Short Trade on ETH 16 Jan 2026 at 16:00:15
Take profit at 3278.0336 (0.46 %) and Stop Loss at 3300.9632 (0.23 %)
Short Trade on ETH 16 Jan 2026 at 16:00:15
Take profit at 3278.0336 (0.46 %) and Stop Loss at 3300.9632 (0.23 %)
Position size of 3447.0495 $
Take profit at 3278.0336 (0.46 %) and Stop Loss at 3300.9632 (0.23 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.93 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.84 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.85 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.889154 15m : 0.125897 1H : 0.083898 |
0 |
Indicators:
95063.7
0.00466938
95507.6
0.889154
95240
0.00280973
95507.6
0.125897
94850.8
0.00692397
95507.6
0.083898
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 11:00:00
[1] => 3402.36
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
[1] => 3276
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 08:00:00
[1] => 3383.24
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 13:00:00
[1] => 3272.5
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
[1] => 3326.62
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
[1] => 3275.04
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
[1] => 3319.28
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 09:00:00
[1] => 3317.27
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
[1] => 3252
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
[1] => 3297.94
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14979047526638
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2607626076261
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4126691266913
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 21:15:00
[1] => 3290.09
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:30:00
[1] => 3275.04
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 01:30:00
[1] => 3316.32
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
[1] => 3319.28
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 06:15:00
[1] => 3292.21
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 07:30:00
[1] => 3313.19
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 09:30:00
[1] => 3317.27
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 10:45:00
[1] => 3252
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 15:00:00
[1] => 3263.4
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
[1] => 3297.94
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.27714270120135
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.77832934975792
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0584053441196
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 10:10:00
[1] => 3310.33
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 10:45:00
[1] => 3252
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 11:45:00
[1] => 3287.53
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 12:25:00
[1] => 3264.66
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 13:00:00
[1] => 3287.49
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 13:35:00
[1] => 3285.34
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 14:25:00
[1] => 3267.36
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 14:35:00
[1] => 3276.94
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 15:10:00
[1] => 3263.4
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
[1] => 3297.57
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10128670505858
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.94472023043451
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0470674756389
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 10:10:00 | 3310.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 10:45:00 | 3252 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 11:45:00 | 3287.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 12:25:00 | 3264.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 13:00:00 | 3287.49 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 13:35:00 | 3285.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 14:25:00 | 3267.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 14:35:00 | 3276.94 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 15:10:00 | 3263.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 16:00:00 | 3297.57 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 21:15:00 | 3290.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 23:30:00 | 3275.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 01:30:00 | 3316.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 03:00:00 | 3319.28 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 06:15:00 | 3292.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 07:30:00 | 3313.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 09:30:00 | 3317.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 10:45:00 | 3252 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 15:00:00 | 3263.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 16:00:00 | 3297.94 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 11:00:00 | 3402.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-14 22:00:00 | 3276 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 08:00:00 | 3383.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 13:00:00 | 3272.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 19:00:00 | 3326.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 23:00:00 | 3275.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 03:00:00 | 3319.28 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 09:00:00 | 3317.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 10:00:00 | 3252 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 16:00:00 | 3297.94 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 16:00:15 |
17 Jan 2026 04:40:00 |
12 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3293.32 | 3300.9632 | 3278.0336 | 2 | 2028.51 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3300.9632 - 3293.32 = 7.6432
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3293.32 - 3278.0336 = 15.2864
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 15.2864 / 7.6432 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3447.0495 | 100 | 1.0467 | 34.47 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 7.6432 = 1.05
Taille de position USD = 1.05 x 3293.32 = 3457.99
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.05 avec un stoploss a 3300.9632
Avec un position size USD de 3457.99$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.05 x 7.6432 = 8.03
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.03$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.05 x 15.2864 = 16.05
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.05$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.23 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2848 % | 122.71 % | 27 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 11.85
[max_drawdown] => 4.6199999999999
[rr_ratio] => 2.56
[high] => 3297.94000000
[low] => 3281.47000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.36
[mae_pct] => 0.14
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.56
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-16T16:00:15-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T18:00:15-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 11.85
[max_drawdown] => 5.1499999999996
[rr_ratio] => 2.3
[high] => 3298.47000000
[low] => 3281.47000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.36
[mae_pct] => 0.16
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.3
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-16T16:00:15-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-16T23:00:15-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 3297.57000000
[high_after] => 3298.47000000
[low_before] => 3263.40000000
[low_after] => 3281.47000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)