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Short Trade on ARC

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Short Trade on ARC 17 Dec 2025 at 15:02:45

Take profit at 0.03525 (5.62 %) and Stop Loss at 0.0384 (2.81 %)

Short Trade on ARC

The 17 Dec 2025 at 15:02:45

With 7628.0838 ARC at 0.03735$ per unit.

Position size of 284.9089 $

Take profit at 0.03525 (5.62 %) and Stop Loss at 0.0384 (2.81 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.69
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.74
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.74
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.63
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.212095

15m : -0.086824

1H : 0.117883

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.3
  4. atr: 0.0006991707822
Details
  1. score: 1.3
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0380778
  4. ema21 : 0.0411786
  5. ema50 : 0.0420738
  6. ema100 : 0.0397095
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0191143
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0753025
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0212768
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0594209
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.52649
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.960139
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.319955
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.00586815
  17. rsi : 0.365618
  18. adx : 0.436266
  19. kc_percentage : 0.0917358
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.240501
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.112231
  22. volume_ema1 : 373665.1881775
  23. volume_ema2 : 335960.03093589
  24. chop : 18.9479
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.0354439
  28. ema21 : 0.0364588
  29. ema50 : 0.0396514
  30. ema100 : 0.0424664
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0537772
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0278381
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0805157
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.120483
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.522834
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.795892
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.629135
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.412871
  41. rsi : 0.506523
  42. adx : 0.467305
  43. kc_percentage : 0.701847
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.135248
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.0600679
  46. volume_ema1 : 98022.200839757
  47. volume_ema2 : 104286.47709717
  48. chop : 43.0179
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.0360508
  52. ema21 : 0.0351274
  53. ema50 : 0.0357868
  54. ema100 : 0.0378579
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0360354
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0262896
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0184267
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0134174
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.784018
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.388398
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0188414
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.133804
  65. rsi : 0.722353
  66. adx : 0.374962
  67. kc_percentage : 1.3037
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0730201
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.162791
  70. volume_ema1 : 37768.555712764
  71. volume_ema2 : 45112.46572401
  72. chop : 27.5251
  73. regime : bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86734
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00889999
  78. 5m_price: 
    85962.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.212095
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86993.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0118587
  83. 15m_price: 
    85962.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.086824
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87801.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0209535
  88. 1H_price: 
    85962.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.117883
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03067
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 22:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03105
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                    [1] => 0.02862
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 00:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03907
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04031
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04959
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04665
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 18:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04937
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 23:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04294
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03196
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -23.982175410168
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 17.428035043805
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 21
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 34.355444305382
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 17:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04747
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 18:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04937
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 20:15:00
                    [1] => 0.04733
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 23:30:00
                    [1] => 0.04294
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 01:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04771
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 01:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04533
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04713
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 09:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04122
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                    [1] => 0.03196
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03753
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 17.428035043805
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 17.428035043805
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 06:45:00
                    [1] => 0.0448
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 07:35:00
                    [1] => 0.0444
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 08:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04342
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 09:05:00
                    [1] => 0.04122
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 09:20:00
                    [1] => 0.04291
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 09:40:00
                    [1] => 0.04154
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 09:50:00
                    [1] => 0.04331
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 12:45:00
                    [1] => 0.03242
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                    [1] => 0.03196
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03753
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 17.428035043805
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 17.428035043805
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
17.43%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
17.43%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0064
16.67%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0033
9.33%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 06:45:00 0.0448 ↑ High
2025-12-17 07:35:00 0.0444 ↑ High
2025-12-17 08:45:00 0.04342 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:05:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 09:20:00 0.04291 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:40:00 0.04154 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 09:50:00 0.04331 ↑ High
2025-12-17 12:45:00 0.03242 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 15:00:00 0.03753 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
17.43%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
17.43%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0110
28.57%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0033
9.33%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-16 17:00:00 0.04747 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 18:45:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 20:15:00 0.04733 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 23:30:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 01:00:00 0.04771 ↑ High
2025-12-17 01:45:00 0.04533 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 04:00:00 0.04713 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:00:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 15:00:00 0.03753 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-23.98%
Dist From Last Low Pct
17.43%
Bars Since Swing High
21 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
34.36%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0112
29.14%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0066
18.81%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 12:00:00 0.03067 ↑ High
2025-12-13 22:00:00 0.03105 ↑ High
2025-12-14 06:00:00 0.02862 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 00:00:00 0.03907 ↑ High
2025-12-15 07:00:00 0.04031 ↑ High
2025-12-16 05:00:00 0.04959 ↑ High
2025-12-16 15:00:00 0.04665 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 18:00:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 23:00:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 0.03196 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
15:02:45		 17 Dec 2025
15:30:00		 27 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03735 0.0384 0.03525 2 0.03041
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03735
  • Stop Loss: 0.0384
  • Take Profit: 0.03525

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0384 - 0.03735 = 0.00105

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03735 - 0.03525 = 0.0021

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0021 / 0.00105 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
284.9089 100 7628.0838 2.85
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00105

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00105 = 7619.05

Taille de position USD = 7619.05 x 0.03735 = 284.57

Donc, tu peux acheter 7619.05 avec un stoploss a 0.0384

Avec un position size USD de 284.57$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 7619.05 x 0.00105 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 7619.05 x 0.0021 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 7619.05
  • Taille de position USD 284.57
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.62 % 16.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.81 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -2.81
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.2396 % 115.24 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03525
            [entry_price] => 0.03735
            [stop_loss] => 0.038505
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03525
            [entry_price] => 0.03735
            [stop_loss] => 0.03861
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03525
            [entry_price] => 0.03735
            [stop_loss] => 0.038715
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03525
            [entry_price] => 0.03735
            [stop_loss] => 0.038925
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00075
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00315
            [rr_ratio] => 0.24
            [high] => 0.04050000
            [low] => 0.03660000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.01
            [mae_pct] => 8.43
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.24
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T15:02:45-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T17:02:45-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0026
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00315
            [rr_ratio] => 0.83
            [high] => 0.04050000
            [low] => 0.03475000
            [mfe_pct] => 6.96
            [mae_pct] => 8.43
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.83
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T15:02:45-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T22:02:45-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.03976000
            [high_after] => 0.04050000
            [low_before] => 0.03196000
            [low_after] => 0.03578000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)