Short Trade on RIVER

The 10 Jan 2026 at 00:38:04

With 28.286 RIVER at 12.929$ per unit.

Position size of 365.7095 $

Take profit at 12.3633 (4.38 %) and Stop Loss at 13.2118 (2.19 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.7
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.68
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.82
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.79
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bull_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.092707

15m : -0.011503

1H : 0.052103

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.1
  4. atr: 0.1885504065
Details
  1. score: 1.1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 12.4143
  4. ema21 - 12.9899
  5. ema50 - 14.24
  6. ema100 - 15.175
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.0414599
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0443124
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0877869
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.14801
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.920038
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.914305
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.667339
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.417336
  17. rsi - 0.461559
  18. adx - 0.275928
  19. kc_percentage - 0.497765
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.253249
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.360538
  22. volume_ema1 - 1869379.5312872
  23. volume_ema2 - 2923366.8065369
  24. chop - 58.4276
  25. regime - bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 - 12.4634
  29. ema21 - 12.2495
  30. ema50 - 12.5035
  31. ema100 - 13.296
  32. price_ema9_diff - 0.0373521
  33. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0174618
  34. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0203104
  35. price_ema100_diff - -0.0276057
  36. all_emas_in_trend - False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  38. ema_slope_9 - 0.319091
  39. ema_slope_21 - 0.0929901
  40. ema_slope_50 - -0.112806
  41. ema_slope_100 - -0.183362
  42. rsi - 0.670533
  43. adx - 0.187108
  44. kc_percentage - 1.02929
  45. kc_width_percentage - 0.0986192
  46. volume_ema_diff - -0.0967321
  47. volume_ema1 - 531254.56699964
  48. volume_ema2 - 588147.34795289
  49. chop - 43.1098
  50. regime - bull_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 - 12.7226
  54. ema21 - 12.4478
  55. ema50 - 12.2049
  56. ema100 - 12.1283
  57. price_ema9_diff - 0.0162209
  58. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0220754
  59. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.0198977
  60. price_ema100_diff - 0.0660158
  61. all_emas_in_trend - True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  63. ema_slope_9 - 0.49773
  64. ema_slope_21 - 0.376416
  65. ema_slope_50 - 0.196658
  66. ema_slope_100 - 0.0979322
  67. rsi - 0.754832
  68. adx - 0.445784
  69. kc_percentage - 1.09564
  70. kc_width_percentage - 0.0602724
  71. volume_ema_diff - 0.194617
  72. volume_ema1 - 208550.87279746
  73. volume_ema2 - 174575.41396921
  74. chop - 34.7752
  75. regime - bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100: 90541.5
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.000286763
  81. 5m_price: 90515.6
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.092707
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100: 90666.4
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00182005
  86. 15m_price: 90501.4
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.011503
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100: 91414.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.00983852
  91. 1H_price: 90515.6
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.052103
  93. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
10 Jan 2026
00:38:04
10 Jan 2026
01:30:00
51 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.929 13.2118 12.3633 2 16.937
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.929
  • Stop Loss: 13.2118
  • Take Profit: 12.3633

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.2118 - 12.929 = 0.2828

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.929 - 12.3633 = 0.5657

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5657 / 0.2828 = 2.0004

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
365.7095 100 28.286 3.66
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.2828

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2828 = 28.29

Taille de position USD = 28.29 x 12.929 = 365.76

Donc, tu peux acheter 28.29 avec un stoploss a 13.2118

Avec un position size USD de 365.76$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 28.29 x 0.2828 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 28.29 x 0.5657 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 28.29
  • Taille de position USD 365.76
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0004

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.38 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.19 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -2.19
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.3358 % 106.79 % 8

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.3633
            [entry_price] => 12.929
            [stop_loss] => 13.24008
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-10 01:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.3633
            [entry_price] => 12.929
            [stop_loss] => 13.26836
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-10 01:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.3633
            [entry_price] => 12.929
            [stop_loss] => 13.29664
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-10 01:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.3633
            [entry_price] => 12.929
            [stop_loss] => 13.3532
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-10 01:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.47
            [max_drawdown] => 0.916
            [rr_ratio] => 0.51
            [high] => 13.84500000
            [low] => 12.45900000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.64
            [mae_pct] => 7.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.51
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-10T00:38:04-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-10T02:38:04-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.47
            [max_drawdown] => 0.981
            [rr_ratio] => 0.48
            [high] => 13.91000000
            [low] => 12.45900000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.64
            [mae_pct] => 7.59
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.48
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-10T00:38:04-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-10T07:38:04-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.02000000
            [high_after] => 13.84500000
            [low_before] => 11.56200000
            [low_after] => 12.45900000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)