Short Trade on COIN 16 Dec 2025 at 01:01:03
Take profit at 247.3542 (0.13 %) and Stop Loss at 247.8279 (0.064 %)
Short Trade on COIN 16 Dec 2025 at 01:01:03
Take profit at 247.3542 (0.13 %) and Stop Loss at 247.8279 (0.064 %)
Position size of 12550.1482 $
Take profit at 247.3542 (0.13 %) and Stop Loss at 247.8279 (0.064 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.98 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.85 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.68 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.057853 15m : 0.048307 1H : 0.080894 |
2 |
Indicators:
85933.3
0.000733234
85996.4
0.057853
87075.2
-0.0123895
85996.4
0.048307
89092.8
-0.0347551
85996.4
0.080894
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 05:00:00
[1] => 267.29
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 07:00:00
[1] => 267.29
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 09:00:00
[1] => 267.29
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 11:00:00
[1] => 267.29
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 13:00:00
[1] => 267.29
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 15:00:00
[1] => 267.29
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
[1] => 264
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
[1] => 267.7
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 05:00:00
[1] => 269.1
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
[1] => 246.09
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -7.9635823114084
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.64204152952171
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 20
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.3502377179081
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 09:30:00
[1] => 267.76
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 10:00:00
[1] => 250.88
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 11:15:00
[1] => 258.08
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
[1] => 255.15
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 15:30:00
[1] => 246.98
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 18:15:00
[1] => 250.97
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 20:30:00
[1] => 246.71
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
[1] => 246.09
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 00:00:00
[1] => 246.25
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 01:00:00
[1] => 247.67
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.57664974619289
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.57664974619289
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 22:55:00
[1] => 246.74
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:05:00
[1] => 246.74
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:15:00
[1] => 246.74
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:25:00
[1] => 246.74
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:40:00
[1] => 246.25
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:50:00
[1] => 246.25
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 00:00:00
[1] => 246.25
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 00:05:00
[1] => 247.05
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 00:35:00
[1] => 247
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 01:00:00
[1] => 247.67
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.27125506072874
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.27125506072874
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 22:55:00 | 246.74 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:05:00 | 246.74 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:15:00 | 246.74 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:25:00 | 246.74 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:40:00 | 246.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 23:50:00 | 246.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 00:00:00 | 246.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 00:05:00 | 247.05 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 00:35:00 | 247 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 01:00:00 | 247.67 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 09:30:00 | 267.76 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 10:00:00 | 250.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 11:15:00 | 258.08 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 14:00:00 | 255.15 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 15:30:00 | 246.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 18:15:00 | 250.97 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 20:30:00 | 246.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 22:30:00 | 246.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 00:00:00 | 246.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 01:00:00 | 247.67 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 05:00:00 | 267.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 07:00:00 | 267.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 09:00:00 | 267.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 11:00:00 | 267.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 13:00:00 | 267.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 15:00:00 | 267.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 20:00:00 | 264 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 21:00:00 | 267.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 05:00:00 | 269.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 22:00:00 | 246.09 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 01:01:03 |
16 Dec 2025 01:10:00 |
8 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 247.67 | 247.8279 | 247.3542 | 2 | 179.93 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 247.8279 - 247.67 = 0.15790000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 247.67 - 247.3542 = 0.3158
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3158 / 0.15790000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12550.1482 | 100 | 50.6729 | 125.50 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.15790000000001 = 50.66
Taille de position USD = 50.66 x 247.67 = 12546.96
Donc, tu peux acheter 50.66 avec un stoploss a 247.8279
Avec un position size USD de 12546.96$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 50.66 x 0.15790000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 50.66 x 0.3158 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.13 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.064 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.06 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0808 % | 126.65 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 247.3542
[entry_price] => 247.67
[stop_loss] => 247.84369
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 247.3542
[entry_price] => 247.67
[stop_loss] => 247.85948
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 247.3542
[entry_price] => 247.67
[stop_loss] => 247.87527
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 247.3542
[entry_price] => 247.67
[stop_loss] => 247.90685
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:45:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.30999999999997
[max_drawdown] => 1.46
[rr_ratio] => 0.21
[high] => 249.13000000
[low] => 247.36000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.13
[mae_pct] => 0.59
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.21
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:01:03-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T03:01:03-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.30999999999997
[max_drawdown] => 6.52
[rr_ratio] => 0.05
[high] => 254.19000000
[low] => 247.36000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.13
[mae_pct] => 2.63
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.05
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:01:03-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T08:01:03-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 247.67000000
[high_after] => 254.19000000
[low_before] => 246.09000000
[low_after] => 247.36000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)