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Short Trade on RIVER

Short Trade on RIVER

The 10 Jan 2026 at 00:28:31

With 27.4609 RIVER at 12.937$ per unit.

Position size of 355.262 $

Take profit at 12.3544 (4.5 %) and Stop Loss at 13.2283 (2.25 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.72
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.63
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.69
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.83
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.099835

15m : 0.098422

1H : 0.001864

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.2
  4. atr: 0.1942153614
Details
  1. score: 1.2
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 12.4159
  4. ema21 - 12.9906
  5. ema50 - 14.2403
  6. ema100 - 15.1752
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.0419701
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0442428
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0877559
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.147491
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.919082
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.91389
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.66717
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.417253
  17. rsi - 0.462384
  18. adx - 0.27697
  19. kc_percentage - 0.499976
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.25133
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.402802
  22. volume_ema1 - 1736492.2279538
  23. volume_ema2 - 2907733.0061447
  24. chop - 58.4164
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 12.2922
  28. ema21 - 12.1567
  29. ema50 - 12.4603
  30. ema100 - 13.1888
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.0524493
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0111478
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0243685
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0190969
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.192292
  38. ema_slope_21 - 0.0185738
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.1443
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.185668
  41. rsi - 0.609852
  42. adx - 0.160516
  43. kc_percentage - 1.11305
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.09834
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.148614
  46. volume_ema1 - 478247.96899945
  47. volume_ema2 - 561729.31697675
  48. chop - 49.0632
  49. regime - bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 12.6151
  52. ema21 - 12.3508
  53. ema50 - 12.1461
  54. ema100 - 12.0945
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.0255135
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0214021
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.0168495
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.0696585
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.530778
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.361822
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.175516
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.0838491
  65. rsi - 0.759205
  66. adx - 0.405857
  67. kc_percentage - 1.19664
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0633364
  69. volume_ema_diff - 0.431317
  70. volume_ema1 - 248860.30279429
  71. volume_ema2 - 173868.04041149
  72. chop - 28.1439
  73. regime - bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90530.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 2.96453E-5
  78. 5m_price: 90532.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.099835
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 90669.2
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00188708
  83. 15m_price: 90498.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.098422
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 91415.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.00965298
  88. 1H_price: 90532.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.001864
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
10 Jan 2026
00:28:31		 10 Jan 2026
01:30:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.937 13.2283 12.3544 2 16.937
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.937
  • Stop Loss: 13.2283
  • Take Profit: 12.3544

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.2283 - 12.937 = 0.2913

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.937 - 12.3544 = 0.5826

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5826 / 0.2913 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
355.262 100 27.4609 3.55
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.2913

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2913 = 27.46

Taille de position USD = 27.46 x 12.937 = 355.25

Donc, tu peux acheter 27.46 avec un stoploss a 13.2283

Avec un position size USD de 355.25$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 27.46 x 0.2913 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 27.46 x 0.5826 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 27.46
  • Taille de position USD 355.25
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.5 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -2.25
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.2726 % 100.93 % 9

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.3544
            [entry_price] => 12.937
            [stop_loss] => 13.25743
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-10 01:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.3544
            [entry_price] => 12.937
            [stop_loss] => 13.28656
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-10 01:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.3544
            [entry_price] => 12.937
            [stop_loss] => 13.31569
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-10 01:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.3544
            [entry_price] => 12.937
            [stop_loss] => 13.37395
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-10 01:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.478
            [max_drawdown] => 0.908
            [rr_ratio] => 0.53
            [high] => 13.84500000
            [low] => 12.45900000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.69
            [mae_pct] => 7.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.53
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-10T00:28:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-10T02:28:31-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.478
            [max_drawdown] => 0.973
            [rr_ratio] => 0.49
            [high] => 13.91000000
            [low] => 12.45900000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.69
            [mae_pct] => 7.52
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.49
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-10T00:28:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-10T07:28:31-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.99300000
            [high_after] => 13.84500000
            [low_before] => 11.56200000
            [low_after] => 12.45900000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)