Short Trade on XPL 16 Jan 2026 at 15:55:26

Take profit at 0.1426 (1.04 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1448 (0.49 %)

Short Trade on XPL

The 16 Jan 2026 at 15:55:26

With 10964.23 XPL at 0.1441$ per unit.

Position size of 1579.9455 $

Take profit at 0.1426 (1.04 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1448 (0.49 %)

That's a 2.14 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 4.11
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.65
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.53
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.72
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.534904

15m : 0.036804

1H : 0.052428

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.17
  4. atr: 0.0004864302677
Details
  1. score: 1.17
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.143131
  4. ema21 : 0.144381
  5. ema50 : 0.1486
  6. ema100 : 0.152226
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00676934
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00866106
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0283884
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0533818
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.00346143
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.104062
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.163172
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.122037
  17. rsi : 0.468424
  18. adx : 0.238321
  19. kc_percentage : 0.487743
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.078323
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.31772
  22. volume_ema1 : 309765.86145258
  23. volume_ema2 : 454015.81584687
  24. chop : 47.5158
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.142868
  29. ema21 : 0.142638
  30. ema50 : 0.143056
  31. ema100 : 0.143411
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00861941
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00161602
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00292804
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0048004
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0821163
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.00957121
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0157174
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0129749
  42. rsi : 0.59652
  43. adx : 0.139603
  44. kc_percentage : 0.85094
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0291043
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.597538
  47. volume_ema1 : 39998.728984014
  48. volume_ema2 : 99385.140795748
  49. chop : 59.9416
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.143426
  54. ema21 : 0.142843
  55. ema50 : 0.142512
  56. ema100 : 0.142931
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00469655
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0040773
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00232669
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00817634
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0681711
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0409272
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0174878
  66. ema_slope_100 : 9.02594E-6
  67. rsi : 0.657212
  68. adx : 0.212075
  69. kc_percentage : 1.17078
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0126738
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.497361
  72. volume_ema1 : 11988.871658799
  73. volume_ema2 : 23851.899267535
  74. chop : 33.5335
  75. regime : bull_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95061.4
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00238607
  81. 5m_price:
    95288.3
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.534904
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95275.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000884353
  86. 15m_price:
    95190.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.036804
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94808.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00506342
  91. 1H_price:
    95288.3
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.052428
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 23:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1663
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 0.159
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 09:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1724
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 23:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1536
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 01:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1536
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 08:00:00
                        [1] => 0.163
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1413
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1396
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1483
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1372
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.832097100472
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.0291545189504
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.0903790087464
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 23:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1396
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 02:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1414
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 04:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1473
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 05:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1456
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 06:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1472
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1483
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 10:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1372
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 13:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1432
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1412
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1443
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13860013860014
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0538243626062
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1954674220963
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 10:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1372
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1421
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 12:10:00
                        [1] => 0.1398
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 12:25:00
                        [1] => 0.1398
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 13:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1432
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 14:10:00
                        [1] => 0.1413
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 14:25:00
                        [1] => 0.1413
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 14:35:00
                        [1] => 0.1428
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1412
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1443
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13860013860014
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0538243626062
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1954674220963
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.05%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.20%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0005
0.35%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0054
3.79%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 10:30:00 0.1372 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 11:45:00 0.1421 ↑ High
2026-01-16 12:10:00 0.1398 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 12:25:00 0.1398 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:45:00 0.1432 ↑ High
2026-01-16 14:10:00 0.1413 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 14:25:00 0.1413 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 14:35:00 0.1428 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:00:00 0.1412 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 15:45:00 0.1443 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.05%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.20%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0035
2.42%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0054
3.79%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 23:45:00 0.1396 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 02:30:00 0.1414 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 04:30:00 0.1473 ↑ High
2026-01-16 05:45:00 0.1456 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 06:45:00 0.1472 ↑ High
2026-01-16 09:30:00 0.1483 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:30:00 0.1372 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:45:00 0.1432 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:00:00 0.1412 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 15:45:00 0.1443 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.83%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.03%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.09%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0276
19.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0054
3.79%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-13 23:00:00 0.1663 ↑ High
2026-01-14 06:00:00 0.159 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 09:00:00 0.1724 ↑ High
2026-01-14 23:00:00 0.1536 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 01:00:00 0.1536 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 08:00:00 0.163 ↑ High
2026-01-15 14:00:00 0.1413 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 23:00:00 0.1396 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 09:00:00 0.1483 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:00:00 0.1372 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Jan 2026
15:55:26
16 Jan 2026
17:00:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1441 0.1448 0.1426 2.14 0.0944
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1441
  • Stop Loss: 0.1448
  • Take Profit: 0.1426

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1448 - 0.1441 = 0.00070000000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1441 - 0.1426 = 0.0015

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0015 / 0.00070000000000001 = 2.1429

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1579.9455 100 10964.23 15.80
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00070000000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00070000000000001 = 11428.57

Taille de position USD = 11428.57 x 0.1441 = 1646.86

Donc, tu peux acheter 11428.57 avec un stoploss a 0.1448

Avec un position size USD de 1646.86$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 11428.57 x 0.00070000000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 11428.57 x 0.0015 = 17.14

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 17.14$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 11428.57
  • Taille de position USD 1646.86
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 17.14
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.1429

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.04 % 16.45 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.49 % 7.67 $
PNL PNL %
16.45 $ 1.04
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4164 % 85.71 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1427
            [stop_loss] => 0.1448
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 17:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.14235
            [stop_loss] => 0.1448
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 17:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.142
            [stop_loss] => 0.1448
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 18:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.14165
            [stop_loss] => 0.1448
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 18:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1413
            [stop_loss] => 0.1448
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 18:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.14095
            [stop_loss] => 0.1448
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 18:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1406
            [stop_loss] => 0.1448
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 18:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.14025
            [stop_loss] => 0.1448
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 18:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1399
            [stop_loss] => 0.1448
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 18:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.13955
            [stop_loss] => 0.1448
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 18:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1392
            [stop_loss] => 0.1448
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 18:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0019
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00059999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 3.17
            [high] => 0.14470000
            [low] => 0.14220000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.32
            [mae_pct] => 0.42
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.17
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T15:55:26-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T17:55:26-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0021
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0008
            [rr_ratio] => 2.63
            [high] => 0.14490000
            [low] => 0.14200000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.46
            [mae_pct] => 0.56
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.63
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T15:55:26-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T22:55:26-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.14430000
            [high_after] => 0.14490000
            [low_before] => 0.13980000
            [low_after] => 0.14220000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)