Long Trade on MSTR 07 Jan 2026 at 01:43:21
Take profit at 168.7837 (0.48 %) and Stop Loss at 167.5632 (0.24 %)
Long Trade on MSTR 07 Jan 2026 at 01:43:21
Take profit at 168.7837 (0.48 %) and Stop Loss at 167.5632 (0.24 %)
Position size of 3302.8486 $
Take profit at 168.7837 (0.48 %) and Stop Loss at 167.5632 (0.24 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.85 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.48 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.9 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.478307 15m : -0.056134 1H : 0.006708 |
1 |
Indicators:
92830.6
-0.0017764
92665.7
0.478307
93030
-0.00284061
92765.8
-0.056134
92307.1
0.00388472
92665.7
0.006708
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-04 14:00:00
[1] => 158.59
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-04 16:00:00
[1] => 158.59
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-04 18:00:00
[1] => 158.59
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-04 20:00:00
[1] => 165.51
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 09:00:00
[1] => 167.9
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 13:00:00
[1] => 161.35
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-06 03:00:00
[1] => 163.81
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-06 09:00:00
[1] => 167.43
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-06 14:00:00
[1] => 154.44
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-06 16:00:00
[1] => 172.84
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.8986345753298
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 8.6700336700337
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.914011914012
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-06 03:30:00
[1] => 163.81
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-06 09:15:00
[1] => 167.43
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-06 14:00:00
[1] => 154.44
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-06 16:15:00
[1] => 172.84
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-06 19:15:00
[1] => 170.86
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-06 21:00:00
[1] => 167.01
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-06 22:15:00
[1] => 170
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-07 00:00:00
[1] => 168.39
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-07 00:30:00
[1] => 169.72
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-07 01:30:00
[1] => 167.83
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.113598868725
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1261395459691
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-06 21:05:00
[1] => 167.01
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-06 21:40:00
[1] => 169.72
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-06 22:20:00
[1] => 170
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-06 23:15:00
[1] => 168.51
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-07 00:00:00
[1] => 169.2
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-07 00:05:00
[1] => 168.39
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-07 00:30:00
[1] => 169.72
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-07 00:55:00
[1] => 168.88
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-07 01:20:00
[1] => 169.42
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-07 01:40:00
[1] => 167.83
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.93849604533112
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.94738723708513
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 21:05:00 | 167.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-06 21:40:00 | 169.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-06 22:20:00 | 170 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-06 23:15:00 | 168.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-07 00:00:00 | 169.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-07 00:05:00 | 168.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-07 00:30:00 | 169.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-07 00:55:00 | 168.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-07 01:20:00 | 169.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-07 01:40:00 | 167.83 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 03:30:00 | 163.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-06 09:15:00 | 167.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-06 14:00:00 | 154.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-06 16:15:00 | 172.84 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-06 19:15:00 | 170.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-06 21:00:00 | 167.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-06 22:15:00 | 170 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-07 00:00:00 | 168.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-07 00:30:00 | 169.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-07 01:30:00 | 167.83 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 14:00:00 | 158.59 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-04 16:00:00 | 158.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-04 18:00:00 | 158.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-04 20:00:00 | 165.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-05 09:00:00 | 167.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-05 13:00:00 | 161.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-06 03:00:00 | 163.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-06 09:00:00 | 167.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-06 14:00:00 | 154.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-06 16:00:00 | 172.84 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan 2026 01:43:21 |
07 Jan 2026 01:45:00 |
1 minute |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 167.97 | 167.5632 | 168.7837 | 2 | 133.57 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 167.5632 - 167.97 = -0.4068
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 167.97 - 168.7837 = -0.81370000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.81370000000001 / -0.4068 = 2.0002
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3302.8486 | 100 | 19.6633 | 33.03 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.4068 = -19.67
Taille de position USD = -19.67 x 167.97 = -3303.97
Donc, tu peux acheter -19.67 avec un stoploss a 167.5632
Avec un position size USD de -3303.97$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -19.67 x -0.4068 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -19.67 x -0.81370000000001 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.48 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2798 % | 115.52 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 168.7837
[entry_price] => 167.97
[stop_loss] => 167.52252
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-07 01:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 168.7837
[entry_price] => 167.97
[stop_loss] => 167.48184
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-07 01:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 168.7837
[entry_price] => 167.97
[stop_loss] => 167.44116
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-07 01:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 168.7837
[entry_price] => 167.97
[stop_loss] => 167.3598
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-07 03:40:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.31999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.71000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 0.45
[high] => 168.29000000
[low] => 167.26000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.19
[mae_pct] => 0.42
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.45
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-07T01:43:21-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-07T03:43:21-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.31999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 4.23
[rr_ratio] => 0.08
[high] => 168.29000000
[low] => 163.74000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.19
[mae_pct] => 2.52
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.08
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-07T01:43:21-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-07T08:43:21-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 170.00000000
[high_after] => 168.29000000
[low_before] => 167.83000000
[low_after] => 163.74000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)