Short Trade on ARC 17 Dec 2025 at 14:58:19
Take profit at 0.0348 (5.72 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03796 (2.84 %)
Short Trade on ARC 17 Dec 2025 at 14:58:19
Take profit at 0.0348 (5.72 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03796 (2.84 %)
Position size of 279.9543 $
Take profit at 0.0348 (5.72 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03796 (2.84 %)
That's a 2.01 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.77 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.55 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.83 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : range_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.213716 15m : -0.094024 1H : 0.115986 |
2 |
Indicators:
86751.2
-0.00912976
85959.2
0.213716
86998.5
-0.0123615
85923.1
-0.094024
87843.1
-0.0214466
85959.2
0.115986
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 12:00:00
[1] => 0.03067
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 22:00:00
[1] => 0.03105
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
[1] => 0.02862
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 00:00:00
[1] => 0.03907
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 07:00:00
[1] => 0.04031
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 05:00:00
[1] => 0.04959
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 15:00:00
[1] => 0.04665
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 18:00:00
[1] => 0.04937
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 23:00:00
[1] => 0.04294
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
[1] => 0.03196
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -24.974680980352
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.894868585732
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 20
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 34.355444305382
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 17:00:00
[1] => 0.04747
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 18:45:00
[1] => 0.04937
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 20:15:00
[1] => 0.04733
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 23:30:00
[1] => 0.04294
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 01:00:00
[1] => 0.04771
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 01:45:00
[1] => 0.04533
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 04:00:00
[1] => 0.04713
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 09:00:00
[1] => 0.04122
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
[1] => 0.03196
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 14:45:00
[1] => 0.03709
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1348072256673
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.894868585732
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 16.051314142678
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 06:40:00
[1] => 0.04496
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 07:35:00
[1] => 0.0444
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 08:45:00
[1] => 0.04342
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 09:05:00
[1] => 0.04122
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 09:20:00
[1] => 0.04291
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 09:40:00
[1] => 0.04154
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 09:50:00
[1] => 0.04331
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 12:45:00
[1] => 0.03242
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
[1] => 0.03196
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 14:55:00
[1] => 0.03709
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1348072256673
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.894868585732
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 17
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 16.051314142678
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 06:40:00 | 0.04496 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 07:35:00 | 0.0444 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 08:45:00 | 0.04342 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 09:05:00 | 0.04122 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 09:20:00 | 0.04291 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 09:40:00 | 0.04154 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 09:50:00 | 0.04331 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 12:45:00 | 0.03242 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 13:30:00 | 0.03196 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 14:55:00 | 0.03709 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 17:00:00 | 0.04747 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 18:45:00 | 0.04937 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 20:15:00 | 0.04733 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 23:30:00 | 0.04294 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 01:00:00 | 0.04771 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 01:45:00 | 0.04533 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 04:00:00 | 0.04713 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 09:00:00 | 0.04122 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 13:30:00 | 0.03196 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 14:45:00 | 0.03709 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 12:00:00 | 0.03067 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 22:00:00 | 0.03105 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 06:00:00 | 0.02862 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 00:00:00 | 0.03907 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 07:00:00 | 0.04031 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 05:00:00 | 0.04959 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 15:00:00 | 0.04665 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 18:00:00 | 0.04937 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 23:00:00 | 0.04294 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 13:00:00 | 0.03196 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 14:58:19 |
17 Dec 2025 15:20:00 |
21 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03691 | 0.03796 | 0.0348 | 2.01 | 0.03089 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03796 - 0.03691 = 0.00105
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03691 - 0.0348 = 0.00211
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00211 / 0.00105 = 2.0095
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 279.9543 | 100 | 7584.7824 | 2.80 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00105 = 7619.05
Taille de position USD = 7619.05 x 0.03691 = 281.22
Donc, tu peux acheter 7619.05 avec un stoploss a 0.03796
Avec un position size USD de 281.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7619.05 x 0.00105 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7619.05 x 0.00211 = 16.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.08$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.72 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.84 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.96 $ | -2.84 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.8201 % | 134.28 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0348
[entry_price] => 0.03691
[stop_loss] => 0.038065
[rr_ratio] => 1.83
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0348
[entry_price] => 0.03691
[stop_loss] => 0.03817
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0348
[entry_price] => 0.03691
[stop_loss] => 0.038275
[rr_ratio] => 1.55
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0348
[entry_price] => 0.03691
[stop_loss] => 0.038485
[rr_ratio] => 1.34
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:30:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00031
[max_drawdown] => 0.00359
[rr_ratio] => 0.09
[high] => 0.04050000
[low] => 0.03660000
[mfe_pct] => 0.84
[mae_pct] => 9.73
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.09
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-17T14:58:19-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-17T16:58:19-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00216
[max_drawdown] => 0.00359
[rr_ratio] => 0.6
[high] => 0.04050000
[low] => 0.03475000
[mfe_pct] => 5.85
[mae_pct] => 9.73
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.6
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-17T14:58:19-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-17T21:58:19-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.04021000
[high_after] => 0.04050000
[low_before] => 0.03196000
[low_after] => 0.03578000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)