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Short Trade on MERL

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Short Trade on MERL 17 Jan 2026 at 19:48:06

Take profit at 0.1959 (3.88 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2078 (1.96 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 17 Jan 2026 at 19:48:06

With 2019.5676 MERL at 0.2038$ per unit.

Position size of 411.5879 $

Take profit at 0.1959 (3.88 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2078 (1.96 %)

That's a 1.98 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.4
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.5
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.77
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.73
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.100123

15m : 0.050037

1H : -0.021848

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.22
  4. atr: 0.002640829313
Details
  1. score: 1.22
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.204255
  4. ema21 : 0.219993
  5. ema50 : 0.23477
  6. ema100 : 0.240872
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00223094
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.071537
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.062941
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.15391
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.41346
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.981306
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.524461
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.277246
  17. rsi : 0.300227
  18. adx : 0.502508
  19. kc_percentage : 0.0587905
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.169257
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.03162
  22. volume_ema1 : 287977.04385529
  23. volume_ema2 : 141747.4102731
  24. chop : 6.5124
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.196964
  28. ema21 : 0.198141
  29. ema50 : 0.210152
  30. ema100 : 0.224121
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0347036
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00594038
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0571518
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0906723
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.103707
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.233989
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.359057
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.287754
  41. rsi : 0.553261
  42. adx : 0.569635
  43. kc_percentage : 0.791132
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.10102
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.385455
  46. volume_ema1 : 43924.576148002
  47. volume_ema2 : 71474.966867145
  48. chop : 52.7071
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.199026
  52. ema21 : 0.195792
  53. ema50 : 0.195857
  54. ema100 : 0.20227
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0239836
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0165178
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000332595
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0075619
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.326418
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.164854
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0194503
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0668124
  65. rsi : 0.761928
  66. adx : 0.256463
  67. kc_percentage : 1.21638
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0538701
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.00730055
  70. volume_ema1 : 23795.30987021
  71. volume_ema2 : 23622.849881624
  72. chop : 18.0873
  73. regime : bull_high_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    95209.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00150482
  78. 5m_price: 
    95066
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.100123
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    95284.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00229347
  83. 15m_price: 
    95066
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.050037
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    95313
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00259216
  88. 1H_price: 
    95066
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.021848
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 01:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2681
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2409
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 08:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2591
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2435
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2567
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2489
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2658
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2524
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1842
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 19:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2079
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1544011544012
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 11.563517915309
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.866449511401
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 20:30:00
                    [1] => 0.2529
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 22:45:00
                    [1] => 0.2556
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 01:15:00
                    [1] => 0.245
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2503
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 09:15:00
                    [1] => 0.2327
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 09:45:00
                    [1] => 0.2377
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 15:15:00
                    [1] => 0.1842
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 16:15:00
                    [1] => 0.198
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 18:45:00
                    [1] => 0.1887
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 19:45:00
                    [1] => 0.2079
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1544011544012
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 8.9030206677265
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.174880763116
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 11:30:00
                    [1] => 0.2366
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1884
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 15:20:00
                    [1] => 0.1842
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 16:25:00
                    [1] => 0.198
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 17:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1894
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 17:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1953
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 18:10:00
                    [1] => 0.1941
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 18:20:00
                    [1] => 0.1888
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 18:55:00
                    [1] => 0.1887
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 19:45:00
                    [1] => 0.2079
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1544011544012
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 8.9030206677265
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.174880763116
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
8.90%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.17%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0288
13.86%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0117
5.97%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 11:30:00 0.2366 ↑ High
2026-01-17 14:00:00 0.1884 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 15:20:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 16:25:00 0.198 ↑ High
2026-01-17 17:00:00 0.1894 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 17:30:00 0.1953 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:10:00 0.1941 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:20:00 0.1888 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 18:55:00 0.1887 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 19:45:00 0.2079 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
8.90%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.17%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0478
23.00%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0117
5.97%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 20:30:00 0.2529 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 22:45:00 0.2556 ↑ High
2026-01-17 01:15:00 0.245 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 03:00:00 0.2503 ↑ High
2026-01-17 09:15:00 0.2327 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 09:45:00 0.2377 ↑ High
2026-01-17 15:15:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 16:15:00 0.198 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:45:00 0.1887 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 19:45:00 0.2079 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
11.56%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
12.87%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0603
29.02%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0117
5.97%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 01:00:00 0.2681 ↑ High
2026-01-15 04:00:00 0.2409 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 08:00:00 0.2591 ↑ High
2026-01-15 11:00:00 0.2435 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 20:00:00 0.2567 ↑ High
2026-01-16 04:00:00 0.2489 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 12:00:00 0.2658 ↑ High
2026-01-16 16:00:00 0.2524 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 15:00:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 19:00:00 0.2079 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Jan 2026
19:48:06		 17 Jan 2026
19:50:00		 1 minute

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2038 0.2078 0.1959 1.98 0.0447
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2038
  • Stop Loss: 0.2078
  • Take Profit: 0.1959

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2078 - 0.2038 = 0.004

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2038 - 0.1959 = 0.0079

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0079 / 0.004 = 1.975

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
411.5879 100 2019.5676 4.12
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.004

Taille de position = 8 / 0.004 = 2000

Taille de position USD = 2000 x 0.2038 = 407.6

Donc, tu peux acheter 2000 avec un stoploss a 0.2078

Avec un position size USD de 407.6$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2000 x 0.004 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2000 x 0.0079 = 15.8

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.8$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2000
  • Taille de position USD 407.6
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.8
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.975

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.88 % 15.95 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.96 % 8.08 $
PNL PNL %
-8.08 $ -1.96
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.7969 % 142.5 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1959
            [entry_price] => 0.2038
            [stop_loss] => 0.2082
            [rr_ratio] => 1.8
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 19:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1959
            [entry_price] => 0.2038
            [stop_loss] => 0.2086
            [rr_ratio] => 1.65
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 19:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1959
            [entry_price] => 0.2038
            [stop_loss] => 0.209
            [rr_ratio] => 1.52
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 19:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1959
            [entry_price] => 0.2038
            [stop_loss] => 0.2098
            [rr_ratio] => 1.32
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 19:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00070000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0123
            [rr_ratio] => 0.06
            [high] => 0.21610000
            [low] => 0.20310000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.34
            [mae_pct] => 6.04
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.06
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-17T19:48:06-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-17T21:48:06-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0072
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0123
            [rr_ratio] => 0.59
            [high] => 0.21610000
            [low] => 0.19660000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.53
            [mae_pct] => 6.04
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.59
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-17T19:48:06-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-18T02:48:06-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.20790000
            [high_after] => 0.21610000
            [low_before] => 0.18700000
            [low_after] => 0.19660000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)