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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 16 Jan 2026 at 00:56:50

Take profit at 172.489 (0.26 %) and Stop Loss at 173.1505 (0.13 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 16 Jan 2026 at 00:56:50

With 36.2841 MSTR at 172.93$ per unit.

Position size of 6274.6108 $

Take profit at 172.489 (0.26 %) and Stop Loss at 173.1505 (0.13 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.79
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.67
Prediction 2 Probability
2 0.62
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.9
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.484876

15m : 0.23985

1H : -0.197546

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.27
  4. atr: 0.1469881346
Details
  1. score: 1.27
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 172.792
  4. ema21 : 174.198
  5. ema50 : 174.552
  6. ema100 : 171.927
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000795571
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00807059
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00202571
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.00583278
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.201214
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.161335
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0548409
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0103319
  17. rsi : 0.435942
  18. adx : 0.241486
  19. kc_percentage : 0.316671
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0370655
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.90712
  22. volume_ema1 : 111086.83044717
  23. volume_ema2 : 1196033.5068486
  24. chop : 52.2562
  25. regime : range_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 172.437
  28. ema21 : 172.469
  29. ema50 : 173.258
  30. ema100 : 174.525
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00285634
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000186699
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00455375
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00914143
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.00633125
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0121802
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0276549
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0285583
  41. rsi : 0.527239
  42. adx : 0.189683
  43. kc_percentage : 0.822969
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00846948
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.977075
  46. volume_ema1 : 3458.9007410863
  47. volume_ema2 : 150881.23094405
  48. chop : 67.2398
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 172.653
  52. ema21 : 172.469
  53. ema50 : 172.398
  54. ema100 : 172.303
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00159866
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00106971
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000409691
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00363315
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0235178
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0118464
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00406702
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00280786
  65. rsi : 0.675625
  66. adx : 0.270425
  67. kc_percentage : 1.26563
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00342124
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.430078
  70. volume_ema1 : 1424.2169609048
  71. volume_ema2 : 2498.9687157703
  72. chop : 21.9435
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    95464.1
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00127155
  78. 5m_price: 
    95585.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.484876
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    95861.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00272976
  83. 15m_price: 
    95599.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.23985
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    94742.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00889569
  88. 1H_price: 
    95585.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.197546
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 163.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-12 20:00:00
                    [1] => 161.25
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-13 23:00:00
                    [1] => 179.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 01:00:00
                    [1] => 175.63
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
                    [1] => 175.91
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 09:00:00
                    [1] => 190.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                    [1] => 175.21
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                    [1] => 182.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.21
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 16:00:00
                    [1] => 170.07
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.0847457627119
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.746339742459
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 20
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.67031222437821
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 04:45:00
                    [1] => 182.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 07:30:00
                    [1] => 178.31
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 09:00:00
                    [1] => 180.8
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 10:45:00
                    [1] => 171.21
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 12:00:00
                    [1] => 177.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 16:00:00
                    [1] => 170.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 18:00:00
                    [1] => 171.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 20:30:00
                    [1] => 173.47
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 22:45:00
                    [1] => 171.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 00:45:00
                    [1] => 173.04
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.7276325746551
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.7276325746551
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 20:10:00
                    [1] => 172.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 20:30:00
                    [1] => 173.47
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 21:00:00
                    [1] => 172.46
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 21:35:00
                    [1] => 172.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 21:55:00
                    [1] => 172.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 22:55:00
                    [1] => 171.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 23:25:00
                    [1] => 172.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 23:55:00
                    [1] => 171.98
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 00:45:00
                    [1] => 173.04
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 00:55:00
                    [1] => 173.04
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.61635073845796
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.62%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3195
0.18%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6990
0.41%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 20:10:00 172.22 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 20:30:00 173.47 ↑ High
2026-01-15 21:00:00 172.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 21:35:00 172.89 ↑ High
2026-01-15 21:55:00 172.2 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 22:55:00 171.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 23:25:00 172.5 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:55:00 171.98 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 00:45:00 173.04 ↑ High
2026-01-16 00:55:00 173.04 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.73%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.73%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.1595
5.29%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4190
1.40%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 04:45:00 182.31 ↑ High
2026-01-15 07:30:00 178.31 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 09:00:00 180.8 ↑ High
2026-01-15 10:45:00 171.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 12:00:00 177.89 ↑ High
2026-01-15 16:00:00 170.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 18:00:00 171.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 20:30:00 173.47 ↑ High
2026-01-15 22:45:00 171.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 00:45:00 173.04 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.75%
Bars Since Swing High
20 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.67%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.9495
9.79%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.2390
6.52%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-12 15:00:00 163.74 ↑ High
2026-01-12 20:00:00 161.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-13 23:00:00 179.62 ↑ High
2026-01-14 01:00:00 175.63 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 07:00:00 175.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 09:00:00 190.1 ↑ High
2026-01-14 22:00:00 175.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 182.31 ↑ High
2026-01-15 10:00:00 171.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 16:00:00 170.07 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Jan 2026
00:56:50		 16 Jan 2026
01:55:00		 58 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
172.93 173.1505 172.489 2 130.44
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 172.93
  • Stop Loss: 173.1505
  • Take Profit: 172.489

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 173.1505 - 172.93 = 0.22049999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 172.93 - 172.489 = 0.441

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.441 / 0.22049999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
6274.6108 100 36.2841 62.75
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.22049999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.22049999999999 = 36.28

Taille de position USD = 36.28 x 172.93 = 6273.9

Donc, tu peux acheter 36.28 avec un stoploss a 173.1505

Avec un position size USD de 6273.9$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 36.28 x 0.22049999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 36.28 x 0.441 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 36.28
  • Taille de position USD 6273.9
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.26 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.13 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.13
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2082 % 163.29 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.489
            [entry_price] => 172.93
            [stop_loss] => 173.17255
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.489
            [entry_price] => 172.93
            [stop_loss] => 173.1946
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.489
            [entry_price] => 172.93
            [stop_loss] => 173.21665
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.489
            [entry_price] => 172.93
            [stop_loss] => 173.26075
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 01:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.30000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.50999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 0.59
            [high] => 173.44000000
            [low] => 172.63000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.17
            [mae_pct] => 0.29
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.59
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T00:56:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T02:56:50-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.61000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 1.16
            [rr_ratio] => 0.53
            [high] => 174.09000000
            [low] => 172.32000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.35
            [mae_pct] => 0.67
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.53
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T00:56:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T07:56:50-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 173.04000000
            [high_after] => 174.09000000
            [low_before] => 171.79000000
            [low_after] => 172.32000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)