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Short Trade on XAU

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Short Trade on XAU 16 Jan 2026 at 16:48:54

Take profit at 4590.7559 (0.15 %) and Stop Loss at 4601.367 (0.077 %)

Short Trade on XAU

The 16 Jan 2026 at 16:48:54

With 2.2618 XAU at 4597.83$ per unit.

Position size of 10399.2739 $

Take profit at 4590.7559 (0.15 %) and Stop Loss at 4601.367 (0.077 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.73
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.91
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.71
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.93
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_low

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.26567

15m : -0.01947

1H : -0.190442

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 2.358026169
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4594.3
  4. ema21 : 4599.53
  5. ema50 : 4605.57
  6. ema100 : 4607.9
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000766491
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00113668
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00131145
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0021862
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0231747
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0177737
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0107172
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.00565994
  17. rsi : 0.483321
  18. adx : 0.345553
  19. kc_percentage : 0.479856
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.014557
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.335082
  22. volume_ema1 : 208436.46514528
  23. volume_ema2 : 313477.3424261
  24. chop : 36.2654
  25. regime : range_low
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 4593.14
  28. ema21 : 4592.67
  29. ema50 : 4596.27
  30. ema100 : 4600.98
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00102016
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000101231
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000781368
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.000686767
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00420952
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.00168306
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00500074
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.00459476
  41. rsi : 0.545418
  42. adx : 0.166499
  43. kc_percentage : 0.7221
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00511469
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.838292
  46. volume_ema1 : 13514.794069769
  47. volume_ema2 : 83575.466133462
  48. chop : 79.2318
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 4595.13
  52. ema21 : 4593.08
  53. ema50 : 4592.16
  54. ema100 : 4593.06
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000586374
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000446286
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000201134
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00103799
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.00921949
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00442082
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00154781
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.000111803
  65. rsi : 0.606373
  66. adx : 0.189529
  67. kc_percentage : 1.03263
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0018973
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.620305
  70. volume_ema1 : 5964.6553958121
  71. volume_ema2 : 15709.101788331
  72. chop : 40.6436
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    95127.8
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00382938
  78. 5m_price: 
    95492.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.26567
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    95267.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00235261
  83. 15m_price: 
    95492.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.01947
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    94850.5
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00676381
  88. 1H_price: 
    95492.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.190442
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 07:00:00
                    [1] => 4647.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 10:00:00
                    [1] => 4601.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 14:00:00
                    [1] => 4644.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                    [1] => 4585
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 05:00:00
                    [1] => 4624.94
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 08:00:00
                    [1] => 4585.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 11:00:00
                    [1] => 4626.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 00:00:00
                    [1] => 4617.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 01:00:00
                    [1] => 4597.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                    [1] => 4620
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.48008658008659
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.255725863284
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.4872107186358
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 01:45:00
                    [1] => 4597.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 04:15:00
                    [1] => 4603.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 06:00:00
                    [1] => 4601.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 06:45:00
                    [1] => 4616.41
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 08:15:00
                    [1] => 4587.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                    [1] => 4620
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 10:30:00
                    [1] => 4540.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 13:45:00
                    [1] => 4597.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 15:30:00
                    [1] => 4584.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:15:00
                    [1] => 4598.54
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.015657143354201
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.29951418929383
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.31522068720291
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 10:30:00
                    [1] => 4540.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 11:40:00
                    [1] => 4603.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 11:50:00
                    [1] => 4590
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 12:25:00
                    [1] => 4582.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 13:45:00
                    [1] => 4597.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 14:15:00
                    [1] => 4585.46
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 15:05:00
                    [1] => 4596.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 15:30:00
                    [1] => 4584.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:10:00
                    [1] => 4586.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:15:00
                    [1] => 4598.54
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.015657143354201
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.2568664904798
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.27256630993188
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.26%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.27%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.7030
0.04%
TP to Pivot Distance
49.9559
1.09%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 10:30:00 4540.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 11:40:00 4603.07 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:50:00 4590 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 12:25:00 4582.11 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:45:00 4597.19 ↑ High
2026-01-16 14:15:00 4585.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 15:05:00 4596.82 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:30:00 4584.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:10:00 4586.04 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:15:00 4598.54 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.30%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.32%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
18.6330
0.40%
TP to Pivot Distance
49.9559
1.09%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 01:45:00 4597.6 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 04:15:00 4603.27 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 06:00:00 4601.86 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 06:45:00 4616.41 ↑ High
2026-01-16 08:15:00 4587.43 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 10:00:00 4620 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:30:00 4540.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:45:00 4597.19 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:30:00 4584.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:15:00 4598.54 ↑ High
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.48%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.26%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.49%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
46.2230
1.00%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.7559
0.13%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-14 07:00:00 4647.59 ↑ High
2026-01-14 10:00:00 4601.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 14:00:00 4644.82 ↑ High
2026-01-14 22:00:00 4585 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 05:00:00 4624.94 ↑ High
2026-01-15 08:00:00 4585.83 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 11:00:00 4626.73 ↑ High
2026-01-16 00:00:00 4617.31 ↑ High
2026-01-16 01:00:00 4597.6 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 10:00:00 4620 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Jan 2026
16:48:54		 18 Jan 2026
03:05:00		 1 day

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4597.83 4601.367 4590.7559 2 5186.15
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4597.83
  • Stop Loss: 4601.367
  • Take Profit: 4590.7559

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4601.367 - 4597.83 = 3.5370000000003

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4597.83 - 4590.7559 = 7.0740999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 7.0740999999998 / 3.5370000000003 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
10399.2739 100 2.2618 103.99
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 3.5370000000003

Taille de position = 8 / 3.5370000000003 = 2.26

Taille de position USD = 2.26 x 4597.83 = 10391.1

Donc, tu peux acheter 2.26 avec un stoploss a 4601.367

Avec un position size USD de 10391.1$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2.26 x 3.5370000000003 = 7.99

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2.26 x 7.0740999999998 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2.26
  • Taille de position USD 10391.1
  • Perte potentielle 7.99
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.15 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.077 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.08
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0866 % 112.61 % 29

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.9200000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 3.1999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 0.6
            [high] => 4601.03000000
            [low] => 4595.91000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.04
            [mae_pct] => 0.07
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.6
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T16:48:54-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T18:48:54-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 6.6899999999996
            [max_drawdown] => 3.1999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 2.09
            [high] => 4601.03000000
            [low] => 4591.14000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.15
            [mae_pct] => 0.07
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T16:48:54-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T23:48:54-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4598.54000000
            [high_after] => 4601.03000000
            [low_before] => 4584.09000000
            [low_after] => 4591.14000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)