Short Trade on MERL 20 Jan 2026 at 08:28:31

Take profit at 0.1575 (7.3 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1761 (3.65 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 20 Jan 2026 at 08:28:31

With 1292.3863 MERL at 0.1699$ per unit.

Position size of 219.5764 $

Take profit at 0.1575 (7.3 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1761 (3.65 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.58
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.73
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.5
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.77
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.076717

15m : 0.040764

1H : 0.085371

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.34
  4. atr: 0.004126733028
Details
  1. score: 1.34
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.163599
  4. ema21 : 0.17191
  5. ema50 : 0.188377
  6. ema100 : 0.205699
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0385121
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0483479
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0874111
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.174037
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.671659
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.735985
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.593508
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.422161
  17. rsi : 0.45473
  18. adx : 0.441847
  19. kc_percentage : 0.464224
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.21579
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.80653
  22. volume_ema1 : 613318.90130318
  23. volume_ema2 : 218532.20669529
  24. chop : 33.052
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.152939
  29. ema21 : 0.158292
  30. ema50 : 0.165361
  31. ema100 : 0.173903
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.110897
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0338153
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0427524
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0230201
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.713453
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.502461
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.321063
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.238268
  42. rsi : 0.474102
  43. adx : 0.481922
  44. kc_percentage : 1.11751
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.113987
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.822619
  47. volume_ema1 : 139271.40435169
  48. volume_ema2 : 76412.776527007
  49. chop : 14.2847
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.155833
  54. ema21 : 0.153945
  55. ema50 : 0.157696
  56. ema100 : 0.161683
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0902676
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0122645
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0237858
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0508214
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.27144
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.128453
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.200097
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.147919
  67. rsi : 0.742757
  68. adx : 0.555413
  69. kc_percentage : 1.33911
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.112414
  71. volume_ema_diff : 2.12935
  72. volume_ema1 : 208015.28386565
  73. volume_ema2 : 66472.234201737
  74. chop : 13.0183
  75. regime : bull_high_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    91167
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00258906
  81. 5m_price:
    90931
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.076717
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    92005.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0110115
  86. 15m_price:
    90992.6
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.040764
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    93642.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0289544
  91. 1H_price:
    90931
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.085371
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2658
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2524
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1842
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2161
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2293
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1878
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 20:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2261
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1655
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1395
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 08:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1723
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.5536854323854
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 20.358422939068
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 23.512544802867
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 15:15:00
                        [1] => 0.1836
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 17:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1807
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 18:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1807
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 21:15:00
                        [1] => 0.1685
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 22:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1728
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 23:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1672
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 01:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1728
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 02:45:00
                        [1] => 0.164
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1395
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 08:15:00
                        [1] => 0.1723
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.5536854323854
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 20.358422939068
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 23.512544802867
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 02:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1725
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 02:55:00
                        [1] => 0.164
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 03:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1695
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 03:55:00
                        [1] => 0.1653
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 04:35:00
                        [1] => 0.168
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 05:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1655
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 05:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1628
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 07:10:00
                        [1] => 0.1395
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 07:45:00
                        [1] => 0.144
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 08:25:00
                        [1] => 0.1723
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.5536854323854
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 16.597222222222
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 19.652777777778
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.55%
Dist From Last Low Pct
16.60%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
19.65%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0036
2.04%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0180
11.43%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 02:30:00 0.1725 ↑ High
2026-01-20 02:55:00 0.164 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 03:30:00 0.1695 ↑ High
2026-01-20 03:55:00 0.1653 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 04:35:00 0.168 ↑ High
2026-01-20 05:00:00 0.1655 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 05:30:00 0.1628 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:10:00 0.1395 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:45:00 0.144 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 08:25:00 0.1723 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.55%
Dist From Last Low Pct
20.36%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
23.51%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0075
4.26%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0180
11.43%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 15:15:00 0.1836 ↑ High
2026-01-19 17:30:00 0.1807 ↑ High
2026-01-19 18:30:00 0.1807 ↑ High
2026-01-19 21:15:00 0.1685 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 22:30:00 0.1728 ↑ High
2026-01-19 23:45:00 0.1672 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 01:30:00 0.1728 ↑ High
2026-01-20 02:45:00 0.164 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:00:00 0.1395 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 08:15:00 0.1723 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.55%
Dist From Last Low Pct
20.36%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
23.51%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0897
50.94%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0180
11.43%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 12:00:00 0.2658 ↑ High
2026-01-16 16:00:00 0.2524 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 15:00:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 20:00:00 0.2161 ↑ High
2026-01-18 11:00:00 0.2293 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 0.1878 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 20:00:00 0.2261 ↑ High
2026-01-19 14:00:00 0.1655 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:00:00 0.1395 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 08:00:00 0.1723 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
08:28:31
20 Jan 2026
08:55:00
26 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1699 0.1761 0.1575 2 0.0447
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1699
  • Stop Loss: 0.1761
  • Take Profit: 0.1575

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1761 - 0.1699 = 0.0062

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1699 - 0.1575 = 0.0124

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0124 / 0.0062 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
219.5764 100 1292.3863 2.20
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0062

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0062 = 1290.32

Taille de position USD = 1290.32 x 0.1699 = 219.23

Donc, tu peux acheter 1290.32 avec un stoploss a 0.1761

Avec un position size USD de 219.23$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1290.32 x 0.0062 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1290.32 x 0.0124 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1290.32
  • Taille de position USD 219.23
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
7.3 % 16.03 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.65 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -3.65
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.1795 % 141.94 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1575
            [entry_price] => 0.1699
            [stop_loss] => 0.17672
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1575
            [entry_price] => 0.1699
            [stop_loss] => 0.17734
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1575
            [entry_price] => 0.1699
            [stop_loss] => 0.17796
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1575
            [entry_price] => 0.1699
            [stop_loss] => 0.1792
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 09:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0085
            [max_drawdown] => 0.026
            [rr_ratio] => 0.33
            [high] => 0.19590000
            [low] => 0.16140000
            [mfe_pct] => 5
            [mae_pct] => 15.3
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T08:28:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T10:28:31-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0139
            [max_drawdown] => 0.026
            [rr_ratio] => 0.53
            [high] => 0.19590000
            [low] => 0.15600000
            [mfe_pct] => 8.18
            [mae_pct] => 15.3
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.53
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T08:28:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T15:28:31-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.17230000
            [high_after] => 0.19590000
            [low_before] => 0.13950000
            [low_after] => 0.15600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)