Short Trade on ARC 17 Dec 2025 at 14:58:19

Take profit at 0.0348 (5.72 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03796 (2.84 %)

Short Trade on ARC

The 17 Dec 2025 at 14:58:19

With 7584.7824 ARC at 0.03691$ per unit.

Position size of 279.9543 $

Take profit at 0.0348 (5.72 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03796 (2.84 %)

That's a 2.01 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.43
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.77
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.55
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.83
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.213716

15m : -0.094024

1H : 0.115986

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.23
  4. atr: 0.0007031623347
Details
  1. score: 1.23
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0382337
  4. ema21 : 0.0415496
  5. ema50 : 0.0422501
  6. ema100 : 0.0396718
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0346236
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0798057
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0165792
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.069617
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.50729
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.896258
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.263202
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0366626
  17. rsi : 0.350177
  18. adx : 0.442301
  19. kc_percentage : 0.037831
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.262678
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.547104
  22. volume_ema1 : 535880.36427292
  23. volume_ema2 : 346376.21606623
  24. chop : 16.902
  25. regime : bear_high_confirmed
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.0348834
  29. ema21 : 0.0363315
  30. ema50 : 0.0397346
  31. ema100 : 0.0426029
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0580962
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0398604
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0856436
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.133628
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.81176
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.929099
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.675832
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.433129
  42. rsi : 0.467894
  43. adx : 0.500398
  44. kc_percentage : 0.638113
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.142602
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.0550397
  47. volume_ema1 : 109770.3749263
  48. volume_ema2 : 104043.82764188
  49. chop : 41.5799
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.0357001
  54. ema21 : 0.0348933
  55. ema50 : 0.0357284
  56. ema100 : 0.0379415
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0338903
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0231202
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0233721
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.0271885
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.700734
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.316516
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0630283
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.159571
  67. rsi : 0.698858
  68. adx : 0.366594
  69. kc_percentage : 1.22678
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0743701
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.280839
  72. volume_ema1 : 32035.415575813
  73. volume_ema2 : 44545.567189982
  74. chop : 31.1621
  75. regime : range_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86751.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00912976
  81. 5m_price:
    85959.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.213716
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    86998.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0123615
  86. 15m_price:
    85923.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.094024
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87843.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0214466
  91. 1H_price:
    85959.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.115986
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03067
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 22:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03105
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02862
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 00:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03907
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 07:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04031
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 05:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04959
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04665
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04937
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 23:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04294
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -24.974680980352
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.894868585732
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 20
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 34.355444305382
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 17:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04747
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 18:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04937
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 20:15:00
                        [1] => 0.04733
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 23:30:00
                        [1] => 0.04294
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 01:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04771
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 01:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04533
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04713
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04122
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 14:45:00
                        [1] => 0.03709
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1348072256673
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.894868585732
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 16.051314142678
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 06:40:00
                        [1] => 0.04496
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 07:35:00
                        [1] => 0.0444
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 08:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04342
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:05:00
                        [1] => 0.04122
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:20:00
                        [1] => 0.04291
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:40:00
                        [1] => 0.04154
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:50:00
                        [1] => 0.04331
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 12:45:00
                        [1] => 0.03242
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 14:55:00
                        [1] => 0.03709
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1348072256673
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.894868585732
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 17
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 16.051314142678
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
15.89%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
17 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
16.05%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0070
18.44%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0028
8.16%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 06:40:00 0.04496 ↑ High
2025-12-17 07:35:00 0.0444 ↑ High
2025-12-17 08:45:00 0.04342 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:05:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 09:20:00 0.04291 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:40:00 0.04154 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 09:50:00 0.04331 ↑ High
2025-12-17 12:45:00 0.03242 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 14:55:00 0.03709 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
15.89%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
16.05%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0114
30.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0028
8.16%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-16 17:00:00 0.04747 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 18:45:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 20:15:00 0.04733 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 23:30:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 01:00:00 0.04771 ↑ High
2025-12-17 01:45:00 0.04533 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 04:00:00 0.04713 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:00:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 14:45:00 0.03709 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-24.97%
Dist From Last Low Pct
15.89%
Bars Since Swing High
20 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
34.36%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0116
30.64%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0062
17.76%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 12:00:00 0.03067 ↑ High
2025-12-13 22:00:00 0.03105 ↑ High
2025-12-14 06:00:00 0.02862 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 00:00:00 0.03907 ↑ High
2025-12-15 07:00:00 0.04031 ↑ High
2025-12-16 05:00:00 0.04959 ↑ High
2025-12-16 15:00:00 0.04665 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 18:00:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 23:00:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 0.03196 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
14:58:19
17 Dec 2025
15:20:00
21 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03691 0.03796 0.0348 2.01 0.03089
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03691
  • Stop Loss: 0.03796
  • Take Profit: 0.0348

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.03796 - 0.03691 = 0.00105

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03691 - 0.0348 = 0.00211

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00211 / 0.00105 = 2.0095

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
279.9543 100 7584.7824 2.80
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00105

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00105 = 7619.05

Taille de position USD = 7619.05 x 0.03691 = 281.22

Donc, tu peux acheter 7619.05 avec un stoploss a 0.03796

Avec un position size USD de 281.22$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 7619.05 x 0.00105 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 7619.05 x 0.00211 = 16.08

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.08$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 7619.05
  • Taille de position USD 281.22
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.08
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0095

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.72 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.84 % 7.96 $
PNL PNL %
-7.96 $ -2.84
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.8201 % 134.28 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0348
            [entry_price] => 0.03691
            [stop_loss] => 0.038065
            [rr_ratio] => 1.83
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0348
            [entry_price] => 0.03691
            [stop_loss] => 0.03817
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0348
            [entry_price] => 0.03691
            [stop_loss] => 0.038275
            [rr_ratio] => 1.55
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0348
            [entry_price] => 0.03691
            [stop_loss] => 0.038485
            [rr_ratio] => 1.34
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00031
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00359
            [rr_ratio] => 0.09
            [high] => 0.04050000
            [low] => 0.03660000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.84
            [mae_pct] => 9.73
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T14:58:19-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T16:58:19-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00216
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00359
            [rr_ratio] => 0.6
            [high] => 0.04050000
            [low] => 0.03475000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.85
            [mae_pct] => 9.73
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.6
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T14:58:19-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T21:58:19-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.04021000
            [high_after] => 0.04050000
            [low_before] => 0.03196000
            [low_after] => 0.03578000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)