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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 17 Dec 2025 at 19:37:07

Take profit at 160.8911 (0.31 %) and Stop Loss at 161.6394 (0.15 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Dec 2025 at 19:37:07

With 32.0729 MSTR at 161.39$ per unit.

Position size of 5176.2428 $

Take profit at 160.8911 (0.31 %) and Stop Loss at 161.6394 (0.15 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 2.89
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.86
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.4
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.71
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.698025

15m : -0.07877

1H : -0.111051

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.3
  4. atr: 0.1662879221
Details
  1. score: 1.3
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 162.433
  4. ema21 : 164.052
  5. ema50 : 165.866
  6. ema100 : 168.515
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0064262
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00986662
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0109362
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0422865
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.214641
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.121326
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0766326
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0661898
  17. rsi : 0.376654
  18. adx : 0.180515
  19. kc_percentage : 0.172841
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0488061
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.711818
  22. volume_ema1 : 132442.38898287
  23. volume_ema2 : 459580.08792958
  24. chop : 36.3203
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 160.961
  28. ema21 : 161.589
  29. ema50 : 163.229
  30. ema100 : 164.676
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00266505
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0038915
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0100421
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0199575
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0325343
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.07139
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0712991
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0509197
  41. rsi : 0.371489
  42. adx : 0.41941
  43. kc_percentage : 0.433309
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0125076
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.978628
  46. volume_ema1 : 1975.5734411593
  47. volume_ema2 : 92441.05270479
  48. chop : 73.9669
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 160.968
  52. ema21 : 160.968
  53. ema50 : 161.311
  54. ema100 : 162.038
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00262097
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : -4.24505E-6
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00212693
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00400483
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.000914261
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.00276772
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0118751
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0153407
  65. rsi : 0.608425
  66. adx : 0.429893
  67. kc_percentage : 1.2971
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00330439
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.839337
  70. volume_ema1 : 1200.1693715999
  71. volume_ema2 : 7470.1405854503
  72. chop : 46.3886
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86127.1
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00134772
  78. 5m_price: 
    86243.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.698025
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86760.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00549919
  83. 15m_price: 
    86283.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.07877
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87691.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0165137
  88. 1H_price: 
    86243.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.111051
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
                    [1] => 173.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 178
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 171.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 162.29
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
                    [1] => 164.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.6640168342296
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1849529780564
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.2601880877743
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 03:30:00
                    [1] => 165.36
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 167.79
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 07:00:00
                    [1] => 167.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 11:30:00
                    [1] => 163.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                    [1] => 165.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:45:00
                    [1] => 162.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:30:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 17:30:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1849529780564
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.0061961707664783
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 17:20:00
                    [1] => 160.47
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 17:40:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 17:50:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 18:00:00
                    [1] => 160.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 18:40:00
                    [1] => 160.55
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 18:55:00
                    [1] => 161.01
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:10:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:20:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:35:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.34819374494807
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.34819374494807
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.35%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.35%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2394
0.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.4211
0.26%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 17:20:00 160.47 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 17:40:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-17 17:50:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-17 18:00:00 160.76 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 18:40:00 160.55 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 18:55:00 161.01 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:10:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:20:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:30:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:35:00 161.39 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.18%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.01%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.4406
5.84%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.3911
0.86%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 03:30:00 165.36 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 05:00:00 167.79 ↑ High
2025-12-17 07:00:00 167.98 ↑ High
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 11:30:00 163.8 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 165.76 ↑ High
2025-12-17 13:45:00 162.27 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:30:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 17:30:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:30:00 161.39 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.66%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.18%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.26%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.3606
10.12%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.3911
0.86%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 20:00:00 173.66 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 21:00:00 178 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 11:00:00 171.67 ↑ High
2025-12-16 12:00:00 162.29 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 00:00:00 164.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 16:00:00 159.5 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
19:37:07		 17 Dec 2025
20:30:00		 52 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
161.39 161.6394 160.8911 2 129.52
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 161.39
  • Stop Loss: 161.6394
  • Take Profit: 160.8911

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 161.6394 - 161.39 = 0.24940000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 161.39 - 160.8911 = 0.49889999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.49889999999999 / 0.24940000000001 = 2.0004

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
5176.2428 100 32.0729 51.76
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.24940000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.24940000000001 = 32.08

Taille de position USD = 32.08 x 161.39 = 5177.39

Donc, tu peux acheter 32.08 avec un stoploss a 161.6394

Avec un position size USD de 5177.39$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 32.08 x 0.24940000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 32.08 x 0.49889999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 32.08
  • Taille de position USD 5177.39
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0004

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.31 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.15 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.31
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 9

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.8912
            [stop_loss] => 161.6394
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.7665
            [stop_loss] => 161.6394
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.6418
            [stop_loss] => 161.6394
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.5171
            [stop_loss] => 161.6394
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.3924
            [stop_loss] => 161.6394
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.2677
            [stop_loss] => 161.6394
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.143
            [stop_loss] => 161.6394
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.0183
            [stop_loss] => 161.6394
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.8936
            [stop_loss] => 161.6394
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.7689
            [stop_loss] => 161.6394
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.6442
            [stop_loss] => 161.6394
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.78999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.26000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 3.04
            [high] => 161.65000000
            [low] => 160.60000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.49
            [mae_pct] => 0.16
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.04
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T19:37:07-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T21:37:07-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.78999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 1.03
            [rr_ratio] => 0.77
            [high] => 162.42000000
            [low] => 160.60000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.49
            [mae_pct] => 0.64
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.77
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T19:37:07-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T02:37:07-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 162.30000000
            [high_after] => 162.34000000
            [low_before] => 159.50000000
            [low_after] => 160.60000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)