Short Trade on AVAX 16 Jan 2026 at 16:46:45

Take profit at 13.535 (0.68 %) and Stop Loss at 13.673 (0.34 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 16 Jan 2026 at 16:46:45

With 173.8489 AVAX at 13.627$ per unit.

Position size of 2369.0385 $

Take profit at 13.535 (0.68 %) and Stop Loss at 13.673 (0.34 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 6.99
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.96
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.92
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.93
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.654222

15m : 0.04848

1H : -0.123809

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.03067798808
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 13.5449
  4. ema21 : 13.6567
  5. ema50 : 13.8698
  6. ema100 : 13.9581
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00605831
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00818833
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0153598
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0237277
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.15207
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.139511
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.1115
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0621669
  17. rsi : 0.450577
  18. adx : 0.484076
  19. kc_percentage : 0.464495
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0415167
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0371024
  22. volume_ema1 : 792224.4736792
  23. volume_ema2 : 763882.59540473
  24. chop : 34.4314
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 13.5555
  29. ema21 : 13.5117
  30. ema50 : 13.5639
  31. ema100 : 13.6313
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00527373
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00323623
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00384483
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.000318572
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.097587
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0215116
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0212953
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.02176
  42. rsi : 0.620564
  43. adx : 0.29345
  44. kc_percentage : 0.966199
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.018117
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.532031
  47. volume_ema1 : 100511.67998822
  48. volume_ema2 : 214782.8754383
  49. chop : 38.3872
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 13.6094
  54. ema21 : 13.5562
  55. ema50 : 13.4979
  56. ema100 : 13.5149
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00128693
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00392751
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00431928
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00828936
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.076331
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0745603
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0425643
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0155986
  67. rsi : 0.695274
  68. adx : 0.366545
  69. kc_percentage : 1.08659
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00834955
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.649891
  72. volume_ema1 : 22519.311716018
  73. volume_ema2 : 64320.870146973
  74. chop : 47.7261
  75. regime : bull_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95127.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0037892
  81. 5m_price:
    95488.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.654222
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95267.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00231248
  86. 15m_price:
    95488.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.04848
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94850.4
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00672351
  91. 1H_price:
    95488.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.123809
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 11:00:00
                        [1] => 14.949
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 13:00:00
                        [1] => 14.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                        [1] => 14.111
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 14.467
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
                        [1] => 13.609
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 13.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 13.674
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                        [1] => 13.859
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:00:00
                        [1] => 13.182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 13.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.30746705710102
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3075405856471
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.6261568805947
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 02:30:00
                        [1] => 13.765
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:30:00
                        [1] => 13.859
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 06:15:00
                        [1] => 13.719
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 07:00:00
                        [1] => 13.798
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 08:30:00
                        [1] => 13.714
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:45:00
                        [1] => 13.806
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:15:00
                        [1] => 13.182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
                        [1] => 13.445
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 13.288
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:30:00
                        [1] => 13.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.30746705710102
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4834437086093
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7995183624323
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:15:00
                        [1] => 13.742
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:45:00
                        [1] => 13.806
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:15:00
                        [1] => 13.182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:45:00
                        [1] => 13.423
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 12:10:00
                        [1] => 13.278
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
                        [1] => 13.445
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 14:10:00
                        [1] => 13.297
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 14:35:00
                        [1] => 13.424
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:05:00
                        [1] => 13.288
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:30:00
                        [1] => 13.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.30746705710102
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4834437086093
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 20
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7995183624323
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.31%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.48%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
20 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.80%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1330
0.97%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3530
2.61%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 09:15:00 13.742 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 09:45:00 13.806 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:15:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 11:45:00 13.423 ↑ High
2026-01-16 12:10:00 13.278 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:15:00 13.445 ↑ High
2026-01-16 14:10:00 13.297 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 14:35:00 13.424 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:05:00 13.288 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:30:00 13.66 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.31%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.48%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.80%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1860
1.36%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3530
2.61%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 02:30:00 13.765 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:30:00 13.859 ↑ High
2026-01-16 06:15:00 13.719 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 07:00:00 13.798 ↑ High
2026-01-16 08:30:00 13.714 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 09:45:00 13.806 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:15:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:15:00 13.445 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:00:00 13.288 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:30:00 13.66 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.31%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.31%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.63%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.2760
9.33%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3530
2.61%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 11:00:00 14.949 ↑ High
2026-01-14 13:00:00 14.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 22:00:00 14.111 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 04:00:00 14.467 ↑ High
2026-01-15 15:00:00 13.609 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:00:00 13.85 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:00:00 13.674 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 13.859 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:00:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:00:00 13.66 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Jan 2026
16:46:45
16 Jan 2026
22:05:00
5 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.627 13.673 13.535 2 9.242
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.627
  • Stop Loss: 13.673
  • Take Profit: 13.535

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.673 - 13.627 = 0.045999999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.627 - 13.535 = 0.092000000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.092000000000001 / 0.045999999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2369.0385 100 173.8489 23.69
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.045999999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.045999999999999 = 173.91

Taille de position USD = 173.91 x 13.627 = 2369.87

Donc, tu peux acheter 173.91 avec un stoploss a 13.673

Avec un position size USD de 2369.87$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 173.91 x 0.045999999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 173.91 x 0.092000000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 173.91
  • Taille de position USD 2369.87
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.68 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.34 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
15.99 $ 0.68
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0073 % 2.16 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.535
            [stop_loss] => 13.673
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 22:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.078000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00099999999999945
            [rr_ratio] => 78
            [high] => 13.62800000
            [low] => 13.54900000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.57
            [mae_pct] => 0.01
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 78
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T16:46:45-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T18:46:45-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.094000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00099999999999945
            [rr_ratio] => 94
            [high] => 13.62800000
            [low] => 13.53300000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.69
            [mae_pct] => 0.01
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 94
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T16:46:45-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T23:46:45-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.66000000
            [high_after] => 13.62800000
            [low_before] => 13.28800000
            [low_after] => 13.53400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)