Short Trade on ARC 17 Dec 2025 at 15:42:02

Take profit at 0.03632 (5.24 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03934 (2.64 %)

Short Trade on ARC

The 17 Dec 2025 at 15:42:02

With 7949.8159 ARC at 0.03833$ per unit.

Position size of 304.7164 $

Take profit at 0.03632 (5.24 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03934 (2.64 %)

That's a 1.99 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.79
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.65
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.8
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.93
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.192519

15m : -0.050178

1H : 0.140443

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.0006708750715
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0382738
  4. ema21 : 0.0412677
  5. ema50 : 0.0421123
  6. ema100 : 0.0397289
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00146745
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0725493
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0200544
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0352132
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.49145
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.944187
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.312635
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.00179855
  17. rsi : 0.398183
  18. adx : 0.427363
  19. kc_percentage : 0.213296
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.253032
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.389565
  22. volume_ema1 : 485046.9106875
  23. volume_ema2 : 349063.76299589
  24. chop : 19.1411
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.0365533
  29. ema21 : 0.0368182
  30. ema50 : 0.0395703
  31. ema100 : 0.0423494
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0486031
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0071947
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.069548
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0949114
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0758265
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.489216
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.513929
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.364586
  42. rsi : 0.570351
  43. adx : 0.408742
  44. kc_percentage : 0.827539
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.127498
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.0467439
  47. volume_ema1 : 101901.24438434
  48. volume_ema2 : 106898.08469439
  49. chop : 34.4874
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.0378907
  54. ema21 : 0.0367401
  55. ema50 : 0.0364121
  56. ema100 : 0.037836
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0115938
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0313163
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00900725
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0130542
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.775101
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.600334
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.196595
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00639617
  67. rsi : 0.691011
  68. adx : 0.437425
  69. kc_percentage : 1.08334
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0680122
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.254968
  72. volume_ema1 : 32630.48423979
  73. volume_ema2 : 43797.475173351
  74. chop : 36.7527
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86638.9
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00726558
  81. 5m_price:
    86009.5
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.192519
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    86969.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0114425
  86. 15m_price:
    85974.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.050178
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87802.7
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0204241
  91. 1H_price:
    86009.5
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.140443
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03067
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 22:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03105
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02862
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 00:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03907
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 07:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04031
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 05:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04959
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04665
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04937
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 23:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04294
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -20.781851326717
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 22.371714643304
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 21
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 34.355444305382
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 17:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04747
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 18:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04937
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 20:15:00
                        [1] => 0.04733
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 23:30:00
                        [1] => 0.04294
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 01:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04771
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 01:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04533
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04713
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04122
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 15:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03911
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 22.371714643304
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 22.371714643304
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 07:35:00
                        [1] => 0.0444
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 08:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04342
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:05:00
                        [1] => 0.04122
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:20:00
                        [1] => 0.04291
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:40:00
                        [1] => 0.04154
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:50:00
                        [1] => 0.04331
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 12:45:00
                        [1] => 0.03242
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 15:40:00
                        [1] => 0.03911
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 22.371714643304
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 26
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 22.371714643304
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
22.37%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
26 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
22.37%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0051
12.86%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0044
12.00%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 07:35:00 0.0444 ↑ High
2025-12-17 08:45:00 0.04342 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:05:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 09:20:00 0.04291 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:40:00 0.04154 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 09:50:00 0.04331 ↑ High
2025-12-17 12:45:00 0.03242 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 15:40:00 0.03911 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
22.37%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
22.37%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0100
25.50%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0044
12.00%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-16 17:00:00 0.04747 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 18:45:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 20:15:00 0.04733 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 23:30:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 01:00:00 0.04771 ↑ High
2025-12-17 01:45:00 0.04533 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 04:00:00 0.04713 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:00:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 15:30:00 0.03911 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-20.78%
Dist From Last Low Pct
22.37%
Bars Since Swing High
21 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
34.36%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0103
26.05%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0077
21.20%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 12:00:00 0.03067 ↑ High
2025-12-13 22:00:00 0.03105 ↑ High
2025-12-14 06:00:00 0.02862 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 00:00:00 0.03907 ↑ High
2025-12-15 07:00:00 0.04031 ↑ High
2025-12-16 05:00:00 0.04959 ↑ High
2025-12-16 15:00:00 0.04665 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 18:00:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 23:00:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 0.03196 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
15:42:02
17 Dec 2025
15:45:00
2 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03833 0.03934 0.03632 1.99 0.03096
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03833
  • Stop Loss: 0.03934
  • Take Profit: 0.03632

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.03934 - 0.03833 = 0.00101

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03833 - 0.03632 = 0.00201

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00201 / 0.00101 = 1.9901

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
304.7164 100 7949.8159 3.05
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00101

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00101 = 7920.79

Taille de position USD = 7920.79 x 0.03833 = 303.6

Donc, tu peux acheter 7920.79 avec un stoploss a 0.03934

Avec un position size USD de 303.6$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 7920.79 x 0.00101 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 7920.79 x 0.00201 = 15.92

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.92$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 7920.79
  • Taille de position USD 303.6
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.92
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9901

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.24 % 15.98 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.64 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
-8.03 $ -2.64
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.3569 % 165.35 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03632
            [entry_price] => 0.03833
            [stop_loss] => 0.039441
            [rr_ratio] => 1.81
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03632
            [entry_price] => 0.03833
            [stop_loss] => 0.039542
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03632
            [entry_price] => 0.03833
            [stop_loss] => 0.039643
            [rr_ratio] => 1.53
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03632
            [entry_price] => 0.03833
            [stop_loss] => 0.039845
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00217
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00217
            [rr_ratio] => 1
            [high] => 0.04050000
            [low] => 0.03616000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.66
            [mae_pct] => 5.66
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T15:42:02-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T17:42:02-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00358
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00217
            [rr_ratio] => 1.65
            [high] => 0.04050000
            [low] => 0.03475000
            [mfe_pct] => 9.34
            [mae_pct] => 5.66
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.65
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T15:42:02-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T22:42:02-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.03911000
            [high_after] => 0.04050000
            [low_before] => 0.03196000
            [low_after] => 0.03476000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)