Long Trade on MSTR 07 Jan 2026 at 01:59:29

Take profit at 168.4052 (0.54 %) and Stop Loss at 167.0474 (0.27 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 07 Jan 2026 at 01:59:29

With 17.6761 MSTR at 167.5$ per unit.

Position size of 2960.7457 $

Take profit at 168.4052 (0.54 %) and Stop Loss at 167.0474 (0.27 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.76
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.84
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.49
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.74
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bull_medium

5m_regime : bear_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.467827

15m : -0.147853

1H : 0.075335

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.36
  4. atr: 0.3017257856
Details
  1. score: 2.36
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 167.403
  4. ema21 : 165.655
  5. ema50 : 164.134
  6. ema100 : 162.589
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00057393
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0105538
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00926884
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0302002
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.377436
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.172422
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.0828323
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.055601
  17. rsi : 0.568983
  18. adx : 0.332405
  19. kc_percentage : 0.68604
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0563535
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.79104
  22. volume_ema1 : 187116.7292346
  23. volume_ema2 : 895468.55251791
  24. chop : 21.5407
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 168.56
  29. ema21 : 168.476
  30. ema50 : 167.006
  31. ema100 : 165.783
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00629248
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000498654
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00880036
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0103512
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0213853
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0221225
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0536144
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0407285
  42. rsi : 0.442564
  43. adx : 0.27425
  44. kc_percentage : 0.134845
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0165886
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.877981
  47. volume_ema1 : 18639.756679562
  48. volume_ema2 : 152761.4460388
  49. chop : 63.2982
  50. regime : bull_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 168.194
  54. ema21 : 168.592
  55. ema50 : 168.728
  56. ema100 : 168.466
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00412882
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00236235
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000803571
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00573451
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0455138
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0219284
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.00681067
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0010875
  67. rsi : 0.271896
  68. adx : 0.196877
  69. kc_percentage : -0.356897
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0074933
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.158827
  72. volume_ema1 : 7160.4226128672
  73. volume_ema2 : 8512.4325812984
  74. chop : 22.9602
  75. regime : bear_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92801.8
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00246299
  81. 5m_price:
    92573.3
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.467827
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    93042.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00379778
  86. 15m_price:
    92689.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.147853
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    92305.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00290359
  91. 1H_price:
    92573.3
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.075335
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-04 14:00:00
                        [1] => 158.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-04 16:00:00
                        [1] => 158.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-04 18:00:00
                        [1] => 158.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-04 20:00:00
                        [1] => 165.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 09:00:00
                        [1] => 167.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 13:00:00
                        [1] => 161.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 03:00:00
                        [1] => 163.81
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 09:00:00
                        [1] => 167.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 14:00:00
                        [1] => 154.44
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 16:00:00
                        [1] => 172.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.0895626012497
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 8.4563584563585
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.914011914012
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 03:30:00
                        [1] => 163.81
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 09:15:00
                        [1] => 167.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 14:00:00
                        [1] => 154.44
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 16:15:00
                        [1] => 172.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 19:15:00
                        [1] => 170.86
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 21:00:00
                        [1] => 167.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 22:15:00
                        [1] => 170
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 00:00:00
                        [1] => 168.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 00:30:00
                        [1] => 169.72
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 01:45:00
                        [1] => 167.44
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3080367664388
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.035833731485907
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3616817964644
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 21:05:00
                        [1] => 167.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 21:40:00
                        [1] => 169.72
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 22:20:00
                        [1] => 170
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 23:15:00
                        [1] => 168.51
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 00:00:00
                        [1] => 169.2
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 00:05:00
                        [1] => 168.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 00:30:00
                        [1] => 169.72
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 00:55:00
                        [1] => 168.88
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 01:20:00
                        [1] => 169.42
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 01:50:00
                        [1] => 167.44
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1332782434187
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.035833731485907
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1825131390349
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.04%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.18%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0374
0.02%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.5948
0.95%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-06 21:05:00 167.01 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 21:40:00 169.72 ↑ High
2026-01-06 22:20:00 170 ↑ High
2026-01-06 23:15:00 168.51 ↓ Low
2026-01-07 00:00:00 169.2 ↑ High
2026-01-07 00:05:00 168.39 ↓ Low
2026-01-07 00:30:00 169.72 ↑ High
2026-01-07 00:55:00 168.88 ↓ Low
2026-01-07 01:20:00 169.42 ↑ High
2026-01-07 01:50:00 167.44 ↓ Low
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.31%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.04%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.36%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.6074
7.55%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.4348
2.63%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-06 03:30:00 163.81 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 09:15:00 167.43 ↑ High
2026-01-06 14:00:00 154.44 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 16:15:00 172.84 ↑ High
2026-01-06 19:15:00 170.86 ↑ High
2026-01-06 21:00:00 167.01 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 22:15:00 170 ↑ High
2026-01-07 00:00:00 168.39 ↓ Low
2026-01-07 00:30:00 169.72 ↑ High
2026-01-07 01:45:00 167.44 ↓ Low
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
8.46%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
11.91%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.6074
7.55%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.4348
2.63%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-04 14:00:00 158.59 ↑ High
2026-01-04 16:00:00 158.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-04 18:00:00 158.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-04 20:00:00 165.51 ↑ High
2026-01-05 09:00:00 167.9 ↑ High
2026-01-05 13:00:00 161.35 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 03:00:00 163.81 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 09:00:00 167.43 ↑ High
2026-01-06 14:00:00 154.44 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 16:00:00 172.84 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
07 Jan 2026
01:59:29
07 Jan 2026
04:05:00
2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
167.5 167.0474 168.4052 2 132.76
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 167.5
  • Stop Loss: 167.0474
  • Take Profit: 168.4052

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 167.0474 - 167.5 = -0.45259999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 167.5 - 168.4052 = -0.90520000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.90520000000001 / -0.45259999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2960.7457 100 17.6761 29.61
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.45259999999999

Taille de position = 8 / -0.45259999999999 = -17.68

Taille de position USD = -17.68 x 167.5 = -2961.4

Donc, tu peux acheter -17.68 avec un stoploss a 167.0474

Avec un position size USD de -2961.4$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -17.68 x -0.45259999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -17.68 x -0.90520000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -17.68
  • Taille de position USD -2961.4
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.54 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.27 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.27
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8537 % 315.95 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 168.4052
            [entry_price] => 167.5
            [stop_loss] => 167.00214
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-07 04:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 168.4052
            [entry_price] => 167.5
            [stop_loss] => 166.95688
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-07 04:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 168.4052
            [entry_price] => 167.5
            [stop_loss] => 166.91162
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-07 04:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 168.4052
            [entry_price] => 167.5
            [stop_loss] => 166.8211
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-07 04:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.78999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.24000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 3.29
            [high] => 168.29000000
            [low] => 167.26000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.47
            [mae_pct] => 0.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.29
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-07T01:59:29-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-07T03:59:29-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.78999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 3.76
            [rr_ratio] => 0.21
            [high] => 168.29000000
            [low] => 163.74000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.47
            [mae_pct] => 2.24
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.21
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-07T01:59:29-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-07T08:59:29-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 170.00000000
            [high_after] => 168.29000000
            [low_before] => 167.44000000
            [low_after] => 163.74000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)