Short Trade on MERL 20 Jan 2026 at 08:28:31
Take profit at 0.1575 (7.3 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1761 (3.65 %)
Short Trade on MERL 20 Jan 2026 at 08:28:31
Take profit at 0.1575 (7.3 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1761 (3.65 %)
Position size of 219.5764 $
Take profit at 0.1575 (7.3 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1761 (3.65 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.73 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.77 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.076717 15m : 0.040764 1H : 0.085371 |
2 |
Indicators:
91167
-0.00258906
90931
0.076717
92005.7
-0.0110115
90992.6
0.040764
93642.3
-0.0289544
90931
0.085371
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Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 02:30:00 | 0.1725 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 02:55:00 | 0.164 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 03:30:00 | 0.1695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 03:55:00 | 0.1653 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 04:35:00 | 0.168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 05:00:00 | 0.1655 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 05:30:00 | 0.1628 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 07:10:00 | 0.1395 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 07:45:00 | 0.144 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 08:25:00 | 0.1723 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 15:15:00 | 0.1836 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 17:30:00 | 0.1807 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 18:30:00 | 0.1807 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 21:15:00 | 0.1685 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 22:30:00 | 0.1728 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 23:45:00 | 0.1672 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 01:30:00 | 0.1728 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 02:45:00 | 0.164 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 07:00:00 | 0.1395 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 08:15:00 | 0.1723 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 12:00:00 | 0.2658 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 16:00:00 | 0.2524 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 15:00:00 | 0.1842 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 20:00:00 | 0.2161 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 11:00:00 | 0.2293 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 0.1878 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 20:00:00 | 0.2261 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 14:00:00 | 0.1655 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 07:00:00 | 0.1395 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 08:00:00 | 0.1723 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 08:28:31 |
20 Jan 2026 08:55:00 |
26 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1699 | 0.1761 | 0.1575 | 2 | 0.0447 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1761 - 0.1699 = 0.0062
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1699 - 0.1575 = 0.0124
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0124 / 0.0062 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 219.5764 | 100 | 1292.3863 | 2.20 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0062 = 1290.32
Taille de position USD = 1290.32 x 0.1699 = 219.23
Donc, tu peux acheter 1290.32 avec un stoploss a 0.1761
Avec un position size USD de 219.23$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1290.32 x 0.0062 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1290.32 x 0.0124 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.3 % | 16.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.65 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -3.65 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.1795 % | 141.94 % | 3 |
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