Short Trade on AVAX 16 Dec 2025 at 10:52:56

Take profit at 12.1145 (1.64 %) and Stop Loss at 12.4182 (0.82 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 16 Dec 2025 at 10:52:56

With 79.0245 AVAX at 12.317$ per unit.

Position size of 973.3442 $

Take profit at 12.1145 (1.64 %) and Stop Loss at 12.4182 (0.82 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.34
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.68
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.46
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.81
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.799265

15m : 0.158508

1H : 0.148728

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.06748965597
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.2213
  4. ema21 : 12.3185
  5. ema50 : 12.5885
  6. ema100 : 12.8648
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00782951
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00789517
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.021443
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0425824
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0738601
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.147627
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.14933
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.112445
  17. rsi : 0.473647
  18. adx : 0.394979
  19. kc_percentage : 0.511465
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0619161
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.814019
  22. volume_ema1 : 1457738.5190847
  23. volume_ema2 : 803596.012146
  24. chop : 53.4695
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 12.1808
  29. ema21 : 12.1935
  30. ema50 : 12.2284
  31. ema100 : 12.3053
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0111743
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00104082
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00284969
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.000950658
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0699298
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0494014
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0305973
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0276806
  42. rsi : 0.551121
  43. adx : 0.233553
  44. kc_percentage : 0.778263
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.036378
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.0973371
  47. volume_ema1 : 320320.87239584
  48. volume_ema2 : 291907.43647893
  49. chop : 35.7162
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 12.2062
  54. ema21 : 12.174
  55. ema50 : 12.1825
  56. ema100 : 12.1955
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00907153
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00264757
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000694921
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00995456
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0547547
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0218832
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.00138349
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00365306
  67. rsi : 0.700895
  68. adx : 0.145257
  69. kc_percentage : 1.03044
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0217596
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.151792
  72. volume_ema1 : 154081.28280584
  73. volume_ema2 : 133775.23537679
  74. chop : 47.8712
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86828.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00972121
  81. 5m_price:
    87672.7
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.799265
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    86641.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0109622
  86. 15m_price:
    87590.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.158508
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    88743.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0120714
  91. 1H_price:
    87672.7
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.148728
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 05:00:00
                        [1] => 13.462
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 09:00:00
                        [1] => 13.218
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
                        [1] => 13.231
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 12.953
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                        [1] => 12.72
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 05:00:00
                        [1] => 13.347
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 12.181
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 12.046
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 08:00:00
                        [1] => 12.395
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 09:00:00
                        [1] => 11.906
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.43565954013715
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.6536200235175
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.1071728540232
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:00:00
                        [1] => 12.16
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
                        [1] => 12.326
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                        [1] => 12.046
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 01:45:00
                        [1] => 12.331
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 03:45:00
                        [1] => 12.234
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 04:15:00
                        [1] => 12.135
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 05:45:00
                        [1] => 12.392
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 08:30:00
                        [1] => 12.395
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 09:00:00
                        [1] => 11.906
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 10:45:00
                        [1] => 12.35
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.072874493927128
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.6536200235175
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7292121619352
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 05:45:00
                        [1] => 12.392
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 06:30:00
                        [1] => 12.363
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 07:05:00
                        [1] => 12.361
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 08:00:00
                        [1] => 12.201
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 08:30:00
                        [1] => 12.395
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 09:00:00
                        [1] => 11.906
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 09:45:00
                        [1] => 12.041
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 09:50:00
                        [1] => 12.264
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 10:15:00
                        [1] => 12.078
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 10:50:00
                        [1] => 12.35
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.072874493927128
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1775128332505
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2520284815367
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.18%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.25%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0232
0.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2085
1.72%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-16 05:45:00 12.392 ↑ High
2025-12-16 06:30:00 12.363 ↑ High
2025-12-16 07:05:00 12.361 ↑ High
2025-12-16 08:00:00 12.201 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 08:30:00 12.395 ↑ High
2025-12-16 09:00:00 11.906 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 09:45:00 12.041 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 09:50:00 12.264 ↑ High
2025-12-16 10:15:00 12.078 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 10:50:00 12.35 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.65%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.73%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0232
0.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2085
1.72%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 20:00:00 12.16 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:30:00 12.326 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 12.046 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:45:00 12.331 ↑ High
2025-12-16 03:45:00 12.234 ↑ High
2025-12-16 04:15:00 12.135 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 05:45:00 12.392 ↑ High
2025-12-16 08:30:00 12.395 ↑ High
2025-12-16 09:00:00 11.906 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 10:45:00 12.35 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.44%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.65%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.11%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.0438
8.41%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2085
1.72%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 05:00:00 13.462 ↑ High
2025-12-13 09:00:00 13.218 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 16:00:00 13.231 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 06:00:00 12.953 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 18:00:00 12.72 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 05:00:00 13.347 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 12.181 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:00:00 12.046 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 08:00:00 12.395 ↑ High
2025-12-16 09:00:00 11.906 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
10:52:56
17 Dec 2025
00:00:00
13 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.317 12.4182 12.1145 2 9.25
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.317
  • Stop Loss: 12.4182
  • Take Profit: 12.1145

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.4182 - 12.317 = 0.1012

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.317 - 12.1145 = 0.2025

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2025 / 0.1012 = 2.001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
973.3442 100 79.0245 9.73
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1012

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1012 = 79.05

Taille de position USD = 79.05 x 12.317 = 973.66

Donc, tu peux acheter 79.05 avec un stoploss a 12.4182

Avec un position size USD de 973.66$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 79.05 x 0.1012 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 79.05 x 0.2025 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 79.05
  • Taille de position USD 973.66
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.64 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.82 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.64
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5521 % 67.2 % 58

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.15
            [max_drawdown] => 0.051
            [rr_ratio] => 2.94
            [high] => 12.36800000
            [low] => 12.16700000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.22
            [mae_pct] => 0.41
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.94
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T10:52:56-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T12:52:56-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.186
            [max_drawdown] => 0.055999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 3.32
            [high] => 12.37300000
            [low] => 12.13100000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.51
            [mae_pct] => 0.45
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.32
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T10:52:56-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T17:52:56-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.39500000
            [high_after] => 12.37300000
            [low_before] => 11.90600000
            [low_after] => 12.13100000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)