Short Trade on TRUMP 16 Dec 2025 at 10:54:47

Take profit at 5.2181 (0.95 %) and Stop Loss at 5.293 (0.47 %)

Short Trade on TRUMP

The 16 Dec 2025 at 10:54:47

With 320.6305 TRUMP at 5.268$ per unit.

Position size of 1689.0816 $

Take profit at 5.2181 (0.95 %) and Stop Loss at 5.293 (0.47 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 6.99
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.88
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.68
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.94
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.6962

15m : 0.183563

1H : 0.132121

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.01663389098
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 5.25247
  4. ema21 : 5.28045
  5. ema50 : 5.35421
  6. ema100 : 5.44224
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00295629
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00529964
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0137751
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0320169
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0596465
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0909772
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0939471
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.076705
  17. rsi : 0.447011
  18. adx : 0.471946
  19. kc_percentage : 0.446859
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0348488
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.773688
  22. volume_ema1 : 483798.44961716
  23. volume_ema2 : 272764.04991458
  24. chop : 54.5387
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 5.23285
  29. ema21 : 5.23659
  30. ema50 : 5.25189
  31. ema100 : 5.27659
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00671561
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000714366
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00291153
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00162975
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0277129
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0312723
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0255893
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0220244
  42. rsi : 0.54643
  43. adx : 0.278181
  44. kc_percentage : 0.819368
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0189735
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.0246832
  47. volume_ema1 : 95663.950152165
  48. volume_ema2 : 93359.535689757
  49. chop : 41.804
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 5.24122
  54. ema21 : 5.23234
  55. ema50 : 5.2329
  56. ema100 : 5.24172
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00510927
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00169547
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000106416
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00501302
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0372561
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.022603
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00443028
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00207776
  67. rsi : 0.68941
  68. adx : 0.170894
  69. kc_percentage : 1.03212
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0125903
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.0738442
  72. volume_ema1 : 46570.197861188
  73. volume_ema2 : 43367.740349704
  74. chop : 44.9089
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86831
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0110823
  81. 5m_price:
    87793.3
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.6962
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    86641.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0109622
  86. 15m_price:
    87590.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.183563
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    88746.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.010739
  91. 1H_price:
    87793.3
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.132121
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 15:00:00
                        [1] => 5.586
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 17:00:00
                        [1] => 5.538
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 5.447
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                        [1] => 5.347
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 01:00:00
                        [1] => 5.513
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 5.223
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5.333
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 5.205
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
                        [1] => 5.293
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 09:00:00
                        [1] => 5.166
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.49121481201587
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9550909794812
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4583817266744
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5.333
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:30:00
                        [1] => 5.262
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
                        [1] => 5.288
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                        [1] => 5.205
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
                        [1] => 5.293
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 03:30:00
                        [1] => 5.251
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 05:45:00
                        [1] => 5.292
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 06:15:00
                        [1] => 5.226
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 09:00:00
                        [1] => 5.166
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 10:45:00
                        [1] => 5.269
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.037957866767883
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9550909794812
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9938056523422
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 05:45:00
                        [1] => 5.292
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 06:20:00
                        [1] => 5.226
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 07:00:00
                        [1] => 5.266
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 07:10:00
                        [1] => 5.266
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 08:00:00
                        [1] => 5.222
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 08:30:00
                        [1] => 5.265
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 09:00:00
                        [1] => 5.166
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 09:45:00
                        [1] => 5.193
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 09:50:00
                        [1] => 5.254
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 10:50:00
                        [1] => 5.269
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.037957866767883
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4249951858271
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.28549676437001
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.42%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.29%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0010
0.02%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0521
1.00%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-16 05:45:00 5.292 ↑ High
2025-12-16 06:20:00 5.226 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 07:00:00 5.266 ↑ High
2025-12-16 07:10:00 5.266 ↑ High
2025-12-16 08:00:00 5.222 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 08:30:00 5.265 ↑ High
2025-12-16 09:00:00 5.166 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 09:45:00 5.193 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 09:50:00 5.254 ↑ High
2025-12-16 10:50:00 5.269 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.96%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.99%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0400
0.76%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0521
1.00%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 19:00:00 5.333 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:30:00 5.262 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:30:00 5.288 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 5.205 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 02:00:00 5.293 ↑ High
2025-12-16 03:30:00 5.251 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 05:45:00 5.292 ↑ High
2025-12-16 06:15:00 5.226 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 09:00:00 5.166 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 10:45:00 5.269 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.49%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.96%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.46%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2930
5.54%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0521
1.00%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 15:00:00 5.586 ↑ High
2025-12-13 17:00:00 5.538 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 06:00:00 5.447 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 18:00:00 5.347 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 01:00:00 5.513 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 5.223 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 19:00:00 5.333 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:00:00 5.205 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 02:00:00 5.293 ↑ High
2025-12-16 09:00:00 5.166 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
10:54:47
16 Dec 2025
12:20:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5.268 5.293 5.2181 2 3.457
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5.268
  • Stop Loss: 5.293
  • Take Profit: 5.2181

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 5.293 - 5.268 = 0.025

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5.268 - 5.2181 = 0.0499

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0499 / 0.025 = 1.996

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1689.0816 100 320.6305 16.89
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.025

Taille de position = 8 / 0.025 = 320

Taille de position USD = 320 x 5.268 = 1685.76

Donc, tu peux acheter 320 avec un stoploss a 5.293

Avec un position size USD de 1685.76$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 320 x 0.025 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 320 x 0.0499 = 15.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 320
  • Taille de position USD 1685.76
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.996

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.95 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.47 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.95
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0949 % 20 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.218
            [stop_loss] => 5.293
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 12:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2055
            [stop_loss] => 5.293
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 12:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.068
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0049999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 13.6
            [high] => 5.27300000
            [low] => 5.20000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.29
            [mae_pct] => 0.09
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 13.6
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T10:54:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T12:54:47-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.069
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0060000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 11.5
            [high] => 5.27400000
            [low] => 5.19900000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.31
            [mae_pct] => 0.11
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 11.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T10:54:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T17:54:47-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 5.26900000
            [high_after] => 5.27300000
            [low_before] => 5.16600000
            [low_after] => 5.19900000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)