Short Trade on ARC 17 Dec 2025 at 15:37:40

Take profit at 0.0367 (5.09 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03966 (2.56 %)

Short Trade on ARC

The 17 Dec 2025 at 15:37:40

With 8105.1699 ARC at 0.03867$ per unit.

Position size of 313.4269 $

Take profit at 0.0367 (5.09 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03966 (2.56 %)

That's a 1.99 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -90
ML Pullback Score: 2.38
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.61
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.47
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.55
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.199917

15m : -0.006693

1H : -0.110335

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.3
  4. atr: 0.0006580162318
Details
  1. score: 1.3
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0383418
  4. ema21 : 0.0412986
  5. ema50 : 0.0421256
  6. ema100 : 0.0397357
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00855893
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0715969
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0196308
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0268201
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.4793
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.938653
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.310096
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.000386649
  17. rsi : 0.408714
  18. adx : 0.427868
  19. kc_percentage : 0.243957
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.249773
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.359069
  22. volume_ema1 : 472375.84223417
  23. volume_ema2 : 347573.0490602
  24. chop : 19.1303
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.0365533
  29. ema21 : 0.0368182
  30. ema50 : 0.0395703
  31. ema100 : 0.0423494
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0579045
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0071947
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.069548
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.086883
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0758265
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.489216
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.513929
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.364586
  42. rsi : 0.570351
  43. adx : 0.408742
  44. kc_percentage : 0.897111
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.126377
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.0467439
  47. volume_ema1 : 101901.24438434
  48. volume_ema2 : 106898.08469439
  49. chop : 34.4874
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.0377628
  54. ema21 : 0.0365729
  55. ema50 : 0.036333
  56. ema100 : 0.0378436
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0240215
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0325349
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00660439
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0218359
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.788031
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.587238
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.174653
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0213668
  67. rsi : 0.747219
  68. adx : 0.434738
  69. kc_percentage : 1.30328
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0653307
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.278927
  72. volume_ema1 : 31753.909128019
  73. volume_ema2 : 44037.026376509
  74. chop : 32.0464
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86664.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00733088
  81. 5m_price:
    86028.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.199917
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    86969.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0114425
  86. 15m_price:
    85974.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.006693
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87803.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0202074
  91. 1H_price:
    86028.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.110335
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03067
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 22:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03105
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02862
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 00:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03907
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 07:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04031
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 05:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04959
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04665
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04937
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 23:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04294
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -21.490783876848
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 21.276595744681
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 21
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 34.355444305382
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 17:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04747
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 18:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04937
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 20:15:00
                        [1] => 0.04733
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 23:30:00
                        [1] => 0.04294
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 01:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04771
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 01:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04533
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04713
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04122
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 15:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03896
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.51334702258727
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 21.276595744681
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 21.902377972466
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 07:35:00
                        [1] => 0.0444
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 08:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04342
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:05:00
                        [1] => 0.04122
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:20:00
                        [1] => 0.04291
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:40:00
                        [1] => 0.04154
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:50:00
                        [1] => 0.04331
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 12:45:00
                        [1] => 0.03242
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 15:35:00
                        [1] => 0.03896
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.51334702258727
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 21.276595744681
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 25
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 21.902377972466
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.51%
Dist From Last Low Pct
21.28%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
25 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
21.90%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0047
11.95%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0047
12.92%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 07:35:00 0.0444 ↑ High
2025-12-17 08:45:00 0.04342 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:05:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 09:20:00 0.04291 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:40:00 0.04154 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 09:50:00 0.04331 ↑ High
2025-12-17 12:45:00 0.03242 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 15:35:00 0.03896 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.51%
Dist From Last Low Pct
21.28%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
21.90%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0097
24.48%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0047
12.92%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-16 17:00:00 0.04747 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 18:45:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 20:15:00 0.04733 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 23:30:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 01:00:00 0.04771 ↑ High
2025-12-17 01:45:00 0.04533 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 04:00:00 0.04713 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:00:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 15:30:00 0.03896 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-21.49%
Dist From Last Low Pct
21.28%
Bars Since Swing High
21 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
34.36%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0099
25.04%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0081
22.02%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 12:00:00 0.03067 ↑ High
2025-12-13 22:00:00 0.03105 ↑ High
2025-12-14 06:00:00 0.02862 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 00:00:00 0.03907 ↑ High
2025-12-15 07:00:00 0.04031 ↑ High
2025-12-16 05:00:00 0.04959 ↑ High
2025-12-16 15:00:00 0.04665 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 18:00:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 23:00:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 0.03196 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
15:37:40
17 Dec 2025
15:45:00
7 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03867 0.03966 0.0367 1.99 0.03068
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03867
  • Stop Loss: 0.03966
  • Take Profit: 0.0367

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.03966 - 0.03867 = 0.00099

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03867 - 0.0367 = 0.00197

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00197 / 0.00099 = 1.9899

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
313.4269 100 8105.1699 3.13
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00099

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00099 = 8080.81

Taille de position USD = 8080.81 x 0.03867 = 312.48

Donc, tu peux acheter 8080.81 avec un stoploss a 0.03966

Avec un position size USD de 312.48$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 8080.81 x 0.00099 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 8080.81 x 0.00197 = 15.92

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.92$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 8080.81
  • Taille de position USD 312.48
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.92
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9899

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.09 % 15.97 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.56 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
-8.02 $ -2.56
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.4394 % 134.35 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0367
            [entry_price] => 0.03867
            [stop_loss] => 0.039759
            [rr_ratio] => 1.81
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0367
            [entry_price] => 0.03867
            [stop_loss] => 0.039858
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0367
            [entry_price] => 0.03867
            [stop_loss] => 0.039957
            [rr_ratio] => 1.53
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0367
            [entry_price] => 0.03867
            [stop_loss] => 0.040155
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 16:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00251
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00183
            [rr_ratio] => 1.37
            [high] => 0.04050000
            [low] => 0.03616000
            [mfe_pct] => 6.49
            [mae_pct] => 4.73
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.37
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T15:37:40-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T17:37:40-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00392
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00183
            [rr_ratio] => 2.14
            [high] => 0.04050000
            [low] => 0.03475000
            [mfe_pct] => 10.14
            [mae_pct] => 4.73
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T15:37:40-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T22:37:40-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.03896000
            [high_after] => 0.04050000
            [low_before] => 0.03196000
            [low_after] => 0.03476000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)