Short Trade on ARC 17 Dec 2025 at 16:51:50
Take profit at 0.03773 (6.42 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04161 (3.2 %)
Short Trade on ARC 17 Dec 2025 at 16:51:50
Take profit at 0.03773 (6.42 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04161 (3.2 %)
Position size of 249.4694 $
Take profit at 0.03773 (6.42 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04161 (3.2 %)
That's a 2.01 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.92 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.57 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.95 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.178554 15m : -0.033687 1H : -0.086165 |
2 |
Indicators:
86466.7
-0.00721166
85843.2
0.178554
86877.3
-0.0117713
85854.7
-0.033687
87771.3
-0.0219676
85843.2
-0.086165
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Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 08:45:00 | 0.04342 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 09:05:00 | 0.04122 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 09:20:00 | 0.04291 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 09:40:00 | 0.04154 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 09:50:00 | 0.04331 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 12:45:00 | 0.03242 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 13:30:00 | 0.03196 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 15:45:00 | 0.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 16:15:00 | 0.0366 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 16:45:00 | 0.0405 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 18:45:00 | 0.04937 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 20:15:00 | 0.04733 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 23:30:00 | 0.04294 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 01:00:00 | 0.04771 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 01:45:00 | 0.04533 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 04:00:00 | 0.04713 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 09:00:00 | 0.04122 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 13:30:00 | 0.03196 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 16:15:00 | 0.0366 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 16:45:00 | 0.0405 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 22:00:00 | 0.03105 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 06:00:00 | 0.02862 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 00:00:00 | 0.03907 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 07:00:00 | 0.04031 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 05:00:00 | 0.04959 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 15:00:00 | 0.04665 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 18:00:00 | 0.04937 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 23:00:00 | 0.04294 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 13:00:00 | 0.03196 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 16:00:00 | 0.0405 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 16:51:50 |
17 Dec 2025 17:15:00 |
23 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04032 | 0.04161 | 0.03773 | 2.01 | 0.03104 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04161 - 0.04032 = 0.00129
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04032 - 0.03773 = 0.00259
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00259 / 0.00129 = 2.0078
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 249.4694 | 100 | 6187.238 | 2.49 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00129 = 6201.55
Taille de position USD = 6201.55 x 0.04032 = 250.05
Donc, tu peux acheter 6201.55 avec un stoploss a 0.04161
Avec un position size USD de 250.05$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6201.55 x 0.00129 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6201.55 x 0.00259 = 16.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.06$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.42 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.2 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.02 $ | 6.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0496 % | 1.55 % | 1 |
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