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Short Trade on RIVER

Short Trade on RIVER

The 10 Jan 2026 at 00:00:55

With 30.3087 RIVER at 12.55$ per unit.

Position size of 380.3739 $

Take profit at 12.0221 (4.21 %) and Stop Loss at 12.814 (2.1 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.11
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.82
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.6
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.56
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.090304

15m : -0.02865

1H : 0.00182

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.175967199
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 12.3385
  4. ema21 - 12.9554
  5. ema50 - 14.2251
  6. ema100 - 15.1675
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.0171412
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0476216
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0892559
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.172576
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.965302
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.933984
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.67534
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.421251
  17. rsi - 0.420351
  18. adx - 0.281259
  19. kc_percentage - 0.387499
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.248052
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.548586
  22. volume_ema1 - 1288815.2962872
  23. volume_ema2 - 2855065.131831
  24. chop - 58.3483
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 12.1813
  28. ema21 - 12.0972
  29. ema50 - 12.4436
  30. ema100 - 13.1642
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.0302636
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00695343
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0278356
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0466579
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.114294
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.0305431
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.168193
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.19342
  41. rsi - 0.603453
  42. adx - 0.142077
  43. kc_percentage - 0.867291
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0988169
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.279214
  46. volume_ema1 - 397880.78749918
  47. volume_ema2 - 552010.00203834
  48. chop - 51.5985
  49. regime - bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 12.3117
  52. ema21 - 12.1129
  53. ema50 - 12.0219
  54. ema100 - 12.0642
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.0193519
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0164089
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00757205
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.0402601
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.357782
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.207298
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0765719
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.0218218
  65. rsi - 0.714406
  66. adx - 0.30601
  67. kc_percentage - 1.08119
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0585922
  69. volume_ema_diff - 0.115822
  70. volume_ema1 - 172590.69412536
  71. volume_ema2 - 154675.74359598
  72. chop - 26.817
  73. regime - bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90535
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00124074
  78. 5m_price: 90422.7
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.090304
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 90687
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00291551
  83. 15m_price: 90422.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.02865
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 91413.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0108348
  88. 1H_price: 90422.7
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.00182
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
10 Jan 2026
00:00:55		 10 Jan 2026
00:15:00		 14 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.55 12.814 12.0221 2 16.752
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.55
  • Stop Loss: 12.814
  • Take Profit: 12.0221

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.814 - 12.55 = 0.264

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.55 - 12.0221 = 0.5279

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5279 / 0.264 = 1.9996

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
380.3739 100 30.3087 3.80
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.264

Taille de position = 8 / 0.264 = 30.3

Taille de position USD = 30.3 x 12.55 = 380.27

Donc, tu peux acheter 30.3 avec un stoploss a 12.814

Avec un position size USD de 380.27$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 30.3 x 0.264 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 30.3 x 0.5279 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 30.3
  • Taille de position USD 380.27
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9996

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.21 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.1 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -2.10
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.1036 % 100 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.0221
            [entry_price] => 12.55
            [stop_loss] => 12.8404
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-10 00:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.0221
            [entry_price] => 12.55
            [stop_loss] => 12.8668
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-10 00:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.0221
            [entry_price] => 12.55
            [stop_loss] => 12.8932
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-10 00:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.0221
            [entry_price] => 12.55
            [stop_loss] => 12.946
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-10 00:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.091000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 1.045
            [rr_ratio] => 0.09
            [high] => 13.59500000
            [low] => 12.45900000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.73
            [mae_pct] => 8.33
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-10T00:00:55-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-10T02:00:55-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.091000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 1.36
            [rr_ratio] => 0.07
            [high] => 13.91000000
            [low] => 12.45900000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.73
            [mae_pct] => 10.84
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.07
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-10T00:00:55-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-10T07:00:55-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.74300000
            [high_after] => 13.84500000
            [low_before] => 11.50000000
            [low_after] => 12.45900000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)