Short Trade on PENGU 16 Dec 2025 at 01:29:52
Take profit at 0.009964 (0.95 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01011 (0.5 %)
Short Trade on PENGU 16 Dec 2025 at 01:29:52
Take profit at 0.009964 (0.95 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01011 (0.5 %)
Position size of 1684.2749 $
Take profit at 0.009964 (0.95 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01011 (0.5 %)
That's a 1.92 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.91 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.77 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.94 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.659414 15m : 0.098747 1H : -0.100978 |
2 |
Indicators:
85959.6
0.00440292
86338.1
0.659414
87039.4
-0.00930066
86229.9
0.098747
89099.6
-0.0309934
86338.1
-0.100978
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 07:00:00
[1] => 0.011425
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
[1] => 0.010583
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 22:00:00
[1] => 0.010796
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 15:00:00
[1] => 0.011866
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
[1] => 0.010263
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
[1] => 0.010813
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 05:00:00
[1] => 0.010826
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
[1] => 0.009802
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
[1] => 0.010319
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
[1] => 0.009816
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.5099331330555
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4857375713121
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.1242868785656
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 03:15:00
[1] => 0.010756
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 05:15:00
[1] => 0.010826
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 07:30:00
[1] => 0.010803
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:30:00
[1] => 0.009802
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
[1] => 0.010107
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
[1] => 0.009877
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 16:30:00
[1] => 0.010115
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
[1] => 0.010319
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
[1] => 0.009816
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 01:15:00
[1] => 0.010072
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11914217633042
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4857375713121
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.6079869600652
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 19:05:00
[1] => 0.010319
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 19:55:00
[1] => 0.010094
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 20:10:00
[1] => 0.010222
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 21:20:00
[1] => 0.010009
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
[1] => 0.010121
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
[1] => 0.009932
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 22:35:00
[1] => 0.010046
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
[1] => 0.009816
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 00:10:00
[1] => 0.009968
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 01:25:00
[1] => 0.010072
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11914217633042
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4857375713121
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 20
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0433386837881
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 19:05:00 | 0.010319 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 19:55:00 | 0.010094 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 20:10:00 | 0.010222 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 21:20:00 | 0.010009 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 21:30:00 | 0.010121 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 22:30:00 | 0.009932 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 22:35:00 | 0.010046 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:45:00 | 0.009816 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 00:10:00 | 0.009968 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 01:25:00 | 0.010072 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 03:15:00 | 0.010756 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 05:15:00 | 0.010826 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 07:30:00 | 0.010803 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:30:00 | 0.009802 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 14:00:00 | 0.010107 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 15:15:00 | 0.009877 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 16:30:00 | 0.010115 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 19:00:00 | 0.010319 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:45:00 | 0.009816 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 01:15:00 | 0.010072 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 07:00:00 | 0.011425 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 11:00:00 | 0.010583 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 22:00:00 | 0.010796 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 15:00:00 | 0.011866 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 18:00:00 | 0.010263 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 21:00:00 | 0.010813 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 05:00:00 | 0.010826 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:00:00 | 0.009802 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 19:00:00 | 0.010319 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:00:00 | 0.009816 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 01:29:52 |
16 Dec 2025 02:15:00 |
45 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01006 | 0.01011 | 0.009964 | 1.92 | 0.007081 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01011 - 0.01006 = 5.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01006 - 0.009964 = 9.5999999999999E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 9.5999999999999E-5 / 5.0E-5 = 1.92
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1684.2749 | 100 | 167422.9519 | 16.84 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 5.0E-5 = 160000
Taille de position USD = 160000 x 0.01006 = 1609.6
Donc, tu peux acheter 160000 avec un stoploss a 0.01011
Avec un position size USD de 1609.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 160000 x 5.0E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 160000 x 9.5999999999999E-5 = 15.36
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.36$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.95 % | 16.07 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 8.37 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.07 $ | 0.95 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4274 % | 86 % | 6 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.00996
[stop_loss] => 0.01011
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:15:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.009935
[stop_loss] => 0.01011
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.00991
[stop_loss] => 0.01011
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:20:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.009885
[stop_loss] => 0.01011
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:35:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.00986
[stop_loss] => 0.01011
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.009835
[stop_loss] => 0.01011
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.00981
[stop_loss] => 0.01011
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.009785
[stop_loss] => 0.01011
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.00976
[stop_loss] => 0.01011
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.009735
[stop_loss] => 0.01011
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.00971
[stop_loss] => 0.01011
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:40:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.000235
[max_drawdown] => 4.3E-5
[rr_ratio] => 5.47
[high] => 0.01010300
[low] => 0.00982500
[mfe_pct] => 2.34
[mae_pct] => 0.43
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.47
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:29:52-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T03:29:52-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.000235
[max_drawdown] => 0.000248
[rr_ratio] => 0.95
[high] => 0.01030800
[low] => 0.00982500
[mfe_pct] => 2.34
[mae_pct] => 2.47
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.95
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:29:52-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T08:29:52-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.01012100
[high_after] => 0.01030800
[low_before] => 0.00981600
[low_after] => 0.00982500
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)