Short Trade on ARC 17 Dec 2025 at 16:04:04

Take profit at 0.03772 (4.89 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04063 (2.45 %)

Short Trade on ARC

The 17 Dec 2025 at 16:04:04

With 8255.7145 ARC at 0.03966$ per unit.

Position size of 327.4216 $

Take profit at 0.03772 (4.89 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04063 (2.45 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 100
ML Pullback Score: 6.51
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.82
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.67
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.63
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.199226

15m : -0.025069

1H : -0.085424

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.26
  4. atr: 0.0006460171723
Details
  1. score: 1.26
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0387686
  4. ema21 : 0.0412339
  5. ema50 : 0.0420615
  6. ema100 : 0.0397107
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.022991
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0597887
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0196745
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00127705
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.38071
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.940536
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.335747
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0195191
  17. rsi : 0.437519
  18. adx : 0.405273
  19. kc_percentage : 0.346654
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.235078
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0492644
  22. volume_ema1 : 356376.73050833
  23. volume_ema2 : 339644.33042773
  24. chop : 20.0047
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.0377341
  29. ema21 : 0.0373477
  30. ema50 : 0.0395922
  31. ema100 : 0.0422354
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0510367
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0103463
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.05669
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0609786
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.620697
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.159942
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.377899
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.30271
  42. rsi : 0.611804
  43. adx : 0.382532
  44. kc_percentage : 1.01305
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.11605
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.212032
  47. volume_ema1 : 82459.035752668
  48. volume_ema2 : 104647.78198741
  49. chop : 28.36
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.0389661
  54. ema21 : 0.0376925
  55. ema50 : 0.0369059
  56. ema100 : 0.0379737
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0178076
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0337879
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0213139
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0444063
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.66488
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.604391
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.261847
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0417987
  67. rsi : 0.788547
  68. adx : 0.465146
  69. kc_percentage : 1.25643
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0627587
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.413272
  72. volume_ema1 : 24800.470042304
  73. volume_ema2 : 42269.144497728
  74. chop : 39.8263
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86567.1
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00740606
  81. 5m_price:
    85926
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.199226
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    86925.9
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0115031
  86. 15m_price:
    85926
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.025069
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87772.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0210426
  91. 1H_price:
    85926
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.085424
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0296
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 22:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03105
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02862
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 00:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03907
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 07:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04031
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 05:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04959
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04665
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04937
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 23:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04294
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -20.194450070893
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 23.279098873592
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 22
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 34.355444305382
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 17:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04747
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 18:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04937
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 20:15:00
                        [1] => 0.04733
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 23:30:00
                        [1] => 0.04294
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 01:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04771
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 01:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04533
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04713
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04122
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.5
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 23.279098873592
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 25.156445556946
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 07:45:00
                        [1] => 0.0439
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 08:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04342
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:05:00
                        [1] => 0.04122
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:20:00
                        [1] => 0.04291
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:40:00
                        [1] => 0.04154
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:50:00
                        [1] => 0.04331
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 12:45:00
                        [1] => 0.03242
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.5
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 23.279098873592
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 30
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 25.156445556946
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.50%
Dist From Last Low Pct
23.28%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
30 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
25.16%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0033
8.05%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0058
15.27%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 07:45:00 0.0439 ↑ High
2025-12-17 08:45:00 0.04342 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:05:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 09:20:00 0.04291 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:40:00 0.04154 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 09:50:00 0.04331 ↑ High
2025-12-17 12:45:00 0.03242 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 15:45:00 0.04 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.50%
Dist From Last Low Pct
23.28%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
25.16%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0087
21.51%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0058
15.27%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-16 17:00:00 0.04747 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 18:45:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 20:15:00 0.04733 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 23:30:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 01:00:00 0.04771 ↑ High
2025-12-17 01:45:00 0.04533 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 04:00:00 0.04713 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:00:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 15:45:00 0.04 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-20.19%
Dist From Last Low Pct
23.28%
Bars Since Swing High
22 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
34.36%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0090
22.05%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0091
24.13%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 14:00:00 0.0296 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 22:00:00 0.03105 ↑ High
2025-12-14 06:00:00 0.02862 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 00:00:00 0.03907 ↑ High
2025-12-15 07:00:00 0.04031 ↑ High
2025-12-16 05:00:00 0.04959 ↑ High
2025-12-16 15:00:00 0.04665 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 18:00:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 23:00:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 0.03196 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
16:04:04
17 Dec 2025
16:10:00
5 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03966 0.04063 0.03772 2 0.03084
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03966
  • Stop Loss: 0.04063
  • Take Profit: 0.03772

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04063 - 0.03966 = 0.00097

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03966 - 0.03772 = 0.00194

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00194 / 0.00097 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
327.4216 100 8255.7145 3.27
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00097

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00097 = 8247.42

Taille de position USD = 8247.42 x 0.03966 = 327.09

Donc, tu peux acheter 8247.42 avec un stoploss a 0.04063

Avec un position size USD de 327.09$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 8247.42 x 0.00097 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 8247.42 x 0.00194 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 8247.42
  • Taille de position USD 327.09
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.89 % 16.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.45 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
16.02 $ 4.89
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03772
            [stop_loss] => 0.04063
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 16:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.037235
            [stop_loss] => 0.04063
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 16:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03675
            [stop_loss] => 0.04063
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 16:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.036265
            [stop_loss] => 0.04063
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03578
            [stop_loss] => 0.04063
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 19:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.035295
            [stop_loss] => 0.04063
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03481
            [stop_loss] => 0.04063
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0035
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00084
            [rr_ratio] => 4.17
            [high] => 0.04050000
            [low] => 0.03616000
            [mfe_pct] => 8.83
            [mae_pct] => 2.12
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.17
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T16:04:04-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T18:04:04-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00491
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00084
            [rr_ratio] => 5.85
            [high] => 0.04050000
            [low] => 0.03475000
            [mfe_pct] => 12.38
            [mae_pct] => 2.12
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.85
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T16:04:04-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T23:04:04-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.04000000
            [high_after] => 0.04050000
            [low_before] => 0.03196000
            [low_after] => 0.03475000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)