Long Trade on MSTR 07 Jan 2026 at 01:47:10

Take profit at 168.7603 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 167.4399 (0.26 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 07 Jan 2026 at 01:47:10

With 18.1763 MSTR at 167.88$ per unit.

Position size of 3051.4417 $

Take profit at 168.7603 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 167.4399 (0.26 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.59
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.75
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.68
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.91
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bull_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.479929

15m : -0.023248

1H : 0.015396

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.28
  4. atr: 0.2934219605
Details
  1. score: 2.28
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 167.479
  4. ema21 : 165.69
  5. ema50 : 164.149
  6. ema100 : 162.597
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00238881
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0108018
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00938767
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0324896
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.381391
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.174195
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.0835964
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0559892
  17. rsi : 0.581426
  18. adx : 0.333486
  19. kc_percentage : 0.724557
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0557018
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.802087
  22. volume_ema1 : 176988.98586793
  23. volume_ema2 : 894277.05329831
  24. chop : 21.5224
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 168.634
  29. ema21 : 168.51
  30. ema50 : 167.021
  31. ema100 : 165.791
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00447514
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000738086
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00891411
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0125986
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0177363
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0237907
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.054343
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0410986
  42. rsi : 0.47034
  43. adx : 0.27228
  44. kc_percentage : 0.253239
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0161698
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.92773
  47. volume_ema1 : 10974.876479562
  48. volume_ema2 : 151859.69542703
  49. chop : 65.8897
  50. regime : bull_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 168.606
  54. ema21 : 168.834
  55. ema50 : 168.829
  56. ema100 : 168.455
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00430927
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00135176
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 3.39504E-5
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00341455
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0274563
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0100376
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.000562795
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00509404
  67. rsi : 0.285271
  68. adx : 0.152414
  69. kc_percentage : -0.275038
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00727803
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.42195
  72. volume_ema1 : 4729.1515539513
  73. volume_ema2 : 8181.22467199
  74. chop : 24.7794
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92817.8
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00171216
  81. 5m_price:
    92658.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.479929
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    93041.9
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00411701
  86. 15m_price:
    92658.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.023248
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    92306.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00381251
  91. 1H_price:
    92658.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.015396
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-04 14:00:00
                        [1] => 158.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-04 16:00:00
                        [1] => 158.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-04 18:00:00
                        [1] => 158.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-04 20:00:00
                        [1] => 165.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 09:00:00
                        [1] => 167.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 13:00:00
                        [1] => 161.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 03:00:00
                        [1] => 163.81
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 09:00:00
                        [1] => 167.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 14:00:00
                        [1] => 154.44
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 16:00:00
                        [1] => 172.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.0837769034946
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 8.4628334628335
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.914011914012
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 03:30:00
                        [1] => 163.81
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 09:15:00
                        [1] => 167.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 14:00:00
                        [1] => 154.44
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 16:15:00
                        [1] => 172.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 19:15:00
                        [1] => 170.86
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 21:00:00
                        [1] => 167.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 22:15:00
                        [1] => 170
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 00:00:00
                        [1] => 168.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 00:30:00
                        [1] => 169.72
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 01:45:00
                        [1] => 167.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3021447089324
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0059701492537259
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3253731343284
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 21:05:00
                        [1] => 167.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 21:40:00
                        [1] => 169.72
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 22:20:00
                        [1] => 170
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 23:15:00
                        [1] => 168.51
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 00:00:00
                        [1] => 169.2
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 00:05:00
                        [1] => 168.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 00:30:00
                        [1] => 169.72
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 00:55:00
                        [1] => 168.88
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 01:20:00
                        [1] => 169.42
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 01:45:00
                        [1] => 167.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1273757525676
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0059701492537259
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1462686567164
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.01%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.15%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4299
0.26%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.2397
0.73%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-06 21:05:00 167.01 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 21:40:00 169.72 ↑ High
2026-01-06 22:20:00 170 ↑ High
2026-01-06 23:15:00 168.51 ↓ Low
2026-01-07 00:00:00 169.2 ↑ High
2026-01-07 00:05:00 168.39 ↓ Low
2026-01-07 00:30:00 169.72 ↑ High
2026-01-07 00:55:00 168.88 ↓ Low
2026-01-07 01:20:00 169.42 ↑ High
2026-01-07 01:45:00 167.5 ↓ Low
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.30%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.01%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.33%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.9999
7.76%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.0797
2.42%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-06 03:30:00 163.81 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 09:15:00 167.43 ↑ High
2026-01-06 14:00:00 154.44 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 16:15:00 172.84 ↑ High
2026-01-06 19:15:00 170.86 ↑ High
2026-01-06 21:00:00 167.01 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 22:15:00 170 ↑ High
2026-01-07 00:00:00 168.39 ↓ Low
2026-01-07 00:30:00 169.72 ↑ High
2026-01-07 01:45:00 167.5 ↓ Low
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
8.46%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
11.91%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.9999
7.76%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.0797
2.42%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-04 14:00:00 158.59 ↑ High
2026-01-04 16:00:00 158.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-04 18:00:00 158.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-04 20:00:00 165.51 ↑ High
2026-01-05 09:00:00 167.9 ↑ High
2026-01-05 13:00:00 161.35 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 03:00:00 163.81 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 09:00:00 167.43 ↑ High
2026-01-06 14:00:00 154.44 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 16:00:00 172.84 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
07 Jan 2026
01:47:10
07 Jan 2026
02:00:00
12 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
167.88 167.4399 168.7603 2 133.42
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 167.88
  • Stop Loss: 167.4399
  • Take Profit: 168.7603

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 167.4399 - 167.88 = -0.4401

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 167.88 - 168.7603 = -0.88030000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.88030000000001 / -0.4401 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3051.4417 100 18.1763 30.51
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.4401

Taille de position = 8 / -0.4401 = -18.18

Taille de position USD = -18.18 x 167.88 = -3052.06

Donc, tu peux acheter -18.18 avec un stoploss a 167.4399

Avec un position size USD de -3052.06$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -18.18 x -0.4401 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -18.18 x -0.88030000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -18.18
  • Taille de position USD -3052.06
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.52 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.26 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.26
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3038 % 115.87 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 168.7603
            [entry_price] => 167.88
            [stop_loss] => 167.39589
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-07 02:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 168.7603
            [entry_price] => 167.88
            [stop_loss] => 167.35188
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-07 03:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 168.7603
            [entry_price] => 167.88
            [stop_loss] => 167.30787
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-07 03:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 168.7603
            [entry_price] => 167.88
            [stop_loss] => 167.21985
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-07 04:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.41
            [max_drawdown] => 0.62
            [rr_ratio] => 0.66
            [high] => 168.29000000
            [low] => 167.26000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.24
            [mae_pct] => 0.37
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.66
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-07T01:47:10-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-07T03:47:10-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.41
            [max_drawdown] => 4.14
            [rr_ratio] => 0.1
            [high] => 168.29000000
            [low] => 163.74000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.24
            [mae_pct] => 2.47
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.1
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-07T01:47:10-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-07T08:47:10-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 170.00000000
            [high_after] => 168.29000000
            [low_before] => 167.50000000
            [low_after] => 163.74000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)