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Long Trade on MSTR

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Long Trade on MSTR 07 Jan 2026 at 02:08:05

Take profit at 168.407 (0.51 %) and Stop Loss at 167.1365 (0.25 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 07 Jan 2026 at 02:08:05

With 18.8894 MSTR at 167.56$ per unit.

Position size of 3165.1124 $

Take profit at 168.407 (0.51 %) and Stop Loss at 167.1365 (0.25 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.49
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.84
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.47
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.92
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bull_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.479695

15m : -0.092291

1H : -0.007036

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.22
  4. atr: 0.2823448943
Details
  1. score: 2.22
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 167.435
  4. ema21 : 165.828
  5. ema50 : 164.268
  6. ema100 : 162.688
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000745737
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0096871
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00949736
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0299457
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.4183
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.208764
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.101849
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0657786
  17. rsi : 0.570546
  18. adx : 0.330928
  19. kc_percentage : 0.69161
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0511774
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.853663
  22. volume_ema1 : 125921.31892306
  23. volume_ema2 : 860490.58960741
  24. chop : 22.0886
  25. regime : bull_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 168.358
  28. ema21 : 168.392
  29. ema50 : 167.026
  30. ema100 : 165.809
  31. price_ema9_diff : -0.0047454
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000199282
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00817548
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.0105577
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0288333
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0147452
  39. ema_slope_50 : 0.0491768
  40. ema_slope_100 : 0.038847
  41. rsi : 0.447468
  42. adx : 0.259176
  43. kc_percentage : 0.168437
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0155307
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.899666
  46. volume_ema1 : 15245.245997486
  47. volume_ema2 : 151945.63180102
  48. chop : 62.5866
  49. regime : bull_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 167.937
  52. ema21 : 168.398
  53. ema50 : 168.629
  54. ema100 : 168.409
  55. price_ema9_diff : -0.00224634
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00273968
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00136829
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00504462
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.0577705
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.0320089
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.012389
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00187977
  65. rsi : 0.309666
  66. adx : 0.234187
  67. kc_percentage : -0.216181
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00679796
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.490981
  70. volume_ema1 : 4015.9283168299
  71. volume_ema2 : 7889.5565264502
  72. chop : 22.0192
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92822.5
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00156175
  78. 5m_price: 
    92677.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.479695
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    93034.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00383215
  83. 15m_price: 
    92677.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.092291
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92291.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00418535
  88. 1H_price: 
    92677.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.007036
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-04 15:00:00
                    [1] => 158.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-04 17:00:00
                    [1] => 158.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-04 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-04 20:00:00
                    [1] => 165.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-05 09:00:00
                    [1] => 167.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-05 13:00:00
                    [1] => 161.35
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 03:00:00
                    [1] => 163.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 09:00:00
                    [1] => 167.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 14:00:00
                    [1] => 154.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 16:00:00
                    [1] => 172.84
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.0664198102291
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 8.4822584822585
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.914011914012
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 03:30:00
                    [1] => 163.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 09:15:00
                    [1] => 167.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 14:00:00
                    [1] => 154.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 16:15:00
                    [1] => 172.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 19:15:00
                    [1] => 170.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 21:00:00
                    [1] => 167.01
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 22:15:00
                    [1] => 170
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-07 00:00:00
                    [1] => 168.39
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-07 00:30:00
                    [1] => 169.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-07 02:00:00
                    [1] => 167.36
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2844685364129
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10755258126194
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4101338432122
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 21:05:00
                    [1] => 167.01
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 21:40:00
                    [1] => 169.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 22:20:00
                    [1] => 170
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 23:15:00
                    [1] => 168.51
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-07 00:00:00
                    [1] => 169.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-07 00:05:00
                    [1] => 168.39
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-07 00:30:00
                    [1] => 169.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-07 00:55:00
                    [1] => 168.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-07 01:20:00
                    [1] => 169.42
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-07 02:00:00
                    [1] => 167.36
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1096682800142
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10755258126194
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.230879541109
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.11%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.23%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1265
0.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.5930
0.95%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-06 21:05:00 167.01 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 21:40:00 169.72 ↑ High
2026-01-06 22:20:00 170 ↑ High
2026-01-06 23:15:00 168.51 ↓ Low
2026-01-07 00:00:00 169.2 ↑ High
2026-01-07 00:05:00 168.39 ↓ Low
2026-01-07 00:30:00 169.72 ↑ High
2026-01-07 00:55:00 168.88 ↓ Low
2026-01-07 01:20:00 169.42 ↑ High
2026-01-07 02:00:00 167.36 ↓ Low
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.28%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.11%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.41%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.6965
7.60%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.4330
2.63%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-06 03:30:00 163.81 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 09:15:00 167.43 ↑ High
2026-01-06 14:00:00 154.44 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 16:15:00 172.84 ↑ High
2026-01-06 19:15:00 170.86 ↑ High
2026-01-06 21:00:00 167.01 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 22:15:00 170 ↑ High
2026-01-07 00:00:00 168.39 ↓ Low
2026-01-07 00:30:00 169.72 ↑ High
2026-01-07 02:00:00 167.36 ↓ Low
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
8.48%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
11.91%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.6965
7.60%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.4330
2.63%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-04 15:00:00 158.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-04 17:00:00 158.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-04 19:00:00 158.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-04 20:00:00 165.51 ↑ High
2026-01-05 09:00:00 167.9 ↑ High
2026-01-05 13:00:00 161.35 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 03:00:00 163.81 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 09:00:00 167.43 ↑ High
2026-01-06 14:00:00 154.44 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 16:00:00 172.84 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
07 Jan 2026
02:08:05		 07 Jan 2026
04:05:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
167.56 167.1365 168.407 2 133.19
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 167.56
  • Stop Loss: 167.1365
  • Take Profit: 168.407

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 167.1365 - 167.56 = -0.42349999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 167.56 - 168.407 = -0.84700000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.84700000000001 / -0.42349999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3165.1124 100 18.8894 31.65
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.42349999999999

Taille de position = 8 / -0.42349999999999 = -18.89

Taille de position USD = -18.89 x 167.56 = -3165.21

Donc, tu peux acheter -18.89 avec un stoploss a 167.1365

Avec un position size USD de -3165.21$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -18.89 x -0.42349999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -18.89 x -0.84700000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -18.89
  • Taille de position USD -3165.21
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.51 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.25
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8892 % 351.88 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 168.407
            [entry_price] => 167.56
            [stop_loss] => 167.09415
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-07 04:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 168.407
            [entry_price] => 167.56
            [stop_loss] => 167.0518
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-07 04:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 168.407
            [entry_price] => 167.56
            [stop_loss] => 167.00945
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-07 04:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 168.407
            [entry_price] => 167.56
            [stop_loss] => 166.92475
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-07 04:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.72999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 1.49
            [rr_ratio] => 0.49
            [high] => 168.29000000
            [low] => 166.07000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.44
            [mae_pct] => 0.89
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.49
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-07T02:08:05-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-07T04:08:05-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.72999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 4.7
            [rr_ratio] => 0.16
            [high] => 168.29000000
            [low] => 162.86000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.44
            [mae_pct] => 2.8
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.16
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-07T02:08:05-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-07T09:08:05-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 170.00000000
            [high_after] => 168.29000000
            [low_before] => 167.36000000
            [low_after] => 163.74000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)