Short Trade on RIVER 10 Jan 2026 at 00:10:43

Take profit at 12.0443 (3.95 %) and Stop Loss at 12.7864 (1.97 %)

Short Trade on RIVER

The 10 Jan 2026 at 00:10:43

With 32.3401 RIVER at 12.539$ per unit.

Position size of 405.5122 $

Take profit at 12.0443 (3.95 %) and Stop Loss at 12.7864 (1.97 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.08
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.67
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.59
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.78
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.064932

15m : 0.107242

1H : -0.024568

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.1649140844
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.3363
  4. ema21 : 12.9544
  5. ema50 : 14.2247
  6. ema100 : 15.1673
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0164309
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0477179
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0892986
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.173289
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.966616
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.934555
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.675573
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.421365
  17. rsi : 0.419408
  18. adx : 0.281259
  19. kc_percentage : 0.385333
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.250503
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.51799
  22. volume_ema1 : 1381420.2329538
  23. volume_ema2 : 2865959.8302624
  24. chop : 58.3621
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 12.1791
  29. ema21 : 12.0962
  30. ema50 : 12.4431
  31. ema100 : 13.1639
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0295465
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0068548
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0278822
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0474778
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.112768
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0312295
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.168476
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.193555
  42. rsi : 0.600399
  43. adx : 0.142077
  44. kc_percentage : 0.851333
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.101136
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.128652
  47. volume_ema1 : 490485.72416585
  48. volume_ema2 : 562904.70046971
  49. chop : 51.6396
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 12.3945
  54. ema21 : 12.1877
  55. ema50 : 12.0595
  56. ema100 : 12.0638
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0116544
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0169694
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0106267
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0393889
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.437819
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.27165
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.115896
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0469127
  67. rsi : 0.697791
  68. adx : 0.340877
  69. kc_percentage : 1.00969
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0531999
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.139991
  72. volume_ema1 : 129781.82072238
  73. volume_ema2 : 150907.61386409
  74. chop : 27.6034
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    90522.3
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000634337
  81. 5m_price:
    90464.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.064932
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    90687.9
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00245937
  86. 15m_price:
    90464.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.107242
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    91413.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0103822
  91. 1H_price:
    90464.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.024568
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 01:00:00
                        [1] => 17.326
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 04:00:00
                        [1] => 19.463
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 13:00:00
                        [1] => 18.768
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 23:00:00
                        [1] => 17.95
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-08 09:00:00
                        [1] => 16.643
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-08 21:00:00
                        [1] => 14.589
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 00:00:00
                        [1] => 16.658
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 10:00:00
                        [1] => 16.395
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 20:00:00
                        [1] => 11.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 23:00:00
                        [1] => 12.743
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.37667739150906
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.391304347826
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.808695652174
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 09:15:00
                        [1] => 12.298
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 10:15:00
                        [1] => 16.395
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 14:30:00
                        [1] => 12.056
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 16:45:00
                        [1] => 11.774
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 18:30:00
                        [1] => 11.846
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 19:15:00
                        [1] => 12.564
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 20:00:00
                        [1] => 11.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 20:45:00
                        [1] => 12.365
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 22:15:00
                        [1] => 11.562
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 23:45:00
                        [1] => 12.743
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.37667739150906
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.7993426742778
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.214495761979
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 18:05:00
                        [1] => 12.284
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 18:35:00
                        [1] => 11.846
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 19:20:00
                        [1] => 12.564
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 20:05:00
                        [1] => 11.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 20:50:00
                        [1] => 12.365
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 21:10:00
                        [1] => 11.847
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 22:20:00
                        [1] => 11.562
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 22:55:00
                        [1] => 12.131
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 23:10:00
                        [1] => 11.664
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 23:55:00
                        [1] => 12.743
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.37667739150906
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 8.8391632373114
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.2506858710562
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.38%
Dist From Last Low Pct
8.84%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.25%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0434
0.34%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.5443
4.52%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-09 18:05:00 12.284 ↑ High
2026-01-09 18:35:00 11.846 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 19:20:00 12.564 ↑ High
2026-01-09 20:05:00 11.5 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 20:50:00 12.365 ↑ High
2026-01-09 21:10:00 11.847 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 22:20:00 11.562 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 22:55:00 12.131 ↑ High
2026-01-09 23:10:00 11.664 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 23:55:00 12.743 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.38%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.80%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.21%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.6086
28.22%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.5443
4.52%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-09 09:15:00 12.298 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 10:15:00 16.395 ↑ High
2026-01-09 14:30:00 12.056 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 16:45:00 11.774 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 18:30:00 11.846 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 19:15:00 12.564 ↑ High
2026-01-09 20:00:00 11.5 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 20:45:00 12.365 ↑ High
2026-01-09 22:15:00 11.562 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 23:45:00 12.743 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.38%
Dist From Last Low Pct
10.39%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.81%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.6766
52.22%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.5443
4.52%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-07 01:00:00 17.326 ↓ Low
2026-01-07 04:00:00 19.463 ↑ High
2026-01-07 13:00:00 18.768 ↑ High
2026-01-07 23:00:00 17.95 ↑ High
2026-01-08 09:00:00 16.643 ↑ High
2026-01-08 21:00:00 14.589 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 00:00:00 16.658 ↑ High
2026-01-09 10:00:00 16.395 ↑ High
2026-01-09 20:00:00 11.5 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 23:00:00 12.743 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
10 Jan 2026
00:10:43
10 Jan 2026
00:15:00
4 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.539 12.7864 12.0443 2 10.826
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.539
  • Stop Loss: 12.7864
  • Take Profit: 12.0443

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.7864 - 12.539 = 0.2474

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.539 - 12.0443 = 0.4947

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4947 / 0.2474 = 1.9996

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
405.5122 100 32.3401 4.06
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.2474

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2474 = 32.34

Taille de position USD = 32.34 x 12.539 = 405.51

Donc, tu peux acheter 32.34 avec un stoploss a 12.7864

Avec un position size USD de 405.51$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 32.34 x 0.2474 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 32.34 x 0.4947 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 32.34
  • Taille de position USD 405.51
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9996

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.95 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.97 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.97
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.1932 % 111.16 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.0443
            [entry_price] => 12.539
            [stop_loss] => 12.81114
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-10 00:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.0443
            [entry_price] => 12.539
            [stop_loss] => 12.83588
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-10 00:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.0443
            [entry_price] => 12.539
            [stop_loss] => 12.86062
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-10 00:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.0443
            [entry_price] => 12.539
            [stop_loss] => 12.9101
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-10 00:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.08
            [max_drawdown] => 1.306
            [rr_ratio] => 0.06
            [high] => 13.84500000
            [low] => 12.45900000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.64
            [mae_pct] => 10.42
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.06
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-10T00:10:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-10T02:10:43-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.08
            [max_drawdown] => 1.371
            [rr_ratio] => 0.06
            [high] => 13.91000000
            [low] => 12.45900000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.64
            [mae_pct] => 10.93
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.06
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-10T00:10:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-10T07:10:43-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.74300000
            [high_after] => 13.84500000
            [low_before] => 11.56200000
            [low_after] => 12.45900000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)