Long Trade on MSTR 15 Jan 2026 at 07:28:20

Take profit at 180.0075 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 178.6612 (0.25 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 15 Jan 2026 at 07:28:20

With 17.8264 MSTR at 179.11$ per unit.

Position size of 3192.8876 $

Take profit at 180.0075 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 178.6612 (0.25 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.81
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.63
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.51
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.62
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.407241

15m : 0.049592

1H : 0.067577

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.28
  4. atr: 0.2991816318
Details
  1. score: 2.28
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 179.263
  4. ema21 : 178.599
  5. ema50 : 175.534
  6. ema100 : 170.796
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.000853555
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0037136
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0174614
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.048674
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.0157909
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.022667
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.0900667
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.103061
  17. rsi : 0.533796
  18. adx : 0.274623
  19. kc_percentage : 0.565136
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0379885
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.901699
  22. volume_ema1 : 103503.57579422
  23. volume_ema2 : 1052927.5042349
  24. chop : 51.9752
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 180.172
  29. ema21 : 179.735
  30. ema50 : 179.051
  31. ema100 : 178.684
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00589492
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00243144
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00381571
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0023788
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0704775
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0754021
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0443344
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0246395
  42. rsi : 0.529532
  43. adx : 0.243913
  44. kc_percentage : 0.210302
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0128738
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.855636
  47. volume_ema1 : 13103.276681626
  48. volume_ema2 : 90765.817502165
  49. chop : 33.1893
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 179.689
  54. ema21 : 180.039
  55. ema50 : 179.829
  56. ema100 : 179.032
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.003224
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00194416
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00116521
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00043071
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0438707
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0242507
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0014619
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0111357
  67. rsi : 0.326583
  68. adx : 0.241041
  69. kc_percentage : -0.277452
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00658139
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.0305807
  72. volume_ema1 : 9374.3754237468
  73. volume_ema2 : 9670.0945954208
  74. chop : 30.1918
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    96523.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000833164
  81. 5m_price:
    96604.1
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.407241
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    96344.4
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00235526
  86. 15m_price:
    96571.4
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.049592
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94050.4
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0271515
  91. 1H_price:
    96604.1
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.067577
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 03:00:00
                        [1] => 158
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
                        [1] => 156.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
                        [1] => 163.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-12 20:00:00
                        [1] => 161.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 23:00:00
                        [1] => 179.62
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 01:00:00
                        [1] => 175.63
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
                        [1] => 175.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 09:00:00
                        [1] => 190.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                        [1] => 175.21
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 182.31
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.7771926937634
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2030706009931
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.0522801209977
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
                        [1] => 175.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 08:45:00
                        [1] => 176.57
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 09:45:00
                        [1] => 190.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 13:30:00
                        [1] => 176.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 15:00:00
                        [1] => 180.83
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 17:30:00
                        [1] => 177.94
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 22:45:00
                        [1] => 175.21
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:45:00
                        [1] => 182.31
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 07:15:00
                        [1] => 179.07
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.7771926937634
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8093482995477
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 00:40:00
                        [1] => 177.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 01:10:00
                        [1] => 176.63
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 01:55:00
                        [1] => 177.02
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 03:05:00
                        [1] => 178.91
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 03:40:00
                        [1] => 177.79
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:50:00
                        [1] => 182.31
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 05:15:00
                        [1] => 180.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 06:15:00
                        [1] => 180.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 06:30:00
                        [1] => 180.97
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 07:25:00
                        [1] => 179.07
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0498977731116
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0610375830681
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
11 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.06%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.0312
1.14%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.3025
1.28%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 00:40:00 177.43 ↑ High
2026-01-15 01:10:00 176.63 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 01:55:00 177.02 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 03:05:00 178.91 ↑ High
2026-01-15 03:40:00 177.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:50:00 182.31 ↑ High
2026-01-15 05:15:00 180.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 06:15:00 180.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 06:30:00 180.97 ↑ High
2026-01-15 07:25:00 179.07 ↓ Low
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.78%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.81%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.4512
1.93%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.0925
5.61%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 07:00:00 175.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 08:45:00 176.57 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 09:45:00 190.1 ↑ High
2026-01-14 13:30:00 176.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 15:00:00 180.83 ↑ High
2026-01-14 17:30:00 177.94 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 22:45:00 175.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:45:00 182.31 ↑ High
2026-01-15 07:15:00 179.07 ↓ Low
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.78%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.20%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.05%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
22.4712
12.58%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.0925
5.61%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-12 03:00:00 158 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 09:00:00 156.19 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 15:00:00 163.74 ↑ High
2026-01-12 20:00:00 161.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-13 23:00:00 179.62 ↑ High
2026-01-14 01:00:00 175.63 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 07:00:00 175.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 09:00:00 190.1 ↑ High
2026-01-14 22:00:00 175.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 182.31 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Jan 2026
07:28:20
15 Jan 2026
07:30:00
1 minute

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
179.11 178.6612 180.0075 2 135.36
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 179.11
  • Stop Loss: 178.6612
  • Take Profit: 180.0075

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 178.6612 - 179.11 = -0.44880000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 179.11 - 180.0075 = -0.89749999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.89749999999998 / -0.44880000000001 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3192.8876 100 17.8264 31.93
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.44880000000001

Taille de position = 8 / -0.44880000000001 = -17.83

Taille de position USD = -17.83 x 179.11 = -3193.53

Donc, tu peux acheter -17.83 avec un stoploss a 178.6612

Avec un position size USD de -3193.53$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -17.83 x -0.44880000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -17.83 x -0.89749999999998 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -17.83
  • Taille de position USD -3193.53
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.5 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.25
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.268 % 106.94 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 180.0075
            [entry_price] => 179.11
            [stop_loss] => 178.61632
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 07:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 180.0075
            [entry_price] => 179.11
            [stop_loss] => 178.57144
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 07:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 180.0075
            [entry_price] => 179.11
            [stop_loss] => 178.52656
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 07:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 180.0075
            [entry_price] => 179.11
            [stop_loss] => 178.4368
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 07:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.69
            [max_drawdown] => 0.80000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 2.11
            [high] => 180.80000000
            [low] => 178.31000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.94
            [mae_pct] => 0.45
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.11
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-15T07:28:20-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-15T09:28:20-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.69
            [max_drawdown] => 7.9
            [rr_ratio] => 0.21
            [high] => 180.80000000
            [low] => 171.21000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.94
            [mae_pct] => 4.41
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.21
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-15T07:28:20-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-15T14:28:20-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 182.31000000
            [high_after] => 180.80000000
            [low_before] => 177.79000000
            [low_after] => 171.21000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)