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Short Trade on ARC

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Short Trade on ARC 17 Dec 2025 at 15:50:27

Take profit at 0.03765 (5.09 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04068 (2.55 %)

Short Trade on ARC

The 17 Dec 2025 at 15:50:27

With 7919.8003 ARC at 0.03967$ per unit.

Position size of 314.1785 $

Take profit at 0.03765 (5.09 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04068 (2.55 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 90
ML Pullback Score: 6.57
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.55
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.54
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.73
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.204073

15m : -0.250242

1H : 0.075373

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.38
  4. atr: 0.0006734176561
Details
  1. score: 1.38
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0385418
  4. ema21 : 0.0413896
  5. ema50 : 0.0421648
  6. ema100 : 0.0397555
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0292711
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0688039
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0183866
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00215116
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.44354
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.922375
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.302627
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.003766
  17. rsi : 0.437655
  18. adx : 0.42242
  19. kc_percentage : 0.34495
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.254971
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.466228
  22. volume_ema1 : 517385.5129475
  23. volume_ema2 : 352868.30443824
  24. chop : 19.2529
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.0372027
  28. ema21 : 0.0370938
  29. ema50 : 0.0395827
  30. ema100 : 0.0423046
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.06632
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00293566
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0628785
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0622775
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.37932
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.316966
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.444514
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.333651
  41. rsi : 0.603761
  42. adx : 0.396383
  43. kc_percentage : 1.04291
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.12275
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.0215956
  46. volume_ema1 : 106218.34147067
  47. volume_ema2 : 108562.82130765
  48. chop : 28.4254
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.0385942
  52. ema21 : 0.0372882
  53. ema50 : 0.0366883
  54. ema100 : 0.0379638
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0278723
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0350257
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0163516
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0449409
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.752557
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.623726
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.238196
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0191262
  65. rsi : 0.792596
  66. adx : 0.455572
  67. kc_percentage : 1.37565
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0662334
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.247041
  70. volume_ema1 : 33334.246341018
  71. volume_ema2 : 44271.033302267
  72. chop : 28.5049
  73. regime : bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86615.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00588974
  78. 5m_price: 
    86105.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.204073
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86939.6
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00965739
  83. 15m_price: 
    86100
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.250242
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87804.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0193542
  88. 1H_price: 
    86105.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.075373
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03067
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 22:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03105
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                    [1] => 0.02862
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 00:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03907
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04031
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04959
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04665
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 18:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04937
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 23:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04294
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03196
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -19.910877050841
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 23.717146433041
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 21
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 34.355444305382
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 17:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04747
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 18:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04937
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 20:15:00
                    [1] => 0.04733
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 23:30:00
                    [1] => 0.04294
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 01:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04771
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 01:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04533
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04713
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 09:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04122
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                    [1] => 0.03196
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.15
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 23.717146433041
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 25.156445556946
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 07:35:00
                    [1] => 0.0444
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 08:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04342
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 09:05:00
                    [1] => 0.04122
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 09:20:00
                    [1] => 0.04291
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 09:40:00
                    [1] => 0.04154
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 09:50:00
                    [1] => 0.04331
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 12:45:00
                    [1] => 0.03242
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                    [1] => 0.03196
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.15
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 23.717146433041
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 28
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 25.156445556946
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
23.72%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
28 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
25.16%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0037
9.14%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0057
15.11%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 07:35:00 0.0444 ↑ High
2025-12-17 08:45:00 0.04342 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:05:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 09:20:00 0.04291 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:40:00 0.04154 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 09:50:00 0.04331 ↑ High
2025-12-17 12:45:00 0.03242 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 15:45:00 0.04 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
23.72%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
25.16%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0087
21.36%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0057
15.11%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-16 17:00:00 0.04747 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 18:45:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 20:15:00 0.04733 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 23:30:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 01:00:00 0.04771 ↑ High
2025-12-17 01:45:00 0.04533 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 04:00:00 0.04713 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:00:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 15:45:00 0.04 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-19.91%
Dist From Last Low Pct
23.72%
Bars Since Swing High
21 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
34.36%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0089
21.90%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0090
23.98%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 12:00:00 0.03067 ↑ High
2025-12-13 22:00:00 0.03105 ↑ High
2025-12-14 06:00:00 0.02862 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 00:00:00 0.03907 ↑ High
2025-12-15 07:00:00 0.04031 ↑ High
2025-12-16 05:00:00 0.04959 ↑ High
2025-12-16 15:00:00 0.04665 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 18:00:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 23:00:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 0.03196 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
15:50:27		 17 Dec 2025
16:10:00		 19 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03967 0.04068 0.03765 2 0.03279
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03967
  • Stop Loss: 0.04068
  • Take Profit: 0.03765

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04068 - 0.03967 = 0.00101

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03967 - 0.03765 = 0.00202

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00202 / 0.00101 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
314.1785 100 7919.8003 3.14
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00101

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00101 = 7920.79

Taille de position USD = 7920.79 x 0.03967 = 314.22

Donc, tu peux acheter 7920.79 avec un stoploss a 0.04068

Avec un position size USD de 314.22$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 7920.79 x 0.00101 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 7920.79 x 0.00202 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 7920.79
  • Taille de position USD 314.22
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.09 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.55 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 5.09
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5294 % 20.79 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03765
            [stop_loss] => 0.04068
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 16:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.037145
            [stop_loss] => 0.04068
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 16:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03664
            [stop_loss] => 0.04068
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 16:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.036135
            [stop_loss] => 0.04068
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 18:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03563
            [stop_loss] => 0.04068
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.035125
            [stop_loss] => 0.04068
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00351
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00083
            [rr_ratio] => 4.23
            [high] => 0.04050000
            [low] => 0.03616000
            [mfe_pct] => 8.85
            [mae_pct] => 2.09
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.23
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T15:50:27-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T17:50:27-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00492
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00083
            [rr_ratio] => 5.93
            [high] => 0.04050000
            [low] => 0.03475000
            [mfe_pct] => 12.4
            [mae_pct] => 2.09
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.93
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T15:50:27-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T22:50:27-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.04000000
            [high_after] => 0.04050000
            [low_before] => 0.03196000
            [low_after] => 0.03475000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)