Short Trade on FOLKS 17 Dec 2025 at 19:37:26
Take profit at 7.1821 (6.59 %) and Stop Loss at 7.9426 (3.3 %)
Short Trade on FOLKS 17 Dec 2025 at 19:37:26
Take profit at 7.1821 (6.59 %) and Stop Loss at 7.9426 (3.3 %)
Position size of 242.6756 $
Take profit at 7.1821 (6.59 %) and Stop Loss at 7.9426 (3.3 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.79 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.56 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.92 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.005844 15m : 0.002629 1H : -0.261594 |
1 |
Indicators:
86127.1
0.00134772
86243.2
0.005844
86760.7
-0.00549919
86283.6
0.002629
87691.3
-0.0165137
86243.2
-0.261594
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 11:00:00
[1] => 22.9595
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
[1] => 28.771
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 05:00:00
[1] => 22.8189
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 21:00:00
[1] => 13.153
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 07:00:00
[1] => 15.2885
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 10:00:00
[1] => 10.1575
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 21:00:00
[1] => 8.5668
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 01:00:00
[1] => 11.4613
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 08:00:00
[1] => 6.8758
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 18:00:00
[1] => 6.5656
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -32.819139190144
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 17.274887291337
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 18
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.7246253198489
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 02:00:00
[1] => 9.7359
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 08:00:00
[1] => 6.8758
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 09:00:00
[1] => 8.9
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 10:45:00
[1] => 7.2656
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 11:30:00
[1] => 8.0479
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 13:45:00
[1] => 8.0772
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 14:45:00
[1] => 7.3358
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
[1] => 7.7813
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 18:00:00
[1] => 6.5656
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
[1] => 7.7798
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0283040695134
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 17.274887291337
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 18.493359327403
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 13:50:00
[1] => 8.0772
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 14:20:00
[1] => 7.3571
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 14:45:00
[1] => 7.6699
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 14:55:00
[1] => 7.3358
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
[1] => 7.7813
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 16:25:00
[1] => 7.2102
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 17:25:00
[1] => 7.3916
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 18:10:00
[1] => 6.5656
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 18:50:00
[1] => 7.2503
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 19:35:00
[1] => 7.7798
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0283040695134
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 17.274887291337
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 17
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.3031460767141
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 13:50:00 | 8.0772 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 14:20:00 | 7.3571 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 14:45:00 | 7.6699 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 14:55:00 | 7.3358 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 16:00:00 | 7.7813 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 16:25:00 | 7.2102 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 17:25:00 | 7.3916 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 18:10:00 | 6.5656 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 18:50:00 | 7.2503 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 19:35:00 | 7.7798 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 02:00:00 | 9.7359 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 08:00:00 | 6.8758 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 09:00:00 | 8.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 10:45:00 | 7.2656 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 11:30:00 | 8.0479 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 13:45:00 | 8.0772 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 14:45:00 | 7.3358 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 16:00:00 | 7.7813 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 18:00:00 | 6.5656 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 19:30:00 | 7.7798 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 11:00:00 | 22.9595 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 21:00:00 | 28.771 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 05:00:00 | 22.8189 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 21:00:00 | 13.153 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 07:00:00 | 15.2885 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 10:00:00 | 10.1575 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 21:00:00 | 8.5668 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 01:00:00 | 11.4613 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 08:00:00 | 6.8758 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 18:00:00 | 6.5656 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 19:37:26 |
17 Dec 2025 20:05:00 |
27 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.6891 | 7.9426 | 7.1821 | 2 | 1.4439 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 7.9426 - 7.6891 = 0.2535
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 7.6891 - 7.1821 = 0.507
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.507 / 0.2535 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 242.6756 | 100 | 31.561 | 2.43 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2535 = 31.56
Taille de position USD = 31.56 x 7.6891 = 242.67
Donc, tu peux acheter 31.56 avec un stoploss a 7.9426
Avec un position size USD de 242.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 31.56 x 0.2535 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 31.56 x 0.507 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.59 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.3 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 6.59 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6686 % | 50.61 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.1821
[stop_loss] => 7.9426
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:05:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.05535
[stop_loss] => 7.9426
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 6.9286
[stop_loss] => 7.9426
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:20:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 6.80185
[stop_loss] => 7.9426
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 22:00:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 6.6751
[stop_loss] => 7.9426
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 22:20:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 6.54835
[stop_loss] => 7.9426
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 23:10:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 6.4216
[stop_loss] => 7.9426
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 00:00:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 6.29485
[stop_loss] => 7.9426
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 00:00:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 6.1681
[stop_loss] => 7.9426
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 00:00:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.8302
[max_drawdown] => 0.1283
[rr_ratio] => 6.47
[high] => 7.81740000
[low] => 6.85890000
[mfe_pct] => 10.8
[mae_pct] => 1.67
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.47
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-17T19:37:26-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-17T21:37:26-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.5915
[max_drawdown] => 0.1283
[rr_ratio] => 12.4
[high] => 7.81740000
[low] => 6.09760000
[mfe_pct] => 20.7
[mae_pct] => 1.67
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 12.4
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-17T19:37:26-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-18T02:37:26-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 7.78130000
[high_after] => 7.81740000
[low_before] => 6.56560000
[low_after] => 6.09760000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)