Short Trade on COIN 16 Jan 2026 at 00:56:41
Take profit at 242.363 (0.061 %) and Stop Loss at 242.5835 (0.03 %)
Short Trade on COIN 16 Jan 2026 at 00:56:41
Take profit at 242.363 (0.061 %) and Stop Loss at 242.5835 (0.03 %)
Position size of 26388.4769 $
Take profit at 242.363 (0.061 %) and Stop Loss at 242.5835 (0.03 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.53 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.299378 15m : 0.186849 1H : -0.138525 |
0 |
Indicators:
95464.1
0.00127155
95585.5
0.299378
95861.5
-0.00272976
95599.9
0.186849
94742.6
0.00889569
95585.5
-0.138525
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
[1] => 238.75
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:00:00
[1] => 247.55
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 20:00:00
[1] => 242.14
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 07:00:00
[1] => 244.1
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-13 23:00:00
[1] => 257.32
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 05:00:00
[1] => 253.55
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 09:00:00
[1] => 262.83
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
[1] => 248.48
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
[1] => 254
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
[1] => 237.79
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.5236220472441
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9849446991043
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 20
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.8169393162034
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 07:30:00
[1] => 251.46
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 09:15:00
[1] => 253.9
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 10:45:00
[1] => 244
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 12:45:00
[1] => 249.4
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:30:00
[1] => 237.79
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 16:45:00
[1] => 242.05
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 20:00:00
[1] => 242.54
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:30:00
[1] => 242.48
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 00:00:00
[1] => 241.87
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 00:45:00
[1] => 242.51
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.26460495307396
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.26460495307396
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 21:40:00
[1] => 242.31
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:15:00
[1] => 242.15
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:25:00
[1] => 242.15
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 22:35:00
[1] => 242.48
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
[1] => 242.03
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:10:00
[1] => 242.03
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:20:00
[1] => 242.03
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:30:00
[1] => 242.03
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 00:00:00
[1] => 242.28
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 00:50:00
[1] => 242.51
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.26460495307396
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.094931484233114
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 21:40:00 | 242.31 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 22:15:00 | 242.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 22:25:00 | 242.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 22:35:00 | 242.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 23:00:00 | 242.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 23:10:00 | 242.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 23:20:00 | 242.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 23:30:00 | 242.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 00:00:00 | 242.28 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 00:50:00 | 242.51 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 07:30:00 | 251.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 09:15:00 | 253.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 10:45:00 | 244 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 12:45:00 | 249.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:30:00 | 237.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 16:45:00 | 242.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 20:00:00 | 242.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 22:30:00 | 242.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 00:00:00 | 241.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 00:45:00 | 242.51 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 09:00:00 | 238.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 11:00:00 | 247.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 20:00:00 | 242.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 07:00:00 | 244.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-13 23:00:00 | 257.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 05:00:00 | 253.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-14 09:00:00 | 262.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 22:00:00 | 248.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 04:00:00 | 254 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:00:00 | 237.79 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 00:56:41 |
16 Jan 2026 01:35:00 |
38 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 242.51 | 242.5835 | 242.363 | 2 | 176.36 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 242.5835 - 242.51 = 0.073499999999996
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 242.51 - 242.363 = 0.14699999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.14699999999999 / 0.073499999999996 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26388.4769 | 100 | 108.814 | 263.88 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.073499999999996 = 108.84
Taille de position USD = 108.84 x 242.51 = 26394.79
Donc, tu peux acheter 108.84 avec un stoploss a 242.5835
Avec un position size USD de 26394.79$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 108.84 x 0.073499999999996 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 108.84 x 0.14699999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.061 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.03 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.06 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0206 % | 67.99 % | 6 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.363
[stop_loss] => 242.5835
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:35:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.32625
[stop_loss] => 242.5835
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.2895
[stop_loss] => 242.5835
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.25275
[stop_loss] => 242.5835
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.216
[stop_loss] => 242.5835
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.17925
[stop_loss] => 242.5835
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.1425
[stop_loss] => 242.5835
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.10575
[stop_loss] => 242.5835
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.069
[stop_loss] => 242.5835
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 242.03225
[stop_loss] => 242.5835
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 241.9955
[stop_loss] => 242.5835
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.50999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.31
[rr_ratio] => 1.65
[high] => 242.82000000
[low] => 242.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.21
[mae_pct] => 0.13
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.65
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-16T00:56:41-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T02:56:41-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.42
[max_drawdown] => 0.31
[rr_ratio] => 4.58
[high] => 242.82000000
[low] => 241.09000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.59
[mae_pct] => 0.13
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.58
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-16T00:56:41-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T07:56:41-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 242.51000000
[high_after] => 242.82000000
[low_before] => 241.87000000
[low_after] => 241.09000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)