Short Trade on XAG 16 Jan 2026 at 16:49:04

Take profit at 89.3679 (0.64 %) and Stop Loss at 90.2261 (0.32 %)

Short Trade on XAG

The 16 Jan 2026 at 16:49:04

With 27.9653 XAG at 89.94$ per unit.

Position size of 2515.2028 $

Take profit at 89.3679 (0.64 %) and Stop Loss at 90.2261 (0.32 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.98
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.81
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.63
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.74
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.174226

15m : 0.002283

1H : -0.250017

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.1907122548
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 89.5182
  4. ema21 : 89.9638
  5. ema50 : 90.152
  6. ema100 : 89.4185
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00471134
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00495317
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00208787
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.00583203
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.148248
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.104341
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0382444
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.00205818
  17. rsi : 0.488649
  18. adx : 0.28587
  19. kc_percentage : 0.501173
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0527189
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.394723
  22. volume_ema1 : 620285.3482045
  23. volume_ema2 : 1024797.5054003
  24. chop : 50.8743
  25. regime : range_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 89.5534
  29. ema21 : 89.3664
  30. ema50 : 89.635
  31. ema100 : 90.2511
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00431611
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00209242
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00299607
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00344764
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0534343
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0241485
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0113535
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0208102
  42. rsi : 0.581351
  43. adx : 0.126779
  44. kc_percentage : 0.820724
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0197728
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.601017
  47. volume_ema1 : 89116.744403379
  48. volume_ema2 : 223360.28457008
  49. chop : 71.9447
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 89.7276
  54. ema21 : 89.5564
  55. ema50 : 89.3301
  56. ema100 : 89.1435
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0023664
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00191185
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00253276
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00893497
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0408795
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0289252
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0197107
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0131578
  67. rsi : 0.661997
  68. adx : 0.17235
  69. kc_percentage : 1.02665
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00786079
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.232389
  72. volume_ema1 : 39588.06944369
  73. volume_ema2 : 51573.102510078
  74. chop : 55.3083
  75. regime : bull_low_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95127.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0038098
  81. 5m_price:
    95490.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.174226
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95267.9
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00233306
  86. 15m_price:
    95490.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.002283
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94850.5
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00674418
  91. 1H_price:
    95490.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.250017
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-13 23:00:00
                        [1] => 91.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 08:00:00
                        [1] => 92.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 12:00:00
                        [1] => 90
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 17:00:00
                        [1] => 93.94
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-14 22:00:00
                        [1] => 86.82
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 08:00:00
                        [1] => 88.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
                        [1] => 93.03
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 21:00:00
                        [1] => 89.71
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                        [1] => 87.12
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 89.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.022232103156954
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.236914600551
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.2598714416896
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 00:45:00
                        [1] => 91.88
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 01:45:00
                        [1] => 90.05
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 04:00:00
                        [1] => 91.77
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 06:00:00
                        [1] => 90.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 08:30:00
                        [1] => 88.06
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                        [1] => 90.13
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 10:30:00
                        [1] => 87.12
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 12:45:00
                        [1] => 88.28
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 13:30:00
                        [1] => 89.79
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:30:00
                        [1] => 89.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.022232103156954
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.880380607159
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.18933066042988
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:50:00
                        [1] => 88.49
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 12:45:00
                        [1] => 88.28
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 13:00:00
                        [1] => 89.15
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 13:15:00
                        [1] => 88.51
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 13:40:00
                        [1] => 89.79
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 14:15:00
                        [1] => 88.66
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 14:50:00
                        [1] => 89.53
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 15:30:00
                        [1] => 88.85
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:35:00
                        [1] => 89.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:45:00
                        [1] => 89.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.022232103156954
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2267867191896
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.23%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2661
0.29%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.0879
1.22%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 11:50:00 88.49 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 12:45:00 88.28 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:00:00 89.15 ↑ High
2026-01-16 13:15:00 88.51 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:40:00 89.79 ↑ High
2026-01-16 14:15:00 88.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 14:50:00 89.53 ↑ High
2026-01-16 15:30:00 88.85 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:35:00 89.96 ↑ High
2026-01-16 16:45:00 89.96 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.88%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
16 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.19%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.6539
1.83%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2479
2.52%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 00:45:00 91.88 ↑ High
2026-01-16 01:45:00 90.05 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 04:00:00 91.77 ↑ High
2026-01-16 06:00:00 90.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 08:30:00 88.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 10:00:00 90.13 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:30:00 87.12 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 12:45:00 88.28 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 13:30:00 89.79 ↑ High
2026-01-16 16:30:00 89.96 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.24%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.26%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.7139
4.12%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5479
2.85%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-13 23:00:00 91.85 ↑ High
2026-01-14 08:00:00 92.48 ↑ High
2026-01-14 12:00:00 90 ↓ Low
2026-01-14 17:00:00 93.94 ↑ High
2026-01-14 22:00:00 86.82 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 08:00:00 88.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 14:00:00 93.03 ↑ High
2026-01-15 21:00:00 89.71 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 10:00:00 87.12 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:00:00 89.96 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Jan 2026
16:49:04
16 Jan 2026
16:55:00
5 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
89.94 90.2261 89.3679 2 88.22
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 89.94
  • Stop Loss: 90.2261
  • Take Profit: 89.3679

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 90.2261 - 89.94 = 0.2861

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 89.94 - 89.3679 = 0.57209999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.57209999999999 / 0.2861 = 1.9997

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2515.2028 100 27.9653 25.15
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.2861

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2861 = 27.96

Taille de position USD = 27.96 x 89.94 = 2514.72

Donc, tu peux acheter 27.96 avec un stoploss a 90.2261

Avec un position size USD de 2514.72$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 27.96 x 0.2861 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 27.96 x 0.57209999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 27.96
  • Taille de position USD 2514.72
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9997

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.64 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.32 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.32
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3669 % 115.34 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 89.3679
            [entry_price] => 89.94
            [stop_loss] => 90.25471
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-16 16:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.23
            [max_drawdown] => 0.33
            [rr_ratio] => 0.7
            [high] => 90.27000000
            [low] => 89.71000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.26
            [mae_pct] => 0.37
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.7
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T16:49:04-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T18:49:04-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.23
            [max_drawdown] => 0.33
            [rr_ratio] => 0.7
            [high] => 90.27000000
            [low] => 89.71000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.26
            [mae_pct] => 0.37
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.7
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-16T16:49:04-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-16T23:49:04-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 89.96000000
            [high_after] => 90.27000000
            [low_before] => 88.51000000
            [low_after] => 89.71000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)