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Long Trade on MSTR

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Long Trade on MSTR 15 Jan 2026 at 07:31:19

Take profit at 179.9585 (0.51 %) and Stop Loss at 178.5808 (0.26 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 15 Jan 2026 at 07:31:19

With 17.4199 MSTR at 179.04$ per unit.

Position size of 3118.8534 $

Take profit at 179.9585 (0.51 %) and Stop Loss at 178.5808 (0.26 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.71
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.7
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.61
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.76
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.40824

15m : 0.049157

1H : 0.070306

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.23
  4. atr: 0.3061637993
Details
  1. score: 2.23
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 179.249
  4. ema21 : 178.593
  5. ema50 : 175.531
  6. ema100 : 170.795
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00116603
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00367097
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0174411
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0482727
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.0151389
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.0223693
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.089935
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.102993
  17. rsi : 0.531463
  18. adx : 0.274176
  19. kc_percentage : 0.555599
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0381598
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.894751
  22. volume_ema1 : 110910.90042755
  23. volume_ema2 : 1053798.9541917
  24. chop : 51.982
  25. regime : bull_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 179.832
  28. ema21 : 179.613
  29. ema50 : 179.02
  30. ema100 : 178.647
  31. price_ema9_diff : -0.00440455
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00121861
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00331109
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.00219948
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0319663
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0570415
  39. ema_slope_50 : 0.0376992
  40. ema_slope_100 : 0.0220101
  41. rsi : 0.460978
  42. adx : 0.222423
  43. kc_percentage : 0.252769
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0137023
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.757714
  46. volume_ema1 : 21706.096276639
  47. volume_ema2 : 89588.831224708
  48. chop : 35.5463
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 179.553
  52. ema21 : 179.945
  53. ema50 : 179.797
  54. ema100 : 179.032
  55. price_ema9_diff : -0.0028574
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00217919
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000822393
  58. price_ema100_diff : 4.3271E-5
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.0520795
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.0297884
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00195464
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00920643
  65. rsi : 0.318865
  66. adx : 0.250624
  67. kc_percentage : -0.22915
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00681026
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.34555
  70. volume_ema1 : 13632.034949165
  71. volume_ema2 : 10131.195922793
  72. chop : 28.7236
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    96529.1
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000653747
  78. 5m_price: 
    96592.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.40824
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    96333
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00269167
  83. 15m_price: 
    96592.3
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.049157
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    94050.2
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0270286
  88. 1H_price: 
    96592.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.070306
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-12 03:00:00
                    [1] => 158
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
                    [1] => 156.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 163.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-12 20:00:00
                    [1] => 161.25
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-13 23:00:00
                    [1] => 179.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 01:00:00
                    [1] => 175.63
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
                    [1] => 175.91
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 09:00:00
                    [1] => 190.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                    [1] => 175.21
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                    [1] => 182.31
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.8155888322089
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1631185434621
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.0522801209977
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
                    [1] => 175.91
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 08:45:00
                    [1] => 176.57
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 09:45:00
                    [1] => 190.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 13:30:00
                    [1] => 176.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 15:00:00
                    [1] => 180.83
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 17:30:00
                    [1] => 177.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 22:45:00
                    [1] => 175.21
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 04:45:00
                    [1] => 182.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 07:30:00
                    [1] => 178.63
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.8155888322089
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.2071320606841
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0601242792364
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 00:40:00
                    [1] => 177.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 01:10:00
                    [1] => 176.63
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 01:55:00
                    [1] => 177.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 03:05:00
                    [1] => 178.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 03:40:00
                    [1] => 177.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 04:50:00
                    [1] => 182.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 05:15:00
                    [1] => 180.46
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 06:15:00
                    [1] => 180.25
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 06:30:00
                    [1] => 180.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 07:30:00
                    [1] => 178.63
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0885782173841
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.2071320606841
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3099703297318
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.21%
Bars Since Swing High
12 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.31%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.9508
1.09%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.3515
1.31%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 00:40:00 177.43 ↑ High
2026-01-15 01:10:00 176.63 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 01:55:00 177.02 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 03:05:00 178.91 ↑ High
2026-01-15 03:40:00 177.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:50:00 182.31 ↑ High
2026-01-15 05:15:00 180.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 06:15:00 180.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 06:30:00 180.97 ↑ High
2026-01-15 07:30:00 178.63 ↓ Low
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.82%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.21%
Bars Since Swing High
11 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.06%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.3708
1.89%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.1415
5.64%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 07:00:00 175.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 08:45:00 176.57 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 09:45:00 190.1 ↑ High
2026-01-14 13:30:00 176.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 15:00:00 180.83 ↑ High
2026-01-14 17:30:00 177.94 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 22:45:00 175.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:45:00 182.31 ↑ High
2026-01-15 07:30:00 178.63 ↓ Low
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.82%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.16%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.05%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
22.3908
12.54%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.1415
5.64%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-12 03:00:00 158 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 09:00:00 156.19 ↓ Low
2026-01-12 15:00:00 163.74 ↑ High
2026-01-12 20:00:00 161.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-13 23:00:00 179.62 ↑ High
2026-01-14 01:00:00 175.63 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 07:00:00 175.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 09:00:00 190.1 ↑ High
2026-01-14 22:00:00 175.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 182.31 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Jan 2026
07:31:19		 15 Jan 2026
07:40:00		 8 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
179.04 178.5808 179.9585 2 134.24
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 179.04
  • Stop Loss: 178.5808
  • Take Profit: 179.9585

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 178.5808 - 179.04 = -0.45919999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 179.04 - 179.9585 = -0.91849999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.91849999999999 / -0.45919999999998 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3118.8534 100 17.4199 31.19
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.45919999999998

Taille de position = 8 / -0.45919999999998 = -17.42

Taille de position USD = -17.42 x 179.04 = -3118.88

Donc, tu peux acheter -17.42 avec un stoploss a 178.5808

Avec un position size USD de -3118.88$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -17.42 x -0.45919999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -17.42 x -0.91849999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -17.42
  • Taille de position USD -3118.88
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.51 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.26 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.26
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3966 % 154.62 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 179.9585
            [entry_price] => 179.04
            [stop_loss] => 178.53488
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 07:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 179.9585
            [entry_price] => 179.04
            [stop_loss] => 178.48896
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 07:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 179.9585
            [entry_price] => 179.04
            [stop_loss] => 178.44304
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 07:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 179.9585
            [entry_price] => 179.04
            [stop_loss] => 178.3512
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-15 07:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.76
            [max_drawdown] => 2.44
            [rr_ratio] => 0.72
            [high] => 180.80000000
            [low] => 176.60000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.98
            [mae_pct] => 1.36
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.72
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-15T07:31:19-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-15T09:31:19-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.76
            [max_drawdown] => 7.83
            [rr_ratio] => 0.22
            [high] => 180.80000000
            [low] => 171.21000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.98
            [mae_pct] => 4.37
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.22
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-15T07:31:19-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-15T14:31:19-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 182.31000000
            [high_after] => 180.80000000
            [low_before] => 177.79000000
            [low_after] => 171.21000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)