Short Trade on TRUMP 16 Dec 2025 at 01:30:21

Take profit at 5.266 (0.32 %) and Stop Loss at 5.2915 (0.16 %)

Short Trade on TRUMP

The 16 Dec 2025 at 01:30:21

With 943.4637 TRUMP at 5.283$ per unit.

Position size of 4984.3188 $

Take profit at 5.266 (0.32 %) and Stop Loss at 5.2915 (0.16 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -70
ML Pullback Score: 6.18
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.97
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.88
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.77
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.690671

15m : -0.008536

1H : -0.071757

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.005652928998
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 5.28106
  4. ema21 : 5.32164
  5. ema50 : 5.39817
  6. ema100 : 5.47587
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00036713
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00762623
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0141777
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0352225
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.131143
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.145219
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.11186
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.080271
  17. rsi : 0.376475
  18. adx : 0.498763
  19. kc_percentage : 0.259793
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0278052
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.609243
  22. volume_ema1 : 83758.632808624
  23. volume_ema2 : 214350.03886173
  24. chop : 55.1327
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 5.27245
  29. ema21 : 5.27236
  30. ema50 : 5.29426
  31. ema100 : 5.34081
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00200014
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 1.62513E-5
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00413632
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0108254
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.00171085
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0169627
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0282963
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.032321
  42. rsi : 0.540989
  43. adx : 0.312349
  44. kc_percentage : 0.711369
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.00984245
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.628908
  47. volume_ema1 : 12573.609689917
  48. volume_ema2 : 33882.801222831
  49. chop : 38.3646
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 5.27875
  54. ema21 : 5.27117
  55. ema50 : 5.26908
  56. ema100 : 5.27423
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.000804134
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00143802
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000396488
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00166105
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0364485
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0248311
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00817013
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00121233
  67. rsi : 0.650152
  68. adx : 0.263541
  69. kc_percentage : 1.05804
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00387221
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.591948
  72. volume_ema1 : 3212.7919355693
  73. volume_ema2 : 7873.4948649457
  74. chop : 43.9375
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    85971.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00463698
  81. 5m_price:
    86369.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.690671
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87040.3
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00770319
  86. 15m_price:
    86369.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.008536
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    89100.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0306433
  91. 1H_price:
    86369.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.071757
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-12 21:00:00
                        [1] => 5.625
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 07:00:00
                        [1] => 5.532
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 15:00:00
                        [1] => 5.586
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 17:00:00
                        [1] => 5.538
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 5.447
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                        [1] => 5.347
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 01:00:00
                        [1] => 5.513
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 5.223
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5.333
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 5.205
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0688168010501
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3640730067243
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4591738712776
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 07:45:00
                        [1] => 5.485
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 09:15:00
                        [1] => 5.483
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:30:00
                        [1] => 5.223
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                        [1] => 5.312
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
                        [1] => 5.252
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5.333
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:30:00
                        [1] => 5.262
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
                        [1] => 5.288
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                        [1] => 5.205
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 01:15:00
                        [1] => 5.287
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.20805749952714
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3640730067243
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5754082612872
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 18:35:00
                        [1] => 5.331
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 19:05:00
                        [1] => 5.333
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:00:00
                        [1] => 5.275
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
                        [1] => 5.262
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 21:05:00
                        [1] => 5.262
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 21:25:00
                        [1] => 5.288
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
                        [1] => 5.244
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 5.269
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                        [1] => 5.205
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 01:20:00
                        [1] => 5.287
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.20805749952714
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3640730067243
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5754082612872
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.36%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
21 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.58%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0415
0.78%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0610
1.16%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 18:35:00 5.331 ↑ High
2025-12-15 19:05:00 5.333 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:00:00 5.275 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 20:35:00 5.262 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:05:00 5.262 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:25:00 5.288 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:30:00 5.244 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:00:00 5.269 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 5.205 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:20:00 5.287 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.36%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.58%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1935
3.66%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0610
1.16%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 07:45:00 5.485 ↑ High
2025-12-15 09:15:00 5.483 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:30:00 5.223 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:00:00 5.312 ↑ High
2025-12-15 15:15:00 5.252 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 19:00:00 5.333 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:30:00 5.262 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:30:00 5.288 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 5.205 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:15:00 5.287 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.36%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.46%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3335
6.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0610
1.16%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-12 21:00:00 5.625 ↑ High
2025-12-13 07:00:00 5.532 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 15:00:00 5.586 ↑ High
2025-12-13 17:00:00 5.538 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 06:00:00 5.447 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 18:00:00 5.347 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 01:00:00 5.513 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 5.223 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 19:00:00 5.333 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:00:00 5.205 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
01:30:21
16 Dec 2025
02:00:00
29 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5.283 5.2915 5.266 2 3.515
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5.283
  • Stop Loss: 5.2915
  • Take Profit: 5.266

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 5.2915 - 5.283 = 0.0084999999999997

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5.283 - 5.266 = 0.017

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.017 / 0.0084999999999997 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4984.3188 100 943.4637 49.84
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0084999999999997

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0084999999999997 = 941.18

Taille de position USD = 941.18 x 5.283 = 4972.25

Donc, tu peux acheter 941.18 avec un stoploss a 5.2915

Avec un position size USD de 4972.25$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 941.18 x 0.0084999999999997 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 941.18 x 0.017 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 941.18
  • Taille de position USD 4972.25
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.32 % 16.04 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.16 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
-8.02 $ -0.16
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1893 % 117.65 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.266
            [entry_price] => 5.283
            [stop_loss] => 5.29235
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.266
            [entry_price] => 5.283
            [stop_loss] => 5.2932
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.266
            [entry_price] => 5.283
            [stop_loss] => 5.29405
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.266
            [entry_price] => 5.283
            [stop_loss] => 5.29575
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.031000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0099999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 3.1
            [high] => 5.29300000
            [low] => 5.25200000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.59
            [mae_pct] => 0.19
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.1
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:30:21-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T03:30:21-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.085
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0099999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 8.5
            [high] => 5.29300000
            [low] => 5.19800000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.61
            [mae_pct] => 0.19
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 8.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:30:21-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T08:30:21-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 5.28700000
            [high_after] => 5.29300000
            [low_before] => 5.20500000
            [low_after] => 5.22600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)