Short Trade on BTC 16 Dec 2025 at 01:07:15
Take profit at 85799.3794 (0.44 %) and Stop Loss at 86368.6603 (0.22 %)
Short Trade on BTC 16 Dec 2025 at 01:07:15
Take profit at 85799.3794 (0.44 %) and Stop Loss at 86368.6603 (0.22 %)
Position size of 3633.1688 $
Take profit at 85799.3794 (0.44 %) and Stop Loss at 86368.6603 (0.22 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.97 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.49 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.88 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 1 15m : -0.094231 1H : -0.084826 |
2 |
Indicators:
85947.8
0.0026878
86178.9
1
87078.8
-0.0103347
86178.9
-0.094231
89096.4
-0.0327459
86178.9
-0.084826
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Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 18:20:00 | 86089.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 19:05:00 | 86494.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 20:00:00 | 85680 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 20:10:00 | 86135 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 20:35:00 | 85635.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 21:25:00 | 86199.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 22:30:00 | 85350 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 23:00:00 | 85899.2 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:45:00 | 85228.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 01:05:00 | 86252.8 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 04:45:00 | 89941.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 09:30:00 | 89838.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:30:00 | 85111 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 14:00:00 | 86530.4 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 16:00:00 | 85500.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 19:00:00 | 86494.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 20:30:00 | 85635.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 21:15:00 | 86199.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:45:00 | 85228.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 01:00:00 | 86252.8 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 05:00:00 | 90594.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 09:00:00 | 89900 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 16:00:00 | 89730.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 19:00:00 | 90450 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 18:00:00 | 87530.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 21:00:00 | 89991.2 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 04:00:00 | 89941.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:00:00 | 85111 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 23:00:00 | 85228.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 01:00:00 | 86252.8 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 01:07:15 |
16 Dec 2025 01:25:00 |
17 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86178.9 | 86368.6603 | 85799.3794 | 2 | 67488.5 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 86368.6603 - 86178.9 = 189.76030000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 86178.9 - 85799.3794 = 379.52059999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 379.52059999999 / 189.76030000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3633.1688 | 100 | 0.04216 | 36.33 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 189.76030000001 = 0.04
Taille de position USD = 0.04 x 86178.9 = 3447.16
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.04 avec un stoploss a 86368.6603
Avec un position size USD de 3447.16$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.04 x 189.76030000001 = 7.59
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.59$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.04 x 379.52059999999 = 15.18
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.18$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.44 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.22 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.22 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2798 % | 127.07 % | 1 |
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