Short Trade on MERL 17 Jan 2026 at 19:50:54

Take profit at 0.2004 (3.84 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2124 (1.92 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 17 Jan 2026 at 19:50:54

With 1989.5388 MERL at 0.2084$ per unit.

Position size of 414.6199 $

Take profit at 0.2004 (3.84 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2124 (1.92 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.47
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.85
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.74
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.91
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.094378

15m : -0.11913

1H : -0.028168

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.5
  4. atr: 0.002680688232
Details
  1. score: 1.5
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.205175
  4. ema21 : 0.220411
  5. ema50 : 0.23495
  6. ema100 : 0.240963
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0157149
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0691246
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0618806
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.135139
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.38229
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.96733
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.518461
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.274199
  17. rsi : 0.352644
  18. adx : 0.501231
  19. kc_percentage : 0.18239
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.167056
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.0634
  22. volume_ema1 : 293926.96627862
  23. volume_ema2 : 142447.40114643
  24. chop : 6.54194
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.197304
  29. ema21 : 0.198296
  30. ema50 : 0.210218
  31. ema100 : 0.224155
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0562348
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00500051
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0567156
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0702874
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.118271
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.227672
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.356527
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.286546
  42. rsi : 0.577537
  43. adx : 0.569635
  44. kc_percentage : 1.00669
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0987906
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.384563
  47. volume_ema1 : 43993.309478002
  48. volume_ema2 : 71483.053141263
  49. chop : 52.7071
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.201173
  54. ema21 : 0.197079
  55. ema50 : 0.196424
  56. ema100 : 0.202506
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0359228
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0207737
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00333277
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0291052
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.424618
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.224724
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0502709
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0509976
  67. rsi : 0.830674
  68. adx : 0.285739
  69. kc_percentage : 1.49736
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0535549
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.0670043
  72. volume_ema1 : 21790.551226807
  73. volume_ema2 : 23355.469221578
  74. chop : 17.0122
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95211
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00134899
  81. 5m_price:
    95082.6
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.094378
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95284.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0021227
  86. 15m_price:
    95082.6
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.11913
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    95313.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00242144
  91. 1H_price:
    95082.6
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.028168
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 01:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2681
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2409
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 08:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2591
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2435
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 20:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2567
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2489
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2658
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2524
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1842
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 19:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2095
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33412887828161
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 13.355048859935
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 13.735070575461
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 20:30:00
                        [1] => 0.2529
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 22:45:00
                        [1] => 0.2556
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 01:15:00
                        [1] => 0.245
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2503
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:15:00
                        [1] => 0.2327
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:45:00
                        [1] => 0.2377
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 15:15:00
                        [1] => 0.1842
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 16:15:00
                        [1] => 0.198
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 18:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1887
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 19:45:00
                        [1] => 0.2095
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33412887828161
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.651828298887
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.022787493376
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 11:35:00
                        [1] => 0.2356
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1884
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 15:20:00
                        [1] => 0.1842
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 16:25:00
                        [1] => 0.198
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 17:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1894
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 17:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1953
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 18:10:00
                        [1] => 0.1941
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 18:20:00
                        [1] => 0.1888
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 18:55:00
                        [1] => 0.1887
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 19:50:00
                        [1] => 0.2095
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33412887828161
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.651828298887
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.022787493376
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.33%
Dist From Last Low Pct
10.65%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
11.02%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0232
10.92%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0162
8.08%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 11:35:00 0.2356 ↑ High
2026-01-17 14:00:00 0.1884 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 15:20:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 16:25:00 0.198 ↑ High
2026-01-17 17:00:00 0.1894 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 17:30:00 0.1953 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:10:00 0.1941 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:20:00 0.1888 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 18:55:00 0.1887 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 19:50:00 0.2095 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.33%
Dist From Last Low Pct
10.65%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
11.02%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0432
20.34%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0162
8.08%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 20:30:00 0.2529 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 22:45:00 0.2556 ↑ High
2026-01-17 01:15:00 0.245 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 03:00:00 0.2503 ↑ High
2026-01-17 09:15:00 0.2327 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 09:45:00 0.2377 ↑ High
2026-01-17 15:15:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 16:15:00 0.198 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:45:00 0.1887 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 19:45:00 0.2095 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.33%
Dist From Last Low Pct
13.36%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
13.74%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0557
26.22%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0162
8.08%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 01:00:00 0.2681 ↑ High
2026-01-15 04:00:00 0.2409 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 08:00:00 0.2591 ↑ High
2026-01-15 11:00:00 0.2435 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 20:00:00 0.2567 ↑ High
2026-01-16 04:00:00 0.2489 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 12:00:00 0.2658 ↑ High
2026-01-16 16:00:00 0.2524 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 15:00:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 19:00:00 0.2095 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Jan 2026
19:50:54
17 Jan 2026
20:00:00
9 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2084 0.2124 0.2004 2 0.04501
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2084
  • Stop Loss: 0.2124
  • Take Profit: 0.2004

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2124 - 0.2084 = 0.004

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2084 - 0.2004 = 0.008

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.008 / 0.004 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
414.6199 100 1989.5388 4.15
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.004

Taille de position = 8 / 0.004 = 2000

Taille de position USD = 2000 x 0.2084 = 416.8

Donc, tu peux acheter 2000 avec un stoploss a 0.2124

Avec un position size USD de 416.8$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2000 x 0.004 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2000 x 0.008 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2000
  • Taille de position USD 416.8
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.84 % 15.92 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.92 % 7.96 $
PNL PNL %
-7.96 $ -1.92
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.263 % 170 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2004
            [entry_price] => 0.2084
            [stop_loss] => 0.2128
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2004
            [entry_price] => 0.2084
            [stop_loss] => 0.2132
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2004
            [entry_price] => 0.2084
            [stop_loss] => 0.2136
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2004
            [entry_price] => 0.2084
            [stop_loss] => 0.2144
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0053
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0077
            [rr_ratio] => 0.69
            [high] => 0.21610000
            [low] => 0.20310000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.54
            [mae_pct] => 3.69
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.69
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-17T19:50:54-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-17T21:50:54-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0118
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0077
            [rr_ratio] => 1.53
            [high] => 0.21610000
            [low] => 0.19660000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.66
            [mae_pct] => 3.69
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.53
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-17T19:50:54-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-18T02:50:54-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.20950000
            [high_after] => 0.21610000
            [low_before] => 0.18830000
            [low_after] => 0.19660000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)