Short Trade on ARC 17 Dec 2025 at 16:51:50

Take profit at 0.03773 (6.42 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04161 (3.2 %)

Short Trade on ARC

The 17 Dec 2025 at 16:51:50

With 6187.238 ARC at 0.04032$ per unit.

Position size of 249.4694 $

Take profit at 0.03773 (6.42 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04161 (3.2 %)

That's a 2.01 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 80
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.92
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.57
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.95
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.178554

15m : -0.033687

1H : -0.086165

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 0.0008619893658
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0389006
  4. ema21 : 0.0412939
  5. ema50 : 0.0420874
  6. ema100 : 0.0397237
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.036486
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0579582
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0188518
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.015009
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.35704
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.929779
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.330825
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0167829
  17. rsi : 0.456249
  18. adx : 0.402923
  19. kc_percentage : 0.421924
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.264465
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.458917
  22. volume_ema1 : 524342.28386833
  23. volume_ema2 : 359404.9837642
  24. chop : 20.3556
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.0381884
  29. ema21 : 0.0376102
  30. ema50 : 0.0394434
  31. ema100 : 0.0420041
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0558155
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0153744
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0464775
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0400954
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 1.03163
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.192095
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.215516
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.22826
  42. rsi : 0.596088
  43. adx : 0.319853
  44. kc_percentage : 0.971242
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.143793
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.00118455
  47. volume_ema1 : 110660.88440857
  48. volume_ema2 : 110792.12428519
  49. chop : 27.6814
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.0390588
  54. ema21 : 0.0383058
  55. ema50 : 0.0374236
  56. ema100 : 0.0379376
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0322873
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0196584
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0235728
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0627977
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.106003
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.23018
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.175869
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0424382
  67. rsi : 0.702947
  68. adx : 0.33355
  69. kc_percentage : 1.04728
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0886339
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.182488
  72. volume_ema1 : 36554.843296479
  73. volume_ema2 : 44714.80134524
  74. chop : 38.9921
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86466.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00721166
  81. 5m_price:
    85843.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.178554
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    86877.3
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0117713
  86. 15m_price:
    85854.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.033687
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87771.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0219676
  91. 1H_price:
    85843.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.086165
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 22:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03105
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02862
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 00:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03907
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 07:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04031
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 05:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04959
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04665
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04937
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 23:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04294
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0405
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.39506172839506
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 26.22027534418
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 26.720901126408
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 18:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04937
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 20:15:00
                        [1] => 0.04733
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 23:30:00
                        [1] => 0.04294
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 01:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04771
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 01:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04533
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04713
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04122
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 16:15:00
                        [1] => 0.0366
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 16:45:00
                        [1] => 0.0405
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.39506172839506
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.218579234973
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.655737704918
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 08:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04342
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:05:00
                        [1] => 0.04122
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:20:00
                        [1] => 0.04291
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:40:00
                        [1] => 0.04154
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:50:00
                        [1] => 0.04331
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 12:45:00
                        [1] => 0.03242
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 16:15:00
                        [1] => 0.0366
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 16:45:00
                        [1] => 0.0405
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.39506172839506
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.218579234973
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.655737704918
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.40%
Dist From Last Low Pct
10.22%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.66%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0018
4.35%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0058
15.29%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 08:45:00 0.04342 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:05:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 09:20:00 0.04291 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:40:00 0.04154 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 09:50:00 0.04331 ↑ High
2025-12-17 12:45:00 0.03242 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 15:45:00 0.04 ↑ High
2025-12-17 16:15:00 0.0366 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:45:00 0.0405 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.40%
Dist From Last Low Pct
10.22%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.66%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0078
18.65%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0058
15.29%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-16 18:45:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 20:15:00 0.04733 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 23:30:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 01:00:00 0.04771 ↑ High
2025-12-17 01:45:00 0.04533 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 04:00:00 0.04713 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:00:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:15:00 0.0366 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:45:00 0.0405 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.40%
Dist From Last Low Pct
26.22%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
26.72%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0080
19.18%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0091
24.15%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 22:00:00 0.03105 ↑ High
2025-12-14 06:00:00 0.02862 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 00:00:00 0.03907 ↑ High
2025-12-15 07:00:00 0.04031 ↑ High
2025-12-16 05:00:00 0.04959 ↑ High
2025-12-16 15:00:00 0.04665 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 18:00:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 23:00:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:00:00 0.0405 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
16:51:50
17 Dec 2025
17:15:00
23 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04032 0.04161 0.03773 2.01 0.03104
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04032
  • Stop Loss: 0.04161
  • Take Profit: 0.03773

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04161 - 0.04032 = 0.00129

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04032 - 0.03773 = 0.00259

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00259 / 0.00129 = 2.0078

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
249.4694 100 6187.238 2.49
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00129

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00129 = 6201.55

Taille de position USD = 6201.55 x 0.04032 = 250.05

Donc, tu peux acheter 6201.55 avec un stoploss a 0.04161

Avec un position size USD de 250.05$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6201.55 x 0.00129 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6201.55 x 0.00259 = 16.06

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.06$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6201.55
  • Taille de position USD 250.05
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.06
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0078

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
6.42 % 16.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.2 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
16.02 $ 6.42
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0496 % 1.55 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03774
            [stop_loss] => 0.04161
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 17:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.037095
            [stop_loss] => 0.04161
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 17:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03645
            [stop_loss] => 0.04161
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.035805
            [stop_loss] => 0.04161
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 19:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03516
            [stop_loss] => 0.04161
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00425
            [max_drawdown] => 1.9999999999999E-5
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 0.04034000
            [low] => 0.03607000
            [mfe_pct] => 10.54
            [mae_pct] => 0.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 212.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T16:51:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T18:51:50-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00557
            [max_drawdown] => 1.9999999999999E-5
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 0.04034000
            [low] => 0.03475000
            [mfe_pct] => 13.81
            [mae_pct] => 0.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 278.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T16:51:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T23:51:50-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.04050000
            [high_after] => 0.04034000
            [low_before] => 0.03196000
            [low_after] => 0.03475000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)