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Short Trade on MERL

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Short Trade on MERL 20 Jan 2026 at 08:19:56

Take profit at 0.1497 (5.91 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1638 (2.95 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 20 Jan 2026 at 08:19:56

With 1695.0483 MERL at 0.1591$ per unit.

Position size of 269.6822 $

Take profit at 0.1497 (5.91 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1638 (2.95 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.15
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.75
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.54
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.53
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bear_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.083119

15m : -0.00523

1H : -0.109123

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.003146419615
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.161439
  4. ema21 : 0.170929
  5. ema50 : 0.187953
  6. ema100 : 0.205485
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0144911
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0555184
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0905784
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.225736
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.772816
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.779375
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.610909
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.430386
  17. rsi : 0.357976
  18. adx : 0.462852
  19. kc_percentage : 0.149079
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.198509
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.990105
  22. volume_ema1 : 380359.30389651
  23. volume_ema2 : 191125.19523568
  24. chop : 32.6798
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.153099
  28. ema21 : 0.158364
  29. ema50 : 0.165393
  30. ema100 : 0.173919
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0391937
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0332486
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0424943
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0852069
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.705481
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.498863
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.319543
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.237531
  41. rsi : 0.484855
  42. adx : 0.481922
  43. kc_percentage : 0.55592
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.121725
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.811608
  46. volume_ema1 : 138202.10362836
  47. volume_ema2 : 76286.976441909
  48. chop : 14.2847
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.14913
  52. ema21 : 0.151087
  53. ema50 : 0.156903
  54. ema100 : 0.161599
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0668488
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0129512
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0370647
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0154666
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.202894
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.375221
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.300799
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.196067
  65. rsi : 0.629217
  66. adx : 0.57327
  67. kc_percentage : 1.09064
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0878954
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.519932
  70. volume_ema1 : 65614.450316873
  71. volume_ema2 : 43169.330916797
  72. chop : 23.3169
  73. regime : bear_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    91206.1
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00260141
  78. 5m_price: 
    90968.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.083119
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    92005.2
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.011264
  83. 15m_price: 
    90968.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.00523
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    93643.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0285575
  88. 1H_price: 
    90968.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.109123
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 08:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2493
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2658
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2524
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1842
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2161
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2293
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1878
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2261
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1655
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1395
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -29.986731534719
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 13.476702508961
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 36
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 18.637992831541
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 0.1836
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 17:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1807
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 18:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1807
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 21:15:00
                    [1] => 0.1685
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 22:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1728
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 23:45:00
                    [1] => 0.1672
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 01:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1728
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 02:45:00
                    [1] => 0.164
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1395
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 08:15:00
                    [1] => 0.1596
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.81453634085213
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 13.476702508961
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 14.408602150538
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 02:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1725
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 02:55:00
                    [1] => 0.164
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 03:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1695
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 03:55:00
                    [1] => 0.1653
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 04:35:00
                    [1] => 0.168
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 05:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1655
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 05:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1628
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:10:00
                    [1] => 0.1395
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:45:00
                    [1] => 0.144
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 08:15:00
                    [1] => 0.1596
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.81453634085213
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.9305555555556
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.833333333333
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.81%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.93%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.83%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0087
5.31%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0102
6.81%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 02:30:00 0.1725 ↑ High
2026-01-20 02:55:00 0.164 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 03:30:00 0.1695 ↑ High
2026-01-20 03:55:00 0.1653 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 04:35:00 0.168 ↑ High
2026-01-20 05:00:00 0.1655 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 05:30:00 0.1628 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:10:00 0.1395 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:45:00 0.144 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 08:15:00 0.1596 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.81%
Dist From Last Low Pct
13.48%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
14.41%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0198
12.09%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0102
6.81%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 15:15:00 0.1836 ↑ High
2026-01-19 17:30:00 0.1807 ↑ High
2026-01-19 18:30:00 0.1807 ↑ High
2026-01-19 21:15:00 0.1685 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 22:30:00 0.1728 ↑ High
2026-01-19 23:45:00 0.1672 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 01:30:00 0.1728 ↑ High
2026-01-20 02:45:00 0.164 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:00:00 0.1395 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 08:15:00 0.1596 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-29.99%
Dist From Last Low Pct
13.48%
Bars Since Swing High
36 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
18.64%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1020
62.27%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0102
6.81%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 08:00:00 0.2493 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 12:00:00 0.2658 ↑ High
2026-01-16 16:00:00 0.2524 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 15:00:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 20:00:00 0.2161 ↑ High
2026-01-18 11:00:00 0.2293 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 0.1878 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 20:00:00 0.2261 ↑ High
2026-01-19 14:00:00 0.1655 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:00:00 0.1395 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
08:19:56		 20 Jan 2026
08:20:00		 4 seconds

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1591 0.1638 0.1497 2 0.04461
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1591
  • Stop Loss: 0.1638
  • Take Profit: 0.1497

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1638 - 0.1591 = 0.0047

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1591 - 0.1497 = 0.0094

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0094 / 0.0047 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
269.6822 100 1695.0483 2.70
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0047

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0047 = 1702.13

Taille de position USD = 1702.13 x 0.1591 = 270.81

Donc, tu peux acheter 1702.13 avec un stoploss a 0.1638

Avec un position size USD de 270.81$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1702.13 x 0.0047 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1702.13 x 0.0094 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1702.13
  • Taille de position USD 270.81
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.91 % 15.93 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.95 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
-7.97 $ -2.95
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.4054 % 182.98 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1497
            [entry_price] => 0.1591
            [stop_loss] => 0.16427
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1497
            [entry_price] => 0.1591
            [stop_loss] => 0.16474
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1497
            [entry_price] => 0.1591
            [stop_loss] => 0.16521
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1497
            [entry_price] => 0.1591
            [stop_loss] => 0.16615
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0041
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0368
            [rr_ratio] => 0.11
            [high] => 0.19590000
            [low] => 0.15500000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.58
            [mae_pct] => 23.13
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.11
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T08:19:56-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T10:19:56-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0041
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0368
            [rr_ratio] => 0.11
            [high] => 0.19590000
            [low] => 0.15500000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.58
            [mae_pct] => 23.13
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.11
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T08:19:56-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T15:19:56-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.16800000
            [high_after] => 0.19590000
            [low_before] => 0.13950000
            [low_after] => 0.15500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)