : 472690.2369519
  24. chop : 47.1419
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 161.046
  28. ema21 : 161.392
  29. ema50 : 163.332
  30. ema100 : 166.81
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00188431
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00214177
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0118777
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0327373
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.025531
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.039229
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0707947
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0770441
  41. rsi : 0.462406
  42. adx : 0.398909
  43. kc_percentage : 0.49919
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0110129
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.97105
  46. volume_ema1 : 2939.7092030724
  47. volume_ema2 : 101547.5490557
  48. chop : 57.7263
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 160.99
  52. ema21 : 160.934
  53. ema50 : 161.146
  54. ema100 : 161.372
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00223377
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000344694
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00131596
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.000141969
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : -3.20726E-5
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.00843083
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0110067
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00828243
  65. rsi : 0.587346
  66. adx : 0.319204
  67. kc_percentage : 1.1312
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00411304
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.738855
  70. volume_ema1 : 560.30840530501
  71. volume_ema2 : 2145.590552159
  72. chop : 33.2856
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    85848.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000765366
  78. 5m_price: 
    85914.4
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.275229
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87137.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0135576
  83. 15m_price: 
    85955.8
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.087755
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    89198.2
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0368155
  88. 1H_price: 
    85914.4
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.08618
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 07:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 09:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 11:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 13:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 15:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
                    [1] => 173.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 178
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -9.1702319297455
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.8122461730709
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 18
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.46235551390189
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:15:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:30:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 165.54
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 16:00:00
                    [1] => 161.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:15:00
                    [1] => 163.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:45:00
                    [1] => 160.57
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:15:00
                    [1] => 161.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:45:00
                    [1] => 161.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 00:15:00
                    [1] => 161.35
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.8122461730709
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.8122461730709
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:45:00
                    [1] => 161.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:25:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 161.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:10:00
                    [1] => 161.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:20:00
                    [1] => 161.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 160.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:55:00
                    [1] => 160.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 00:15:00
                    [1] => 161.35
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.69271093359959
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.69271093359959
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.69%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.69%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2487
0.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.7774
0.48%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 21:45:00 161.86 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:25:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:30:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:00:00 161.09 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:10:00 161.09 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:20:00 161.09 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 160.24 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:55:00 160.24 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 00:15:00 161.35 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.81%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.81%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.0287
9.92%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.7774
0.48%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 06:15:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:30:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:00:00 165.54 ↑ High
2025-12-15 16:00:00 161.02 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:15:00 163.25 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:45:00 160.57 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:15:00 161.86 ↑ High
2025-12-15 21:45:00 161.86 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:30:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 00:15:00 161.35 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-9.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.81%
Bars Since Swing High
18 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.46%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.3887
10.14%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.7774
0.48%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 07:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 09:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 11:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 13:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 15:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 20:00:00 173.66 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 21:00:00 178 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
00:22:44		 16 Dec 2025
00:30:00		 7 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
161.35 161.6113 160.8274 2 134.88
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 161.35
  • Stop Loss: 161.6113
  • Take Profit: 160.8274

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 161.6113 - 161.35 = 0.26130000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 161.35 - 160.8274 = 0.52259999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.52259999999998 / 0.26130000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4940.0971 100 30.6173 49.40
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.26130000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.26130000000001 = 30.62

Taille de position USD = 30.62 x 161.35 = 4940.54

Donc, tu peux acheter 30.62 avec un stoploss a 161.6113

Avec un position size USD de 4940.54$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 30.62 x 0.26130000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 30.62 x 0.52259999999998 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 30.62
  • Taille de position USD 4940.54
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.32 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.16 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.16
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1735 % 107.16 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.8274
            [entry_price] => 161.35
            [stop_loss] => 161.63743
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 00:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.8274
            [entry_price] => 161.35
            [stop_loss] => 161.66356
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 00:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.8274
            [entry_price] => 161.35
            [stop_loss] => 161.68969
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 00:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.8274
            [entry_price] => 161.35
            [stop_loss] => 161.74195
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 00:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0
            [max_drawdown] => 1.38
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 162.73000000
            [low] => 161.35000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0
            [mae_pct] => 0.86
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T00:22:44-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T02:22:44-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.66
            [max_drawdown] => 4.96
            [rr_ratio] => 0.13
            [high] => 166.31000000
            [low] => 160.69000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.41
            [mae_pct] => 3.07
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.13
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T00:22:44-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T07:22:44-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 161.86000000
            [high_after] => 165.11000000
            [low_before] => 160.05000000
            [low_after] => 160.69000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)